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Old 11-07-2006, 05:35 PM  
chiefsfan1963 chiefsfan1963 is offline
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What's the probability that Chiefs make the playoffs at 10-6?

If we don't win our division I can't see how we go to the playoffs with a 10-6 record. Is there a strong chance we will at 10-6? If we lose to Miami, Baltimore, and SD and beat Oak twice, cleveland, denver, and Jacksonville. Are we in? Thoughts?
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:35 PM   #2
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:39 PM   #3
Basileus777 Basileus777 is offline
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Not unless there are no other 10-6 teams. We won't win many tie breakers because of our poor conference record.
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:49 PM   #4
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If one of those 10 wins is against JAX, I think we're in. First tiebreaker is head/head matchup. Right now JAX is playing good football behind Gerrard and will probably be neck and neck with us all year. Their schedule is tougher than it was last season, but they still have a couple of gimmies in Houston and Tennessee coming up.

Cincy is the only other team that I think could boot us out of the last WC spot. We could very easily see 3 AFC West teams in the playoffs.
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:53 PM   #5
Count Zarth Count Zarth is offline
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The probability would be higher if we had DV and AS.
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:54 PM   #6
OnTheWarpath58 OnTheWarpath58 is offline
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I think (and hope) that 11-5 Sandy Eggo and 10-6 KC will be the wildcards. Assuming that Denver wins the division.

When it's all said and done, the WC's will/should come down to KC, SD, JAX and the Bungles.

Jacksonville is 5-3 and IMO will/should lose to the Giants, Indy, New England and KC. That puts them at 9-7.

Cincinnati is 4-4 and will/should lose to New Orleans, Baltimore, Indy and Denver. Could even lose one more, I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt against SD this weekend until the Chargers beat a decent team on the road.

Jacksonville doesn't scare me as much, because we can beat them head to head and win a tiebreaker. If we can't beat them at home in December, we probably don't deserve to go anyway. Should the Bengals get hot, we could be screwed by the loss in the opener.
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Old 11-07-2006, 05:58 PM   #7
FAX FAX is offline
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Great question, Mr. chiefsfan1963.

Where is Mr. cdcox? This interrogatory can only be properly answered via titty graph.

FAX
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:09 PM   #8
KurtCobain KurtCobain is offline
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...but we're gonna win the division...
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:10 PM   #9
Halfcan Halfcan is offline
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Why is everyone giving the Cheatin Donks the Division already?? We are only a game back with half the year in front of us.
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:16 PM   #10
OnTheWarpath58 OnTheWarpath58 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Halfcan
Why is everyone giving the Cheatin Donks the Division already?? We are only a game back with half the year in front of us.
Have you seen Denver's remaining schedule?

@OAK
SD
@KC
SEA
@SD
@ARI
CIN
SF

Unless they just implode, there's only two games they have any business losing, on the road vs. KC/SD.

Can't see them losing a home game.

Realistically 12-4, maybe 11-5.
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:22 PM   #11
DaFace DaFace is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FAX
Great question, Mr. chiefsfan1963.

Where is Mr. cdcox? This interrogatory can only be properly answered via titty graph.

FAX
I'm not cdcox, and this graphic doesn't have much to do with female anatomy, but this is what our record looks like according to his software:



So to answer the question, it looks like we'd have about an 80% chance of making the playoffs at 10-6.
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:34 PM   #12
Halfcan Halfcan is offline
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10-6 so you have us losing 3 more games? Which ones?
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:35 PM
DaFace
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:37 PM   #13
JohnnyV13 JohnnyV13 is offline
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Donx could lose to seattle because they should have alexander and hasselbeck back by that game
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:42 PM   #14
chiefsfan1963 chiefsfan1963 is offline
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If we win this weekend against the Dolphins I will feel we have a great shot at playing in January. Dolphins have a chip on their shoulders after beating the Bears they want to prove they are playoff team not going to the playoffs. We should beat Oak twice, cleveland, jacksonville, and either Denver or Ravens. That makes for a 11-5 record. Winning this weekend will put us in the driver's seat.
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Old 11-07-2006, 06:51 PM   #15
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