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Old 11-03-2017, 01:51 PM  
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US Government Releases Climate Science Special Report (NCA4)

"No convincing alternative explanation."

Massive Government Report Says Climate Is Warming And Humans Are The Cause

It is "extremely likely" that human activities are the "dominant cause" of global warming, according to the most comprehensive study ever of climate science by U.S. government researchers.

The climate report, obtained by NPR, notes that the past 115 years are "the warmest in the history of modern civilization." The global average temperature has increased by about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit over that period. Greenhouse gases from industry and agriculture are by far the biggest contributor to warming.

The findings contradict statements by President Trump and many of his Cabinet members, who have openly questioned the role humans play in changing the climate.

"I believe that measuring with precision human activity on the climate is something very challenging to do," EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt said in an interview earlier this year. "There's tremendous disagreement about the degree of impact."

That is not consistent with the conclusions of the 600-plus-page Climate Science Special Report, which is part of an even larger scientific review known as the fourth National Climate Assessment. The NCA4, as it's known, is the nation's most authoritative assessment of climate science. The report's authors include experts from leading scientific agencies, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NASA and the Department of Energy, as well as academic scientists.

The report states that the global climate will continue to warm. How much, it says, "will depend primarily on the amount of greenhouse gases (especially carbon dioxide) emitted globally." Without major reductions in emissions, it says, the increase in annual average global temperature could reach 9 degrees Fahrenheit relative to pre-industrial times. Efforts to reduce emissions, it says, would slow the rate of warming.

"This is good, solid climate science," says Richard Alley, a geoscientist at Penn State University, who says he made minor contributions to the report's conclusions on sea level rise. "This has been reviewed so many times in so many ways, and it's taking what we know from ... a couple of centuries of climate science and applying it to the U.S."

The assessments are required by an act of Congress; the last one was published in 2014. Alley says this year's goes further in attributing changes in weather to the warming climate, especially weather extremes. "More heat waves and fewer cold snaps, this is very clear," he says. The report also notes that warmer temperatures have contributed to the rise in forest fires in the West and that the incidence of those fires is expected to keep rising.

Some of the clearest effects involve sea level rise. "Coastal flooding, you raise the mean level of the ocean, everything else equal you get more coastal flooding," Alley says. The report notes that sea level has risen 7 to 8 inches since 1900, and 3 inches of that occurred since 1993. The report says that rate is faster than during any century over the past 2,800 years.

The report also points out that heavy rainfall is increasing in intensity and frequency across the U.S., especially in the Northeast, and that is expected to keep increasing.

Other connections are harder to nail down, Alley says, such as whether a particular hurricane can be attributed to climate change.

"The Climate Science Special Report is like going to a doctor and being given a report on your vital signs," says environmental scientist Rachel Licker of the Union of Concerned Scientists. She notes that the authors assessed more than 1,500 scientific studies and reports in making their conclusions.

Alley adds that the new report "does a better job of seeing the human fingerprint in what's happening." He says that while he hasn't read all of it yet, he sees no evidence that it has been soft-pedaled or understates the certainty of the science.

Alley notes that "there's a little rumbling" among climate scientists who are concerned that the Trump administration will ignore this effort. "I think the authors really are interested in seeing [the report] used wisely by policymakers to help the economy as well as the environment."

The report has been submitted to the Office of Science and Technology Policy at the White House. Trump has yet to choose anyone to run that office; it remains one of the last unfilled senior positions in the White House staff.
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Old 11-04-2017, 12:17 PM   #91
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Just look at the trend comparisons during each period. 1930 was an anomaly, not a trend.



Would you say that our ability to accurately observe average global temperature has greatly increased since the 1930s?

And, yes, I see the trend. It's going up, apparently. But 1.8F. Sorry. That's not enough to worry me. 10 to 20F? Sure.

And, again, these geniuses didn't predict the slowdown, did they?
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Old 11-04-2017, 12:27 PM   #92
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Would you say that our ability to accurately observe average global temperature has greatly increased since the 1930s?

And, yes, I see the trend. It's going up, apparently. But 1.8F. Sorry. That's not enough to worry me. 10 to 20F? Sure.

