Home Mail MemberMap Chat (0) Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The GET IN MAH BELLY! Lounge

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-06-2005, 10:59 PM  
philfree philfree is offline
Indian Twitter
 
philfree's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Free Agency
Casino cash: $79590
Where's The Playoff Probablity Thread?

I was just wanting to wee the updated probabilities. I was just looking at this weeks schedule and it looks to me like if we can win on the road at Dallas there's a good chance we will improve our wildcard position. There's a good chance that the Jags will lose this week which will put them at 9-4 in a tie with the Chiefs and Chargers if both teams win. If things play out the way it looks like it will to me I'm curious as to what the odds of the Chiefs making the playoffs will be at that point. I still want to win out and steal the West from the Donks but mind you I'm just looking at the short run at this moment.

PhilFree
Posts: 9,821
philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:07 PM   #2
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $11388552
Run the software, ya lazy bum

Why do you think I wrote it and put it on the web for the whole universe.

Here's a screen shot.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	wk14.JPG
Views:	67
Size:	80.3 KB
ID:	50186  
Posts: 31,197
cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:10 PM   #3
philfree philfree is offline
Indian Twitter
 
philfree's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Free Agency
Casino cash: $79590
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Run the software, ya lazy bum

Why do you think I wrote it and put it on the web for the whole universe.

Here's a screen shot.
It's more like I'm unqualified.

PhilFree
__________________
[/SIGPIC]
Posts: 9,821
philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:17 PM   #4
carlos3652 carlos3652 is offline
El Diablo
 

Join Date: Dec 2004
Casino cash: $27533
Are we favored over Chargers because of the easier schedule...?
Posts: 4,223
carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.carlos3652 must have mowed badgirl's lawn.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:23 PM   #5
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $11388552
Quote:
Originally Posted by carlos3652
Are we favored over Chargers because of the easier schedule...?
That's what it looks like. We have a slightly higher power rating, but they are really close. The software predicts that we will have a better record, and I'll bet that is a result of them playing Indy, who is head and shoulders better than anyone else in power rating.
Posts: 31,197
cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:28 PM   #6
Dunit35 Dunit35 is offline
Keepin it Real
 
Dunit35's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Oklahoma
Casino cash: $2006758
How come the probability for Cincy to get first seed is 0. The Colts could lose out and be 12-4, even though they wont.
Posts: 8,840
Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:30 PM   #7
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $11388552
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunit35
How come the probability for Cincy to get first seed is 0. The Colts could lose out and be 12-4, even though they wont.
Because it didn't happen even once in 5000 random simulations. So the chances of it happening are pretty remote.
Posts: 31,197
cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:32 PM   #8
Dunit35 Dunit35 is offline
Keepin it Real
 
Dunit35's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Oklahoma
Casino cash: $2006758
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Because it didn't happen even once in 5000 random simulations. So the chances of it happening are pretty remote.
Yeah I know, it was a joke.
Posts: 8,840
Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:33 PM   #9
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $11388552
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunit35
Yeah I know, it was a joke.
Playoff predictions are no laughing matter.
Posts: 31,197
cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:33 PM   #10
Dunit35 Dunit35 is offline
Keepin it Real
 
Dunit35's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Oklahoma
Casino cash: $2006758
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Playoff predictions are no laughing matter.

Hahaha, my bad. Dont want to upset the gods of football.
Posts: 8,840
Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.Dunit35 would the whole thing.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-06-2005, 11:53 PM   #11
philfree philfree is offline
Indian Twitter
 
philfree's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Free Agency
Casino cash: $79590
So that's the probables going into week 14? So if my notion plays out and we win this week as well as the Donks and the Chargers but the Jags lose.........can we run the numbers and take a glimps at what the probables are would going into week 15?


PhilFree
__________________
[/SIGPIC]
Posts: 9,821
philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-07-2005, 12:09 AM   #12
cdcox cdcox is offline
www.nfl-forecast.com
 
cdcox's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $11388552
Based on your senario, KC's chances would go up to 56%, but that would go up or down depending if the Steelers won.
Posts: 31,197
cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.cdcox has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-07-2005, 12:18 AM   #13
philfree philfree is offline
Indian Twitter
 
philfree's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Free Agency
Casino cash: $79590
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
Based on your senario, KC's chances would go up to 56%, but that would go up or down depending if the Steelers won.
I thought about adding a Steelers loss to Da Bears in but then I decided it was insignificant since they are a game behind us. Couldn't make that much difference in this scenario. Could it?


PhilFree
__________________
[/SIGPIC]
Posts: 9,821
philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 12-07-2005, 12:23 AM   #14
philfree philfree is offline
Indian Twitter
 
philfree's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Free Agency
Casino cash: $79590
56%...Cool.....We gotta get it done this week.


PhilFree
__________________
[/SIGPIC]
Posts: 9,821
philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.philfree Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 06:13 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.