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Old 08-15-2013, 08:13 AM  
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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(New) 2013 Kansas City Royals Repository

New thread, this time with more burst.

Proposed 2013 Slogan: Tigers: They're what's for dinner
Actual 2013 Slogan: Come to Play
A better, more accurate, or alternative slogan: All in, no panic, we promise.

Dayton Moore has pushed all his chips in and is riding on King/Jack suited, hoping it comes together, he gets some good luck, and he hits the nuts by the river card. There's potential, oh yes, there's potential. There's also risk.

At the midway point, Dayton is left counting on the river card. The flop and turn didn't help him, and he's looking at the Tigers holding a pair of Queens and the Indians holding a pair of 9s. His 2013 plan hasn't failed - yet - but the odds are not in his favor.

Burning questions updates below.

Burning Questions for 2013:

1) Will the improve rotation be improved enough? Does James Shields pitch like a fringe No. 1 away from Tampa Bay? Does Ervin Santana pitch to his highest upside in his walk year? Can Jeremy Guthrie build on his strong performance as a Royal in 2012? Can Wade Davis bring his new mentality- and velocity - back to the rotation?

Midseason check-in: Yes, the rotation is certainly improved enough. Shields has pitched like a fringe No. 1 and Santana is having his best season. Guthrie has horrible peripherals but has continued to perform well at his home park and eat innings on the road. Davis brought neither his kick-ass mentality or improved velocity back to the rotation and is in Luke Hochevar/Hiram Davies territory.

2) When will Luke Hochevar be shown the door?
Midseason check-in: It appears, never, at this point. Hochevar has been solid in non-leverage situations, though pretty much every time he has been used with men on base in an inning, it has been a disaster.

3) Does Hosmer bounce back?
Midseason check-in: It took some time, but Hosmer's performance from June 1 on is probably the most encouraging thing about the 2013 season so far.
4) Can Moustakas hit for a whole season like he did in the first half of 2012?
Midseason check-in: Nope. Moustakas was god-awful, then great for about 3 weeks, then god-awful again. He has been better since he started working with Brett and Grafol but still has a long way to go.
5) Who regresses?
Midseason check-in: Welp, Alicides Escobar is not a surprising name here (though Yost's stubborn insistence on hitting him second is ridiculous). Billy Butler is a surprise. He isn't having a terrible year - still contributing a lot to the offense - but he's not hitting for the average or power he has displayed over the past several years.
6) Who plays 2B?
Midseason check-in: A whole bunch of people, and not that great. Gio is at least getting a shot, though he once again is not doing much with it.
7) Can Jeff Francoeur be at least replacement level, rather than epic horrible level?
Midseason check-in: Hahahahahahahahahahaha
8) Will Dayton Moore survive to see 2014?
Midseason check-in: Outlook uncertain. Probably still around, unless the team completely tanks in the second half and he does something foolish. My guess - he sacrifices Ned Yost this offseason and gets one more shot with a new manager in 2014.
9) Will Danny Duffy come back healthy? And if he does, is he the same, better or worse?
Midseason check-in: Yes. Velocity looks the same, and it looks likely he is the same guy as before.
10) And the big one: Has KC added enough to run down the big-money Detroit Tigers?
Midseason check-in: Doesn't look like it, does it?
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:06 AM   #706
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Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
The playoff odds on Baseball prospectus, by far the most pessimistic for the Royals since it is programmed to believe we're really a .492 team and will play like one, shot up by almost 3 points today.

Division: 0.1%
Wild Card: 6%
Reach the Division Series: 2.8%
World Series Champ: 0.2%

ESPN's odds (14.8%) are a lot more generous, since they assume we'll continue to play like we have.
According to the MLB.com post-season probabilities, the Royals have a 6% chance, Indians 19% and Tigers 99%
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:06 AM   #707
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Can barely focus at work. We are just so close, boys. I just want to see one damn playoff game...that's not asking for too much is it?
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:08 AM   #708
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If i'm not mistaken it is also on MLB Network.
Probably, but for those of us that can't get MLB Network, or want to take a break from the low quality live streams, having the Royals game as the free MLB.TV game of the day is awesome.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:10 AM   #709
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Originally Posted by RockChalk View Post
Can barely focus at work. We are just so close, boys. I just want to see one damn playoff game...that's not asking for too much is it?
Watch, they'll be the road team for a tiebreaker, win, then be the road team for the wild card knockout game, and lose that one, so KC never gets a home game.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:11 AM   #710
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According to the MLB.com post-season probabilities, the Royals have a 6% chance, Indians 19% and Tigers 99%
Also just noticed that they had the Royals at 1% 2 days ago, and 3% yesterday. They're moving up very quickly.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:13 AM   #711
Archie F. Swin Archie F. Swin is offline
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Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
Watch, they'll be the road team for a tiebreaker, win, then be the road team for the wild card knockout game, and lose that one, so KC never gets a home game.
Ideally you want a playoff game for the home crowd, but I think we have equal chances winning on the road. No distinct play advantages in The K.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:15 AM   #712
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Originally Posted by AussieChiefsFan View Post
Also just noticed that they had the Royals at 1% 2 days ago, and 3% yesterday. They're moving up very quickly.
Just keep winning, baby.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:16 AM   #713
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Originally Posted by Archie F. Swin View Post
Ideally you want a playoff game for the home crowd, but I think we have equal chances winning on the road. No distinct play advantages in The K.
Yep, we've had even home/road splits all year. Would still love a home playoff game just to see the turnout and energy.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:24 AM   #714
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Yep, we've had even home/road splits all year. Would still love a home playoff game just to see the turnout and energy.
THIS!

I can't think of another team in MLB that deserves a home playoff game more than the KCR's fans.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:26 AM   #715
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Ideally you want a playoff game for the home crowd, but I think we have equal chances winning on the road. No distinct play advantages in The K.
That depends on who your starting pitcher is and what the alternative stadium offers outfield wise. If you have Santana going with his propensity to give up the long ball, The K may be preferable. It just depends on the match up.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:28 AM   #716
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Hypothetical: Let's say the Royals do make the wildcard game, and play at home. Ned Yost again bumbles his way through and loses a close game due to awful tactical decisionmaking, much like Monday night. Fired or not?
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:29 AM   #717
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Hypothetical: Let's say the Royals do make the wildcard game, and play at home. Ned Yost again bumbles his way through and loses a close game due to awful tactical decisionmaking, much like Monday night. Fired or not?
Nope. This year alone bought him another 2, unfortunately.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:30 AM   #718
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I think it would take an under .500 season to get Yost canned. Yost has had the boys ready to play for the most part all year. First winning season in...forever. I don't think he will get fired until the Royals really collapse.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:33 AM   #719
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I think it would take an under .500 season to get Yost canned. Yost has had the boys ready to play for the most part all year. First winning season in...forever. I don't think he will get fired until the Royals really collapse.
It boggles my mind that we only have to win five more games to have the first winning season in 10 years, and 6 to be better than 03.
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Old 09-12-2013, 08:38 AM   #720
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Imagine being Ned Yost, and you've got this terrible franchise 2 back of the playoff spot with 2 weeks to go, and your own fans are calling for you to be fired. Think of how you'd feel. (I assume either irritated, or a lotta laughter)
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