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Old 11-01-2014, 07:04 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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2014 Playoff prediction thread

It looks like we will be in the thick of the playoff race for the rest of the season. So I'll keep an updated prognosis of our chances in this thread. These are made with my software, available here: http://nfl-forecast.com


After week 8:
Chances of winning the division: 10%
Chances of making the playoffs: 52%
Median number of projected wins: 9

After week 9:
Chances of winning the division: 19%
Chances of making the playoffs: 57%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 10:
Chances of winning the division: 17%
Chances of making the playoffs: 71%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 11:
Chances of winning the division: 36%
Chances of making the playoffs: 82%
Median number of projected wins: 11

Last edited by cdcox; 11-19-2014 at 07:36 PM..
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Old 11-09-2014, 10:51 PM   #136
KChiefs1 KChiefs1 is offline
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Yep. Gut feeling is we drop to 5-5 in the next two weeks.

How's that gut feeling now?
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Old 11-09-2014, 11:12 PM   #137
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
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How's that gut feeling now?
It feels good to be wrong. The Chiefs are relevant. Give me the shit though because I earned it.
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Old 11-09-2014, 11:15 PM   #138
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Clay, don't **** up the karma.


You should have just kept going until we won the whole ****ing thing.

Take one for the team.
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Old 11-10-2014, 06:36 AM   #139
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Clay, don't **** up the karma.


You should have just kept going until we won the whole ****ing thing.

Take one for the team.
No. **** that. I want the videos he started making last year. I'm tired of the Mav-Clay battles

He deserves to be on the side of good.
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Old 11-10-2014, 09:18 PM   #140
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As an added tidbit, Chiefs control their own destiny. Win all their games and they win the division. We don't quite control our destiny with respect to the #1 seed, but would have a greater than 99% chance of getting it if we win the rest of our games. 13-3 anyone?
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Old 11-12-2014, 09:40 PM   #141
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OP officially updated for week 10.
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Old 11-12-2014, 10:03 PM   #142
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This is a great thread. Thanks again for the info.
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Old 11-12-2014, 10:11 PM   #143
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Why did our division percent drop!
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Old 11-12-2014, 10:14 PM   #144
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Originally Posted by O.city View Post
Why did our division percent drop!
The Broncos won too, so that's one less game we have to overtake them.
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Old 11-12-2014, 10:17 PM   #145
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Ah, yah, duh
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Old 11-12-2014, 10:18 PM   #146
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
Why did our division percent drop!
Two reasons.

With both teams winning, there is one less game for us to catch them.

Also, last week we were 12 points behind Denver in generic win percentage. This week, we fell to 15 points behind.
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Old 11-12-2014, 11:46 PM   #147
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Old 11-13-2014, 01:00 AM   #148
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Just curious, why do the wins and losses stop at 11. Also, why does 11 wins only go to 4 losses instead of 5?
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Old 11-13-2014, 01:35 AM   #149
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Guru View Post
Just curious, why do the wins and losses stop at 11. Also, why does 11 wins only go to 4 losses instead of 5?
A) Because every team with 12 wins has made the playoffs.

B) Because if all 16 games have been played, you know who has made the playoffs, and there is no reason to refer to a chart.
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Old 11-13-2014, 01:43 AM   #150
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A) Because every team with 12 wins has made the playoffs.

B) Because if all 16 games have been played, you know who has made the playoffs, and there is no reason to refer to a chart.
I figured that may be the case on A but wasn't sure on B. Thanks
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