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Old 11-01-2014, 07:04 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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2014 Playoff prediction thread

It looks like we will be in the thick of the playoff race for the rest of the season. So I'll keep an updated prognosis of our chances in this thread. These are made with my software, available here: http://nfl-forecast.com


After week 8:
Chances of winning the division: 10%
Chances of making the playoffs: 52%
Median number of projected wins: 9

After week 9:
Chances of winning the division: 19%
Chances of making the playoffs: 57%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 10:
Chances of winning the division: 17%
Chances of making the playoffs: 71%
Median number of projected wins: 10

After week 11:
Chances of winning the division: 36%
Chances of making the playoffs: 82%
Median number of projected wins: 11

Last edited by cdcox; 11-19-2014 at 07:36 PM..
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Old 11-06-2014, 12:27 AM   #121
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Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
Better hope Denver, New England, Pittsburgh and Indianapolis don't make the postseason...

Ain't worried 'bout dem **** boyz.
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Old 11-06-2014, 12:45 AM   #122
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Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
Can't wait.

Edit: Unless you mean for the Seahawks.

Edit 2.0: Which you probably do.
Nah. This Bills game is huge.

If we beat Buffalo, we're coming home and thwomping Seattle.

Oh yeah. You hear that? That's the sound homer Clay makes poking his head out of my ass.
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Old 11-06-2014, 12:48 AM   #123
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Nah. This Bills game is huge.

If we beat Buffalo, we're coming home and thwomping Seattle.

Oh yeah. You hear that? That's the sound homer Clay makes poking his head out of my ass.


Seattle is going to be a TOUGH GAME.

I don't see how they pass on us, but they are one of the few teams who can literally run for an entire game. And I haven't a clue how we score on them.
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Old 11-06-2014, 12:51 AM   #124
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Seattle is going to be a TOUGH GAME.

I don't see how they pass on us, but they are one of the few teams who can literally run for an entire game. And I haven't a clue how we score on them.
Buffalo's defense is better than Seattle's this year. Especially up front.

Seattle's D has gone downhill for whatever reason, seriously.
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Old 11-06-2014, 12:52 AM   #125
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Buffalo's defense is better than Seattle's this year.

Seattle's D has gone downhill for whatever reason, seriously.
Huh. One can only hope.
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Old 11-06-2014, 01:08 AM   #126
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Huh. One can only hope.
I just see it as...if we have the horses to handle Buffalo on the road...we can handle Seattle at home.e.
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Old 11-06-2014, 01:10 AM   #127
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We are not making the playoffs this year fellas. Sorry to say.
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Old 11-06-2014, 01:11 AM   #128
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We are not making the playoffs this year fellas. Sorry to say.
Yep. Gut feeling is we drop to 5-5 in the next two weeks.
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Old 11-06-2014, 02:08 AM   #129
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Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
Buffalo's defense is better than Seattle's this year. Especially up front.

Seattle's D has gone downhill for whatever reason, seriously.
They lost their depth in the d line. They got pressure relentlessly, and letting clemons and red Bryant go crushed their depth.
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Old 11-09-2014, 03:17 PM   #130
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Unofficial interim update:

Win the division: 26%
Playoffs: 75%
Median wins: 10
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Old 11-09-2014, 03:41 PM   #131
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We are not making the playoffs this year fellas. Sorry to say.
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Old 11-09-2014, 05:08 PM   #132
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Unofficial interim update:

Win the division: 26%
Playoffs: 75%
Median wins: 10
Huge shift for one week.
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Old 11-09-2014, 05:10 PM   #133
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Huge ****ing win this week, especially with the phins losing too.

Bills dolphins on thursday.
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Old 11-09-2014, 05:14 PM   #134
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Huge shift for one week.
The playoff odds were helped so much by us winning a game were weren't supposed to (46%) coupled with losses by Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Miami.

If Denver holds on for the win, division champ odds will drop back to 21%.
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Old 11-09-2014, 05:33 PM   #135
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We have 6 wins and we get to play the Raiders twice still. Chargers, Donkeys, seachunks are all at home. The Steelers got punked by a team we just punked.

I'd say we are sitting pretty good right now.
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