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Old 11-13-2013, 07:35 PM  
TLO TLO is offline
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Chiefs vs Broncos predictions

I've enjoyed making these for games earlier in the year, so why not make one for the biggest game in recent Chiefs history?

What I hope happens

Charles has a monster game. He finishes the game with 26 rushes for 158 yards and a TD. He also catches 8 passes for 75 yards.

Alex Smith shows he has the ability to be more than just a game manager, throwing for 263 yards and two TDs. More importantly, he has no turnovers on the day.

The Chiefs defense and special teams come up big. Succop hits all 3 of his FG tries, including 2 from 50 plus yards. The Chiefs defense sacks Manning 5 times, causing a fumble on a strip sack by Derrick Johnson. Marcus Cooper returns a Manning INT for a TD.

Chiefs win 37-28
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Old 11-16-2013, 12:17 PM   #316
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Love that sig brah

You said they would be a playoff team... You never said they would win a playoff game...
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Old 11-16-2013, 01:07 PM   #317
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The time is almost here.

The Chiefs have had opportunities in seasons past to show they are contenders.

This year they have a chance to show they are not just contenders, but are great.

Broncos offense have scored an average of 43.5 points per game at home against the 8th, 20th, 21st, 31st, and 32nd scoring defenses.

Chiefs defense have allowed an average of 12 points against the 11th, 18th, 24th, and 32nd scoring offenses.

Denver scores tons of points. Kansas City yields few points. The cannon versus the wall.

People have doubted the Chiefs because of the schedule, because of the opposing QBs, because of plays that shouldn't be depended upon.

The Chiefs have beaten teams with a strength of schedule is 30-55 or 35.29%. The Broncos have beaten teams with a strength of schedule is 28-46 or 37.84%. Against the teams that Denver has beaten at home, their strength of schedule is 16-30 or 34.78%.

The string of back-ups that the Chiefs have faced have turned out to be slightly more successful than most originally believed. Outside of the last game in Buffalo the other QBs (Terrell Pryor, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Case Keenum) have gone on to become the starters for their respective teams and had some success against others.

These Chiefs are all about exorcising the demons of the past.

They are all about challenging perceptions of what they can be.

They will give up some yardage on the ground. They will give up 2-3 long pass plays. What they do not do is give up a lot of points.

Manning is gimpy. He will not survive the game.

People will continue to doubt the Chiefs because they don't win with an impressive offense. There will be more excuses tomorrow night.

But they win.

And that trend continues in Mile High.

A red dawn will rise on Denver tomorrow... followed by a black night.

Dying time is almost here. For Manning and the Broncos.

They are a great team.

Kansas City will be better.

KILL! KILL! KILL!
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Old 11-16-2013, 01:39 PM   #318
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I stated somewhere else that I think we split this year. I'll stick to that but think it would be super great if the Chiefs could pull out a win there.

Donks 27
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Old 11-16-2013, 01:43 PM   #319
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AussieChiefsFan View Post
Manning's average QB rating when playing in temperatures colder than 30, is around 75. Lets hope for a freeze.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/den...347810?hour=81

According to this, a temp of 31 in the evening (real-feel: 24) on Sunday evening can be expected.
Link?

According to ESPN's splits, Peyton has a 95 QB rating in games outside under 40°F. That's 1 point lower than his 96 career rating.

Alex has a 63 QB rating under 40°F, 13 points lower than his 76 career rating.
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Old 11-16-2013, 03:04 PM   #320
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Link?

According to ESPN's splits, Peyton has a 95 QB rating in games outside under 40°F. That's 1 point lower than his 96 career rating.

Alex has a 63 QB rating under 40°F, 13 points lower than his 76 career rating.