And, again, these geniuses didn't predict the slowdown, did they?
10 to 20? Yikes. The last ice age was only a 9 degree F difference than today's average. 10 degree average difference would be pretty bad.

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To put 2.7 degrees F into perspective, just about 9 degrees F (5 degrees C) separates the modern world from the last ice age, which ended about 15,000 years ago, deMenocal said. During that time, sea levels were about 350 feet (106 meters) lower than they are today, because an extensive amount of water was stored as ice at the poles, he said. During that ice age, about 32 percent of Earth was covered in ice, compared to just about 10 percent today, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

[...]

On land, an increase of 3.6 degrees F (2 degrees C) would almost double the water deficit and would lead to a drop in wheat and maize harvests, according to NASA.

https://www.livescience.com/58891-wh...e-matters.html
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Why a half-degree temperature rise is a big deal

Heat waves would last around a third longer, rain storms would be about a third more intense, the increase in sea level would be approximately that much higher and the percentage of tropical coral reefs at risk of severe degradation would be roughly that much greater.

But in some cases, that extra increase in temperature makes things much more dire. At 1.5 C, the study found that tropical coral reefs stand a chance of adapting and reversing a portion of their die-off in the last half of the century. But at 2 C, the chance of recovery vanishes. Tropical corals are virtually wiped out by the year 2100.

With a 1.5 C rise in temperature, the Mediterranean area is forecast to have about 9 percent less fresh water available. At 2 C, that water deficit nearly doubles. So does the decrease in wheat and maize harvest in the tropics.

On a global scale, production of wheat and soy is forecast to increase with a 1.5 C temperature rise, partly because warming is favorable for farming in higher latitudes and partly because the added carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which is largely responsible for the temperature increase, is thought to have a fertilization effect. But at 2 C, that advantage plummets by 700 percent for soy and disappears entirely for wheat.
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Old 11-04-2017, 12:30 PM   #93
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Wait we’ve had ice ages? Did man cause those too?
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Old 11-04-2017, 01:16 PM
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Old 11-04-2017, 03:08 PM   #94
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Old 11-05-2017, 09:15 AM   #95
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Old 11-05-2017, 03:43 PM   #96
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Color fudge charts are what SUBS really like.

In truth, the data still says what it has said throughout the fraud.


1. NO WARMING in the ATMOSPHERE
2. NO WARMING in the OCEANS
3. NO NET ICE MELT
4. NO BREAKOUT in CANE Activity
5. NO WARMING on Antarctica or Siberia (no urban areas there)



All Algore's FRAUD has ever had is the SURFACE GROUND warming....


The FRAUD of Global "Warming" is the deliberate misinterpretation of the URBAN HEAT SINK EFFECT on the SURFACE GROUND TEMPERATURE SERIES, the only series that shows any organic warming in the "pre fudged" raw data...
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Old 11-05-2017, 05:01 PM   #97
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Only an idiot would still believe in global warming.

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Old 02-11-2018, 03:39 PM   #98
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Old 02-11-2018, 04:06 PM   #99
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Whatever issues, if there are any, that come from global warming will be conquered by human ingenuity.
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Old 02-11-2018, 04:15 PM   #100
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Old 02-11-2018, 04:16 PM   #101
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Whatever issues, if there are any, that come from global warming will be conquered by human ingenuity.
....Or if that fails, our loving government will tax the guts out of us and send the money to foreign governments. Either way should work
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Old 02-11-2018, 04:44 PM   #102
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Old 02-11-2018, 05:14 PM   #103
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Old 02-11-2018, 05:16 PM   #104
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I just don’t get it. Everyone that doesn’t agree with the study wouldn’t embrace a better way to sustain our planet? We’d rather burn coal than use solar power just for the name of jobs? Just the thought of leaving this place better than when you entered it never crossed a critics mind?
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Old 02-11-2018, 05:24 PM   #105
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I just don’t get it. Everyone that doesn’t agree with the study wouldn’t embrace a better way to sustain our planet? We’d rather burn coal than use solar power just for the name of jobs? Just the thought of leaving this place better than when you entered it never crossed a critics mind?
"We need immigrants to keep low prices for produce!"


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