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Old 11-03-2017, 01:51 PM  
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US Government Releases Climate Science Special Report (NCA4)

"No convincing alternative explanation."

Massive Government Report Says Climate Is Warming And Humans Are The Cause

It is "extremely likely" that human activities are the "dominant cause" of global warming, according to the most comprehensive study ever of climate science by U.S. government researchers.

The climate report, obtained by NPR, notes that the past 115 years are "the warmest in the history of modern civilization." The global average temperature has increased by about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit over that period. Greenhouse gases from industry and agriculture are by far the biggest contributor to warming.

The findings contradict statements by President Trump and many of his Cabinet members, who have openly questioned the role humans play in changing the climate.

"I believe that measuring with precision human activity on the climate is something very challenging to do," EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt said in an interview earlier this year. "There's tremendous disagreement about the degree of impact."

That is not consistent with the conclusions of the 600-plus-page Climate Science Special Report, which is part of an even larger scientific review known as the fourth National Climate Assessment. The NCA4, as it's known, is the nation's most authoritative assessment of climate science. The report's authors include experts from leading scientific agencies, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NASA and the Department of Energy, as well as academic scientists.

The report states that the global climate will continue to warm. How much, it says, "will depend primarily on the amount of greenhouse gases (especially carbon dioxide) emitted globally." Without major reductions in emissions, it says, the increase in annual average global temperature could reach 9 degrees Fahrenheit relative to pre-industrial times. Efforts to reduce emissions, it says, would slow the rate of warming.

"This is good, solid climate science," says Richard Alley, a geoscientist at Penn State University, who says he made minor contributions to the report's conclusions on sea level rise. "This has been reviewed so many times in so many ways, and it's taking what we know from ... a couple of centuries of climate science and applying it to the U.S."

The assessments are required by an act of Congress; the last one was published in 2014. Alley says this year's goes further in attributing changes in weather to the warming climate, especially weather extremes. "More heat waves and fewer cold snaps, this is very clear," he says. The report also notes that warmer temperatures have contributed to the rise in forest fires in the West and that the incidence of those fires is expected to keep rising.

Some of the clearest effects involve sea level rise. "Coastal flooding, you raise the mean level of the ocean, everything else equal you get more coastal flooding," Alley says. The report notes that sea level has risen 7 to 8 inches since 1900, and 3 inches of that occurred since 1993. The report says that rate is faster than during any century over the past 2,800 years.

The report also points out that heavy rainfall is increasing in intensity and frequency across the U.S., especially in the Northeast, and that is expected to keep increasing.

Other connections are harder to nail down, Alley says, such as whether a particular hurricane can be attributed to climate change.

"The Climate Science Special Report is like going to a doctor and being given a report on your vital signs," says environmental scientist Rachel Licker of the Union of Concerned Scientists. She notes that the authors assessed more than 1,500 scientific studies and reports in making their conclusions.

Alley adds that the new report "does a better job of seeing the human fingerprint in what's happening." He says that while he hasn't read all of it yet, he sees no evidence that it has been soft-pedaled or understates the certainty of the science.

Alley notes that "there's a little rumbling" among climate scientists who are concerned that the Trump administration will ignore this effort. "I think the authors really are interested in seeing [the report] used wisely by policymakers to help the economy as well as the environment."

The report has been submitted to the Office of Science and Technology Policy at the White House. Trump has yet to choose anyone to run that office; it remains one of the last unfilled senior positions in the White House staff.
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Old 11-03-2017, 10:36 PM   #46
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My Weekly Reader in grade school in the 70's said we were heading to the next ice age... Al Gore told me 17 years ago the coastal cities would be underwater. Researchers have been caught manipulating data. This is their religion.


Yeah, right. Climate Science is the "religion" of the scientists at NASA.

The irony here is incredible.
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Old 11-03-2017, 10:45 PM   #47
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I just traded 3 years worth of food stock and supplies for a boat.
That's going to catch on fire the very second you put it in the water. Al Gores sequel An inconvenient Ocean Dumpster fire will shock the world.
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Old 11-04-2017, 07:51 AM   #48
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If we're worried about global warming, why don't all of us just turn our AC units on full, turn down the thermostats and open all of our doors and windows.

Surely that would cool it off some.

We could also install massive amounts of ice makers along the shorelines so the ice dumps directly into the ocean.

I'm full of.....great ideas.
There goes the next head of the EPA.
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:19 AM   #49
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:24 AM   #50
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I think I'll run my mower today...
Leaves?
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:28 AM   #51
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Leaves?
Yes. And the desire to move 1.8 to 1.9.
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:33 AM   #52
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I read that giving money to the Audubon Society can save the pelicans from a bad end caused by climate change. Lots of outfits making good change on this deal.
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:34 AM   #53
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Can you name a single climate scientist millionaire?
Of course there is absolutely no fiscal incentive for the fossil industry backed scientists to sell their intellectual integrity.
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:34 AM   #54
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Originally Posted by GloryDayz View Post
Yes. And the desire to move 1.8 to 1.9.

Maybe I'll move it to 2.0 today I have leaves in my yard.
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:35 AM   #55
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I think I'll run my mower today...
I'll fire up the snowblower to check it out before the first snowfall
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:36 AM   #56
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Why would the Pentagon be in on this “hoax?”
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Old 11-04-2017, 09:40 AM   #57
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Maybe I'll move it to 2.0 today I have leaves in my yard.
http://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/...ments-2016.pdf


No one gettin rich.....right
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Old 11-04-2017, 10:17 AM   #58
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For more Climate information please visit www.weather.com

Have a nice WARM day.
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Old 11-04-2017, 10:40 AM   #59
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The scope of this study is seriously incredible. But there will be absolutely no convincing some of these jokers. They could witness the sea boil in front of their eyes, and still make Al Gore jokes...
The part you are not going to convince many of us on is the MAN MADE part. I have no idea if the Earth is in a natural period of warming or cooling at the present point, but I know the Earth throughout history does this.

What I likely will never be convinced of is that sending MORE of my money to the government is gonna "save the great mother Earth". If man made climate change were real, it would need handled by a private business/entity anyway. Can you name anything else the government has a hand in that actually works right?
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Old 11-04-2017, 11:03 AM   #60
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It would be nice if we could experience something close to the medieval warm period here where we had a real temperature increase.
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