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Old 10-02-2006, 08:15 PM  
chiefsfan1963 chiefsfan1963 is offline
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Will 10-6 make the playoffs?

Just curious what everyone thoughts are. I'm thinking 11-5 is a definite in, but 10-6 looks iffy.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:18 PM   #2
noa noa is offline
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I think the lowest wild card spot will go to a 10-6 team, but that other 10-6 teams will miss the playoffs due to tiebreakers.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:20 PM   #3
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Right now, its about 90% sure that 10-6 will get the Chiefs in the playoffs this year.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:35 PM   #4
Logical Logical is offline
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Although I will defer to cdcox for the probabilities, my gut feeling is that there are too many really strong and really weak teams for it to be likely.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:35 PM   #5
JBucc JBucc is offline
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:37 PM   #6
OldTownChief OldTownChief is offline
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10-6 may win the AFC West.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:40 PM   #7
Mr. Kotter Mr. Kotter is offline
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Yes.

This year, it will.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:44 PM   #8
|Zach| |Zach| is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldTownChief
10-6 may win the AFC West.
I really think this is our ticket to the playoffs. Winning the division.
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:46 PM   #9
FAX FAX is offline
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If 10 and 6 gets you in, and assuming that all the tittygraphs indicate that the Chiefs go 10 and 6, where will the next 4 losses come from?

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Old 10-02-2006, 08:57 PM   #10
MahiMike MahiMike is offline
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Yes. 9 wins might make it this year. The teams that did well last year have pretty tough schedules. Jags, Steelers, Bengals all will beat each other up.

However the point is moot for a team that will win only 6 games...)
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Old 10-02-2006, 08:57 PM   #11
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After a cursory scan of the schedule, I would pick Pittsburgh, San Diego, Seattle, and Baltimore as potential losses. Or maybe swap Baltimore with J'ville depending on how things go later in the season. But, the seemingly most difficult teams are playing us at Arrowhead.

Lord, we have a favorable schedule this year.

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Old 10-02-2006, 08:59 PM   #12
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Logical
Although I will defer to cdcox for the probabilities, my gut feeling is that there are too many really strong and really weak teams for it to be likely.
Look at it this way. We have 2 losses already, with 4 more losses to give to get to 10-6. We have the following games against other AFC contenders:

Steelers
SD x2
Denver
Ravens
Jacksonville

So chances are if we make 10-6 will have beaten some of those teams and have tiebreaker advantages over them. The worst case for KC tiebreakers would be if we lost games to the Steelers, SD once, Ravens and Jax and won all the others. Still, in this case our odds would be like 82%.

There are also enough games between the top teams that not all of them are going to go 11-5 or better. Missing the playoffs last year with a 10-6 record was pretty rare.
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Old 10-02-2006, 09:02 PM   #13
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I think 10-6 could win this division I honestly do.
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Old 10-02-2006, 09:04 PM   #14
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FAX
After a cursory scan of the schedule, I would pick Pittsburgh, San Diego, Seattle, and Baltimore as potential losses. Or maybe swap Baltimore with J'ville depending on how things go later in the season. But, the seemingly most difficult teams are playing us at Arrowhead.

Lord, we have a favorable schedule this year.

FAX
Most teams win one or two that they shouldn't and lose one or two that they should have won. Trying to pick the exact games is very, very long odds. If we drop one to, let's say, the Bronws, and still get to 10-6, that favors us becuase we get a win against a conteder than helps us more with the tiebreakers.
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Old 10-02-2006, 09:08 PM   #15
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If we finish 10-6 and were looking at a wildcard spot. We all know how important AFC divisonal match ups will usually be looking at Head-head match up's first so far we have already lost to another AFC opponent
let say cinci also finishes 10-6 we will fall short of the playoffs with a 10-6 record . But cinci might fall apart and finish 9-7 but i say 11-5 to make the playoffs
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