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Old 11-03-2004, 09:53 PM  
KCN KCN is offline
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If the Colorado proposal were in effect in all 50 states...

...Bush would have won the EC 281 to 257.

Some problems with this method that I discovered while calculating:

-Using this method, the only thing that matters is the net EV your state produces. If your state is split like MN or OH, then the value of your state's EV's is zero.

-States with an even number of EV's are at a huge disadvantage to states with an odd number, since states with an odd # will not produce a tie

-States that have 3 or 4 EV's take a significant change in % to switch one vote from one side to the other, while a handful of votes can switch several EV's for a state like California

-Instead of focusing on large population areas or swing states, the focus would be on which states had the best chance of rounding up to gain another EV. This puts random variables into play...variables which should not matter in a presidential election.

So with that I conclude that the voters in Colorado made the correct decision in voting it down.

In case you're curious:

Bush/Kerry:

AK 2 1
AL 6 3
AR 3 3
AZ 6 4
CA 25 30
CO 5 4
CT 3 4
DC 0 3
DE 1 2
FL 14 13
GA 9 6
HI 2 2
IA 4 3
ID 3 1
IL 9 12
IN 7 4
KS 4 2
KY 5 3
LA 5 4
MA 5 7
MD 4 6
ME 2 2
MI 8 9
MN 5 5
MO 6 5
MS 4 2
MT 2 1
NC 8 7
ND 2 1
NE 3 2
NH 2 2
NJ 7 8
NM 3 2
NV 3 2
NY 13 18
OH 10 10
OK 5 2
OR 3 4
PA 10 11
RI 2 2
SC 5 3
SD 2 1
TN 6 5
TX 21 13
UT 4 1
VA 7 6
VT 1 2
WA 5 6
WI 5 5
WV 3 2
WY 2 1
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Old 11-03-2004, 10:31 PM   #2
Mr. Kotter Mr. Kotter is offline
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Personally, if they ever do anything with the EC....I'd prefer to see district winners awarded THAT electoral vote; "Senate" electoral votes go to the winner of the state.
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Old 11-03-2004, 10:37 PM   #3
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Great idea if you want presidential votes distributed over 5 or 6 special interest parties that then have to form coalitions to get a governing majority. Euro-guvment? No thanks.
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Old 11-03-2004, 11:35 PM   #4
Taco John Taco John is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KCN
Instead of focusing on large population areas or swing states, the focus would be on which states had the best chance of rounding up to gain another EV. This puts random variables into play...variables which should not matter in a presidential election.


Such as?
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Old 11-04-2004, 12:23 AM   #5
DenverChief DenverChief is offline
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I had wondered about this the other day ....thanks for workin it out
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