Home Mail Chat Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The Lounge > Washington DC and The Holy Land
Reload this Page Elections 538
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read

Reply
Page 8 of 104 « First 4567 8 91011121858 Last »
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-07-2012, 07:21 PM  
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
538
The latest 538 simulations have Obama winning 90.9% of the time with an average of 313.0 EC. The popular vote is seen as 50.8-48.3 or a 2.5 point lead for Obama.

The closest state contests are:
Florida 50.3% Obama
North Carolina 74.4% Romney
Virginia 79.4% Obama
Colorado 79.7% Obama
Iowa 84.3% Obama
New Hampshire 84.6% Obama

The following battleground states are now considered safe Obama meaning more than a 90% probability:
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Nevada
Ohio

Obama has 303 EC at least 79%
Obama has 332 EC at least 50%
Last edited by whoman69; 11-06-2012 at 10:58 AM.. Reason: latest update
Posts: 23,101
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2012, 05:06 PM   #106
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Has a particular set of skills
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $39727
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brainiac View Post
I'm a moderate.
__________________
“Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.”
/Oscar Wilde
Posts: 61,908
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2012, 08:58 PM   #107
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
It's my opinion alright, but it's an opinion heavily based on what both candidates have said and done.

Thank goodness for obstruction of government progress. Government progress gave us >8% unemployment, <2% growth, and a deficit expanding government takeover of healthcare without any progress on keeping healthcare costs under control. We don't need any more of that progress.
Can't have it both ways. Can't blame it on Obama policies and then admit those policies were never allowed to go through.
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak
Quote:
Originally posted by Logical
When the boobs are a bouncin, the Chiefs will be trouncin
What the Raiders fan has said is true, our customs are different. What Al Davis has said is unimportant, and we do not hear his words.
Posts: 23,101
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2012, 09:16 PM   #108
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Has a particular set of skills
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $39727
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
If Romeny were able to take Florida, Ohio, and VA, he could still pull it out out without any of those 3. A huge long shot, but not impossible.
New Ohio poll out today has Obama up +5 points, 50-45

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1860.html
__________________
“Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.”
/Oscar Wilde
Posts: 61,908
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2012, 10:16 PM   #109
go bo go bo is offline
Flop = Man of Steel!!
 
go bo's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: independence
Casino cash: $26505
if the big o wins ohio it's all over...
Posts: 36,669
go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.go bo is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2012, 10:57 PM   #110
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
New Ohio poll out today has Obama up +5 points, 50-45

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1860.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by go bowe View Post
if the big o wins ohio it's all over...
The Obama lead is increasing says 538. Its goes beyond a convention bump as the numbers factor that already in. Obama is seen as having an 80.7% chance of winning. All those lean Obama states that were mentioned earlier have all moved to the likely category except Florida. Florida is seen as a 67% probability of being an Obama state. North Carolina is seen as a tossup, leaning slightly Romney but trending to Obama. Ohio is nearly a 75% shot that Obama takes it. Additionally Nebraska's second district has fallen out of the Romney safe category. Overall the race has moved a six percent probability towards an Obama victory as the popular vote has moved half a point in his direction within the last week. Again 538's methodology negates any temporary convention bounce.
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak
Quote:
Originally posted by Logical
When the boobs are a bouncin, the Chiefs will be trouncin
What the Raiders fan has said is true, our customs are different. What Al Davis has said is unimportant, and we do not hear his words.
Posts: 23,101
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 08:00 AM   #111
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
Make America Great Again
 
Direckshun's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Springpatch
Casino cash: $33532
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
To me, this seems like a ludicrous thing to say about a party that nominated Mitt Romney. The democrat candidate is far more "fringe" than Mitt Romney even if Republicans and popular sentiment have prevented him from going full Obama.
The Democratic candidate is center-left, if not a straight centrist.

The Republican candidate supports the Ryan budget.
__________________
Posts: 54,047
Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 08:26 AM   #112
Amnorix Amnorix is offline
In BB I trust
 
Amnorix's Avatar
 

Join Date: May 2003
Location: Boston, Mass.
Casino cash: $29908
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
BEP and Sportsshrink are just nuts when they call me RINO or socialist.

