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Old 06-27-2016, 11:23 AM  
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Personal finance and investing megathread extravaganza

I know lewdog (and maybe others) have mentioned the desire to have a place to chat about personal finance stuff. We'll see if there's enough interest to keep this going in the long-term, but at least for now, here's a place to chat about whatever personal finance topics come up.



If you're just getting started thinking about saving and don't know where to begin, this flow chart can help. Ask for advice in the thread for more help!

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Old 02-08-2018, 09:17 PM   #1756
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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Originally Posted by lewdog View Post
The media has been pandering for a "correction" or "bear market" for 1+ years. Get a few days of investors taking profits off the table and people start seeing these selloffs as the peak of the market and the signaling of impending doom. It's a snowball affect. Does anyone think it's partially related to the amount of media and social media affect that so many see today on the markets? I really can't explain how this snowballed so quickly this week so that's just a thought.

The selloff was expected, but not at this type of weekly level. It's pretty crazy to say the least.
Looking at a weekly chart, a correction on the weekly is very much due.
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Old 02-09-2018, 05:35 PM   #1757
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Looking at a weekly chart, a correction on the weekly is very much due.
Weekly of the SPY closed right at the first Fibonacci retracement (25%). It broke through it but came back and closed at it. The low today, yikes, is probably or at least hopefully an intermediate bottom. I suspect we will see some consolidation over the next couple of weeks. Given the current economic environment I wouldn't expect too much more selling. The economy is strong and one article today tried to say "too strong" in which I call bullshit. We are coming out of the slowest economic recovery in our history. Things that are happening now should have been happening for years.

The one risk is that the Federal Reserve should have started raising rates a long, long time ago so now they may have to play catch up.

That being said, people freaking out over 3% rates on the 10 year bond are idiots.
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So, if they were polling better than Trump and the primary goal was to prevent Hillary from becoming POTUS, perhaps it would have been a better strategic decision to nominate someone who actually had a chance of beating her and preventing that than nominating Donald Trump.
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Old 02-13-2018, 04:28 PM   #1758
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How do you guys determine whether to use a stop loss vs stop limit order?
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Old 02-13-2018, 09:06 PM   #1759
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How do you guys determine whether to use a stop loss vs stop limit order?
Or if you have a true long term play, whether to use one at all. Like we talked about before, if you sell you're turning a paper loss to a realized loss, and potentially miss out on the recovery.

There has been a lot of talk in the past week about how the broad use of these by the casual investor and metrics based algorithms actually contributed to the decline by making the selloff a self fulfilling prophecy.

Ultimately comes down to whether you anticipate a continued and prolonged drop below previous levels, or if you (as I do) foresee a somewhat expedient recovery.
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Old 02-13-2018, 09:15 PM   #1760
Hog's Gone Fishin Hog's Gone Fishin is offline
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Or if you have a true long term play, whether to use one at all. Like we talked about before, if you sell you're turning a paper loss to a realized loss, and potentially miss out on the recovery.

There has been a lot of talk in the past week about how the broad use of these by the casual investor and metrics based algorithms actually contributed to the decline by making the selloff a self fulfilling prophecy.

Ultimately comes down to whether you anticipate a continued and prolonged drop below previous levels, or if you (as I do) foresee a somewhat expedient recovery.
Yep, i've made a couple mistakes using stop loss by setting it too tight and regretting it. But thats not what Lew is asking. I think he wants to know in what circumstance you would use the limit stop loss vrs a stop loss .
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Old 02-13-2018, 09:20 PM   #1761
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Quote:
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How do you guys determine whether to use a stop loss vs stop limit order?
Meh, use the stop loss. In a fast market a stop limit may not get filled. Of course in a fast market your market order could get a crap price. But it will get filled.
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So, if they were polling better than Trump and the primary goal was to prevent Hillary from becoming POTUS, perhaps it would have been a better strategic decision to nominate someone who actually had a chance of beating her and preventing that than nominating Donald Trump.
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Old 02-13-2018, 10:14 PM   #1762
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So maybe a new topic that hasn't been expanded on lately, for those of us who work with financial advisors:

We're entering a new market that we haven't been through for a while. Perhaps, gone are the days of blindly picking an ETF linked to the S&P500 and being able to return 20%.

In an era of potentially elusive returns, what advantage do you see in having an FA choose an allocation appropriate for you within a fund family and paying the sales charge for an A share, vs choosing an actively managed fund with a higher yearly wrap fee that can theoretically keep your portfolio constantly balanced, and (depending on how aggressive your strategy) position the portfolio to take advantage of opportunities based on that particular firm's research?

From a pure numbers perspective, an A share's upfront commission would buy you approximately 3 years worth of management in an actively managed portfolio. Since the actively managed portfolio assesses the fees as you go, more of your money is invested earlier on, so you're better able to capture gains early on.

After the first 3 years, is the fee worth it? If we look at the last couple years I wouldn't think so, but in a more challenging market that expertise may be able to seek out higher returns.

Thoughts?
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Old 02-13-2018, 10:25 PM   #1763
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cornstock View Post
So maybe a new topic that hasn't been expanded on lately, for those of us who work with financial advisors:

We're entering a new market that we haven't been through for a while. Perhaps, gone are the days of blindly picking an ETF linked to the S&P500 and being able to return 20%.

In an era of potentially elusive returns, what advantage do you see in having an FA choose an allocation appropriate for you within a fund family and paying the sales charge for an A share, vs choosing an actively managed fund with a higher yearly wrap fee that can theoretically keep your portfolio constantly balanced, and (depending on how aggressive your strategy) position the portfolio to take advantage of opportunities based on that particular firm's research?

