Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Reload this Page Chiefs Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read

Reply
Page 31 of 31 « First 2127282930 31
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-26-2012, 08:12 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $2431769
Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012
nfl-forecast.com is back for another season.

After Week 3
As of the moment, the Chiefs odds of making the playoffs are 10%.

The distribution of potential wins and draft picks will be shown in my next post.

Unfortunately, this season is shaping up to be a classic case of being Piolied by the Cassel maneuver.

Midway through Week 12

We have an 81% chance of getting the overall #1 pick.

We can afford to win a game, and in all likelihood, still take the number one overall pick. For example, if we win one game and Jacksonville loses out, we will still get the overall #1 pick 99% of the time. If we beat Carolina and they lose out, we still get the #1 pick 75% of the time.

The Chiefs are eliminated from the playoffs.

Midway through week 13

As of now odds of getting the #1 draft pick:

KC 55%
Jax 24%
Oakland 15%
Philly 4%
Field 2%

Midway through week 14

KC 55%
Jax 31%
Oakland 14%
Only 3 with decent odds.

Midway through week 15

KC 70%
Jac 30%
Oakland <<1%

KC guaranteed a top 3 spot

Midway through week 16

KC 92%
Jax 8%

Only way we don't get it is if we beat Denver and Jax loses to TN (barring ties).
Last edited by cdcox; 12-23-2012 at 03:26 PM..
Posts: 45,536
cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 06:53 PM   #451
siberian khatru siberian khatru is offline
21st Century Schizoid Fan
 
siberian khatru's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: The Gates of Delirium
Casino cash: $2644950
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief View Post
So ideally, Jacksonville beats Tennessee, New England beats Miami, and then Denver hangs us on a rusty nail in the afternoon...
I could go for one of those
Posts: 69,111
siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.siberian khatru is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 06:58 PM   #452
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $2431769
This may have already been said, but Denver can finish anywhere between the 1 seed and the 3 seed, so the game definitely is going to mean something to them regardless. Manning will play.
Posts: 45,536
cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.cdcox is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:10 PM   #453
Rain Man Rain Man is online now
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
 
Rain Man's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: My house
Casino cash: $3418491
VARSITY
I really, really, really, really, really hope that Jacksonville wins so we can unleash our full rooting fury on the cheating Broncos.
__________________
I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit.
Posts: 141,191
Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.Rain Man is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:36 PM   #454
SAUTO SAUTO is offline
Shit
 

Join Date: Jun 2008
Casino cash: $10039067
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan View Post
It happens every year. It will come out tonight don't need to link it.
We had this conversation last week. You could only link two games.

I'm not buying it happens "every year"
Posted via Mobile Device
Posts: 55,715
SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.SAUTO is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:52 PM   #455
C-Mac C-Mac is offline
Lurker Extraordinaire
 
C-Mac's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Wally World
Casino cash: $2433699
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
This may have already been said, but Denver can finish anywhere between the 1 seed and the 3 seed, so the game definitely is going to mean something to them regardless. Manning will play.
I think the Texans and Pats play at 12:00.

If somehow they both loose, won't the Donks automatically lock up 1st seed?

Therefore the 3:00 game with the Chiefs wont matter.

Also not sure of the tiebreaker with Donks and Pats
Posts: 5,632
C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:55 PM   #456
HerculesRockefell HerculesRockefell is offline
Starter
 

Join Date: Jan 2006
Casino cash: $10004930
The only way Denver has nothing to play for is a Pats loss and Houston win.
Posts: 571
HerculesRockefell is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.HerculesRockefell is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.HerculesRockefell is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.HerculesRockefell is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.HerculesRockefell is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:57 PM   #457
C-Mac C-Mac is offline
Lurker Extraordinaire
 
C-Mac's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Wally World
Casino cash: $2433699
Quote:
Originally Posted by HerculesRockefell View Post
The only way Denver has nothing to play for is a Pats loss and Houston win.
That is a possible scenario, and the main thing that ruins it all is those games are at noon before the Chiefs play.
Posts: 5,632
C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.C-Mac must have mowed badgirl's lawn.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 08:58 PM   #458
htismaqe htismaqe is offline
'Tis my eye!
 
htismaqe's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
Casino cash: $10269900
Quote:
Originally Posted by C-Mac View Post
I think the Texans and Pats play at 12:00.

If somehow they both loose, won't the Donks automatically lock up 1st seed?

Therefore the 3:00 game with the Chiefs wont matter.

Also not sure of the tiebreaker with Donks and Pats
Again, the league has become about getting hot at the right time.

The Broncos won't be resting anybody, even if they already have the #1 seed.
Posts: 100,022
htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 09:21 PM   #459
FloridaMan88 FloridaMan88 is online now
Mahomes: We Are All Witnesses
 
FloridaMan88's Avatar
 

Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Miami, FL
Casino cash: $3262906
Denver could rest every starter on their team and still beat the Chiefs by 35 points.

That is the beauty of Romeo/Daboll/Quinn.
Posts: 37,977
FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.FloridaMan88 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 12-23-2012, 09:43 PM
ShowtimeSBMVP
This message has been deleted by ShowtimeSBMVP.
Old 12-23-2012, 09:52 PM
ShowtimeSBMVP
This message has been deleted by ShowtimeSBMVP.
Old 12-25-2012, 09:55 PM   #460
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is online now
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $4810478
Broncos fan cracking me up.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ZONA View Post





__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 277,440
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 31 of 31 « First 2127282930 31

« Previous Thread | > Nzoner's Game Room < | Next Thread »
Thread Tools
Display Modes
Linear Mode Linear Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:51 PM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.