FYP
__________________
"I love signature blocks on the Internet. I get to put whatever the hell I want in quotes, pick a pretend author, and bang, it's like he really said it." George Washington
Posts: 41,417
Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.Amnorix is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 12:49 PM   #113
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
Quote:
Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
Can't have it both ways. Can't blame it on Obama policies and then admit those policies were never allowed to go through.
Obama had no trouble getting his policies through for the better part of his first two years in office. Since the election of 2010, the GOP has used it's mandate to block as much of the damage as possible. As it turns out, over time, you can have it both ways.
__________________


“Boy, you all want power. God, I hope you never get it.” - Lindsay Graham
Posts: 96,667
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 12:50 PM   #114
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
The Democratic candidate is center-left, if not a straight centrist.

The Republican candidate supports the Ryan budget.
Wrong on both counts.
__________________


“Boy, you all want power. God, I hope you never get it.” - Lindsay Graham
Posts: 96,667
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 07:55 PM   #115
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Has a particular set of skills
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $39727
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Wrong on both counts.
Does it worry you that Nate Silver is giving Romney a 17% chance of winning the elections and Obama an 83% chance of winning?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ click on now cast

Obama has a:
75% chance of taking Ohio, Virgina, Iowa?

85% chance of taking wisconsin and Nevada?
__________________
“Be yourself; everyone else is already taken.”
/Oscar Wilde
Posts: 61,908
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-10-2012, 10:05 PM   #116
Swanman Swanman is offline
It's a league game, Dude
 
Swanman's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Itasca, IL
Casino cash: $17454
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Does it worry you that Nate Silver is giving Romney a 17% chance of winning the elections and Obama an 83% chance of winning?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ click on now cast

Obama has a:
75% chance of taking Ohio, Virgina, Iowa?

85% chance of taking wisconsin and Nevada?
The momentum is firmly on Obama's side, especially after the RNC got zero bounce from their convention and the DNC turned around and got around a 4 point bounce after theirs. This is very similar to 2008. McCain was tied or leading slightly before the conventions but then didn't capitalize and Obama did and never looked back.
Posts: 4,453
Swanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliSwanman 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-11-2012, 05:52 AM   #117
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Does it worry you that Nate Silver is giving Romney a 17% chance of winning the elections and Obama an 83% chance of winning?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ click on now cast

Obama has a:
75% chance of taking Ohio, Virgina, Iowa?

85% chance of taking wisconsin and Nevada?
I'd rather see it the other way around, but I don't think "worry" is the right word. I don't have as much blind faith in that number as Nate Silver fanboys do.
__________________


“Boy, you all want power. God, I hope you never get it.” - Lindsay Graham
Posts: 96,667
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-11-2012, 12:11 PM   #118
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Obama had no trouble getting his policies through for the better part of his first two years in office. Since the election of 2010, the GOP has used it's mandate to block as much of the damage as possible. As it turns out, over time, you can have it both ways.
Re-write history much? 85% of legislation was filibustered in the first two years.
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak
Quote:
Originally posted by Logical
When the boobs are a bouncin, the Chiefs will be trouncin
What the Raiders fan has said is true, our customs are different. What Al Davis has said is unimportant, and we do not hear his words.
Posts: 23,101
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-11-2012, 12:18 PM   #119
vailpass vailpass is offline
Are U Ready For Some Football
 
vailpass's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2001
Casino cash: $24344
Quote:
Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
Re-write history much? 85% of legislation was filibustered in the first two years.
I look for that number to go up if obama is re-elected. Reparations legislation not withstanding, of course.
__________________
These violent delights have violent ends.
Posts: 53,940
vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.vailpass is obviously part of the inner Circle.
   Reply With Quote
Old 09-11-2012, 12:35 PM   #120
Cave Johnson Cave Johnson is offline
11-5, baby
 
Cave Johnson's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Livin the dream
Casino cash: $21657
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
I'd rather see it the other way around, but I don't think "worry" is the right word. I don't have as much blind faith in that number as Nate Silver fanboys do.
Absolutely. Lotta time between now and November 6th for voter suppression.
Posts: 14,506
Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.Cave Johnson has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
   Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 8 of 104 « First 4567 8 91011121858 Last »

« Previous Thread | > The Lounge > Washington DC and The Holy Land < | Next Thread »
Thread Tools
Display Modes
Linear Mode Linear Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:29 AM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.