Games Played 30 F - 40 F
•14 games, Manning is 8-6 (.571)
•296-465 (63.7%), 3714 yards (8.0 ypa), 24TDs/20 INTs, 87.7 QB Rating

Games Played < 30 F
•8 games (7 full games), Manning is 2-5 (.400)
•175-285 (61.4%), 1761 yards (6.2 ypa), 8 TDs/8 INTs, 76.7 QB Rating
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Old 11-16-2013, 03:12 PM   #321
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Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
Games Played 30 F - 40 F
•14 games, Manning is 8-6 (.571)
•296-465 (63.7%), 3714 yards (8.0 ypa), 24TDs/20 INTs, 87.7 QB Rating

Games Played < 30 F
•8 games (7 full games), Manning is 2-5 (.400)
•175-285 (61.4%), 1761 yards (6.2 ypa), 8 TDs/8 INTs, 76.7 QB Rating

If you remove two games from these totals his stat line becomes a rather pedestrian:

426 for 691 (61.7%) for 4,867 yards (7.04 ypa), 26 TDs/28 INTs, 78.5 QB Rating

Unfortunately, both of those games are against the Chiefs.

His last two cold-weather games against KC are surprisingly similar:

23-29 (79.3%), 304 yards (10.5 ypa), 3 TDs, 0 INTs, 144.8 QB Rating
22-30 (73.3%), 304 yards (10.1 ypa), 3 TDs, 0 INTs, 135.7 QB Rating

Then again, one of those games came in the playoffs against the worst defense KC ever fielded and the other came in the last game of last season when KC was already checked out and playing for nothing but the first pick.
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Old 11-16-2013, 11:45 PM   #322
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
Games Played 30 F - 40 F
•14 games, Manning is 8-6 (.571)
•296-465 (63.7%), 3714 yards (8.0 ypa), 24TDs/20 INTs, 87.7 QB Rating

Games Played < 30 F
•8 games (7 full games), Manning is 2-5 (.400)
•175-285 (61.4%), 1761 yards (6.2 ypa), 8 TDs/8 INTs, 76.7 QB Rating
Odd that those are so different from ESPN's numbers. Where did you get those?
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Old 11-16-2013, 11:55 PM   #323
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Odd that those are so different from ESPN's numbers. Where did you get those?
Numbers schmumbers, step away from the calculator for a moment and realize that mathematical equations cant always save you.

The Force of Destiny cares not about your laws...
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Old 11-17-2013, 12:00 AM   #324
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Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Odd that those are so different from ESPN's numbers. Where did you get those?
he punched them into his homer calculator blindly
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Old 11-17-2013, 12:04 AM   #325
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OH YEAH!
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Old 11-17-2013, 12:19 AM   #326
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hay
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go chuefs
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Old 11-17-2013, 01:39 AM   #327
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Odd that those are so different from ESPN's numbers. Where did you get those?
Gotta take out the dome games.

Outside he doesn't seem to play quite as well.

http://www.milehighreport.com/2013/1...r-myth-or-fact
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Old 11-17-2013, 02:33 AM   #328
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Chuefs kick 7 field goals. No TDs. Win. Horseface wishes he kept Tim Tebow. Manning gets hit by a snowflake and leaves the game. After the game we trade Chase Daniel for some other chode from the Broncos waterboy squad named Butch Thomas or something
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Old 11-17-2013, 02:51 AM   #329
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
Gotta take out the dome games.

Outside he doesn't seem to play quite as well.

http://www.milehighreport.com/2013/1...r-myth-or-fact
ESPN does take out the dome games. They must have a different log of temperatures, at least that's the only explanation I can think of.
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Old 11-17-2013, 07:42 AM   #330
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Folks,

sorry we are not winning this game. Im making my predictions that we lose by a score of 34-20. And the dumbasses like Kiszla will turn around and be just another one of those guys that will say "I told you so." Thats how it goes sometimes unfortunately. I could see something like that happening.

We just don't play well in Denver. We hardly do. It's kinda like K.C playing in Buffalo same shit. Plus, this is a divisional game that has a playoff feel to it and a Sunday nighter too. I expect Peyton Manning and the Broncos to come out firing, executing all day and exposing our defense.

But, I think we will get them back at Arrowhead and win 23-20. Now, i hope Im wrong and we sweep their asses and I will gladly eat some crow
Big fan of the rationale that since we haven't played well there in the last 10 years like this somehow matters tonight. It doesn't.
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