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Old 01-09-2017, 08:26 PM  
Chromatic Chromatic is offline
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Any thoughts on the potential ice storm this weekend?

This site seems to predict chaos and 2 inches of ice but I hope it's wrong.

https://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis/...type=3&theater

Hope it's just a few flurries.

Quote:
I am very concerned when looking at the 12z EURO run from earlier today. Honestly I never seen max values being outputted on the EURO model before for Ice, so this is new to me. To say im concerned is an understatement. For anyone who understands icestorms and just how much can cause widespread impacts, all it takes is just .25 for power outages. If theres .50-.75 you are dealing with prolonged impacts, trees downed and extensive damage to power lines. Between 1.00-1.50 entire power grids become damaged. Widespread damage to trees. Roads impassable for days if not weeks. 1.50-2.00 power grids not only shut down but substations become damaged from the weight of ice accumulations building on transformers and pylons. Hard to imagine ice accumulating over 2inches. Once you get into these extreme values this is what you call a "catastrophic ice storm". Power grids can become damaged and take months to be fully repaired. So there is big time worries for central Oklahoma up to Ohio. We will be monitoring this potential and update when warranted. Anything can change, and if there is one forecast that I hope to god does not verify, this is the one.
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Old 01-10-2017, 09:31 PM   #226
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Where is Katie Horny when we need her?
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Old 01-10-2017, 09:42 PM   #227
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 View Post
Where is Katie Horny when we need her?
Looks bad to the north and northwest on Saturday!
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Old 01-10-2017, 09:49 PM   #228
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 View Post
Where is Katie Horny when we need her?
I think she owns a plumbing company with her husband now.
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Old 01-10-2017, 11:21 PM   #229
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I think the projected temps are close enough to 32 F that the normal treatment of the highways and primary roads will keep them ice-free not affect travel.

The December 17th ice storm was not much total precip but near zero temps so the roads were too icy and everybody in KC needed to stay home.

I think the biggest threat is enough total freezing rain to cause downed tree branches and power lines.
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Old 01-11-2017, 04:32 AM   #230
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Looking like it might be enough to get out out of work for a few days with the girls.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:01 AM   #231
OnTheWarpath58 OnTheWarpath58 is offline
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****. From the NWS.



Quote:
AT THIS TIME...WE ARE EXPECTING A QUARTER TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION GENERALLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI. AREAS OF FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI ARE EXPECTED TO
SEE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH OF ICE.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:12 AM   #232
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It seems like the main event is being projected as more Saturday and Sunday now as opposed to Friday and Saturday.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:27 AM   #233
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
****. From the NWS.
WTF is the HWY 60 corridor? Never heard of that highway.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:28 AM   #234
crayzkirk crayzkirk is offline
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I'm from Missourah... Show Me! Seen way too many predictions of doom and gloom from the weather center and then nothing. Also seen way too many predictions go the other way.

Since when have weather men ever been able to predict the weather?
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:32 AM   #235
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Originally Posted by crayzkirk View Post
I'm from Missourah... Show Me! Seen way too many predictions of doom and gloom from the weather center and then nothing. Also seen way too many predictions go the other way.

Since when have weather men ever been able to predict the weather?
For some reason their dire predictions during Chiefs and Royals games are usually spot-on. Main one to listen to is Lezak. At some point in next few days he'll probably sound confident and then we'll know.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:48 AM   #236
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Last night Lezak said he wasn't expecting any major event. Some slicks spots at worse.

Said it would be just rain on and off during the game.
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Old 01-11-2017, 07:59 AM   #237
Chieficus Chieficus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
****. From the NWS.
That's more for southern MO. KC looking about the same from today's model runs and NWS forecasts. Just a little later start for the event--Saturday morning as opposed to Friday night.
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Old 01-11-2017, 08:54 AM   #238
kcfanXIII kcfanXIII is offline
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I always get a kick out of the "Weathermen never get anything right" crowd. If your expectation is 100% accuracy a week out, your chances of being let down are high. They're really high. Take the info for what its worth, and plan accordingly. That's all a weather forecast is good for. I tend to agree that when Lezak starts getting a weather boner, its time to pay attention. He normally has a pretty level head when forecasting, but its impossible not to notice the guy is a huge weather nerd, so he gets excited when events happen.
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Old 01-11-2017, 08:58 AM   #239
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Old 01-11-2017, 09:58 AM   #240
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We cancelled our overtime for work this weekend. Supposed to be nasty. I would stay off the roads and airport unless you want to have a shitty weekend going into money's busy work week.
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