From a pure numbers perspective, an A share's upfront commission would buy you approximately 3 years worth of management in an actively managed portfolio. Since the actively managed portfolio assesses the fees as you go, more of your money is invested earlier on, so you're better able to capture gains early on.

After the first 3 years, is the fee worth it? If we look at the last couple years I wouldn't think so, but in a more challenging market that expertise may be able to seek out higher returns.

Thoughts?
I set my daughter up an account with Edward Jones and discussed with them where to invest. They charge 2% in and 2% out. Then I set up a custodial account on Etrade for her and put the rest of her money in the same funds he used. This way i have a professional I can use for advice without them stealing my /her money.

And i realize that although the more money they make you the more they make for themselves but they aren't as attached. I just don't believe in buying stocks or mutual funds and not keeping an eye on performance. what good is a stock that you bought at $20 and over 10 years goes up to $70 but at the end of the 10 years it's sitting at $20 again .
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Old 02-13-2018, 10:47 PM   #1764
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I set my daughter up an account with Edward Jones and discussed with them where to invest. They charge 2% in and 2% out. Then I set up a custodial account on Etrade for her and put the rest of her money in the same funds he used. This way i have a professional I can use for advice without them stealing my /her money.

And i realize that although the more money they make you the more they make for themselves but they aren't as attached. I just don't believe in buying stocks or mutual funds and not keeping an eye on performance. what good is a stock that you bought at $20 and over 10 years goes up to $70 but at the end of the 10 years it's sitting at $20 again .
Yeah, Edward Jones has a reputation for being kinda expensive. They have their niche; local reps dealing with clients who are financially illiterate. There are much better options out there for cost as well as investment options.

I'm taking about actively managed portfolios with aggressive strategies. Kind of like a hedge fund lite.

EJ will sell you a mutual fund but that thing probably won't adapt to the market like active mangement.
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Old 02-14-2018, 08:53 AM   #1765
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Weekly of the SPY closed right at the first Fibonacci retracement (25%). It broke through it but came back and closed at it. The low today, yikes, is probably or at least hopefully an intermediate bottom. I suspect we will see some consolidation over the next couple of weeks. Given the current economic environment I wouldn't expect too much more selling. The economy is strong and one article today tried to say "too strong" in which I call bullshit. We are coming out of the slowest economic recovery in our history. Things that are happening now should have been happening for years.

The one risk is that the Federal Reserve should have started raising rates a long, long time ago so now they may have to play catch up.

That being said, people freaking out over 3% rates on the 10 year bond are idiots.

For anyone who doesn't know, Pete is referencing some terms relating to an approach to the stock market generally called "technical analysis". To a large degree it relates to trying to focus more on the psychology of the INVESTORS themselves, and not the actual fundamental strengths or weaknesses of the companies, or the economy as a whole. (that is a gross oversimplification).

Most experts don't hold technical analysis in high regard, though it has gained more traction generally over the last 10 or whatever years.

https://www.investopedia.com/university/technical/
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Old 02-14-2018, 09:15 AM   #1766
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Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin View Post
I set my daughter up an account with Edward Jones and discussed with them where to invest. They charge 2% in and 2% out. Then I set up a custodial account on Etrade for her and put the rest of her money in the same funds he used. This way i have a professional I can use for advice without them stealing my /her money.

And i realize that although the more money they make you the more they make for themselves but they aren't as attached. I just don't believe in buying stocks or mutual funds and not keeping an eye on performance. what good is a stock that you bought at $20 and over 10 years goes up to $70 but at the end of the 10 years it's sitting at $20 again .
Can't say I understand the mentality of doing as much active trading as you do but losing 2% of it to EJ...
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Old 02-14-2018, 09:18 AM   #1767
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Can't say I understand the mentality of doing as much active trading as you do but losing 2% of it to EJ...

I may be misunderstanding, but I think he means he's putting a small amount into an account EJ manages -- or where they make recommendations -- and a vastly larger amount into an ETrade account which he will use to mirror what EJ is doing/recommending. That way he pays the 2% fee on only a small portion of the total amount that is being invested using the EJ strategy.
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Old 02-14-2018, 10:54 AM   #1768
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Originally Posted by Amnorix View Post
I may be misunderstanding, but I think he means he's putting a small amount into an account EJ manages -- or where they make recommendations -- and a vastly larger amount into an ETrade account which he will use to mirror what EJ is doing/recommending. That way he pays the 2% fee on only a small portion of the total amount that is being invested using the EJ strategy.
Bingo. Having an account with them just gives me access to their recommendations.
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Old 02-14-2018, 10:58 AM   #1769
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Originally Posted by Amnorix View Post
I may be misunderstanding, but I think he means he's putting a small amount into an account EJ manages -- or where they make recommendations -- and a vastly larger amount into an ETrade account which he will use to mirror what EJ is doing/recommending. That way he pays the 2% fee on only a small portion of the total amount that is being invested using the EJ strategy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin View Post
Bingo. Having an account with them just gives me access to their recommendations.
Gotcha. That makes a lot more sense (though I don't personally get much out of their recommendations - to each his own).
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Old 02-14-2018, 11:01 AM   #1770
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Gotcha. That makes a lot more sense (though I don't personally get much out of their recommendations - to each his own).
my last conversation with them I asked what he looked for in analyzing a stock.

His reply)
1. Insider buying
2. FCF
3. A wide Moat

Those would be 3 signs of good potential

Also I asked him about several individual stocks I was looking at and he emailed me a detailed report on each one. so that was helpful
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