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Old 10-17-2005, 04:41 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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cdcox's playoff forecast

Well, I was hoping that I would be ready to distribute software by now. Way too much to do at work is going to put that offf for a couple of weeks, at least. Here are some screen shots from my software that describes the playoff and post season picture right now. In these predictions, I assumed Indy wins tonight.

Screenshots will be attached in an early post in this thread.
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Old 10-17-2005, 04:54 PM   #2
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Finally. Took a bit of resizing.
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cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:24 PM   #3
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:38 PM   #4
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Your software has a fuggin' glitch, dude.
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:40 PM   #5
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lurch
Your software has a fuggin' glitch, dude.
Only one? Awesome!
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:46 PM   #6
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:48 PM   #7
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man
Kill the messenger! Kill the messenger, I say!

I'm not too worried. You still haven't done away with the Nasty fin fan on the other thread.
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Old 10-17-2005, 05:53 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Only one? Awesome!
A really big on though. Strength of schedule and home and away records...

That and it's hard to quantify Plummer's boneheadedness.
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Old 10-17-2005, 06:00 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lurch
A really big on though. Strength of schedule and home and away records...

That and it's hard to quantify Plummer's boneheadedness.
Home and away is factored in. Streghth of schedule is also considered both in terms of games played so far, and for predicting outcomes of games for the rest of the season.

Player variances, such as Plummer's (hopefully) coming melt down, are not considered in the forecasts. That would be very difficult in incorporate in an objective way.
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Old 10-17-2005, 06:00 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Home and away is factored in. Streghth of schedule is also considered both in terms of games played so far, and for predicting outcomes of games for the rest of the season.

Player variances, such as Plummer's (hopefully) coming melt down, are not considered in the forecasts. That would be very difficult in incorporate in an objective way.
Fair enough. Interesting.
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Old 10-17-2005, 06:24 PM   #11
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Well, there has to be something else wrong with it, then. It's not showing the Chiefs as the best team in the league.
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Old 10-18-2005, 08:04 AM   #12
cdcox cdcox is offline
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bump for the day crew
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cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.cdcox has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
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Old 10-22-2005, 07:35 PM   #13
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Here's an update based on Kansas Cities big win in Miami last night:

Our chances of winning the division increased from about 10% to about 24% and our chances of makeing the playoffs climbed from 35% to about 60%. Still our odds of winning the Super Bowl are less than 4%. I'll post another set of screen shots after this week's games.
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Old 10-23-2005, 08:03 AM   #14
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Okay, you're moving in the right direction. I'm still not going to believe this model until it gets the Chiefs up to 100 percent, though.
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Old 10-23-2005, 08:08 AM   #15
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Seedy, haven't you learned by now not to argue with Rainman? He's a statistical genious.
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