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Old 02-09-2007, 10:02 AM  
Bill Parcells Bill Parcells is offline
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ATT:GoChiefs..AKA,The Jets ''soft schedule'' this past year..Jeff Sagarin ratings

I guess the Jets had the 7th toughest schedule this year?

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl06.htm

this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom
(2) DIVISION AVERAGES
(listed top-to-bottom & by conference)
(3) teams listed by DIVISION
(listed in order within divisions)


The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced
by each team in the games that it's played so far. The schedule
difficulty of a given game takes into account the rating of the
opponent and the location of the game.


To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.


The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength are its rank of
schedule - (in parentheses) - and its record versus teams in these
rating's CURRENT top 10 and CURRENT top 16 respectively.


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In ELO CHESS, only winning and losing matters; the score margin is of no consequence,
which makes it very "politically correct". However it is less accurate in its predictions for
upcoming games than is the PURE POINTS, in which the score margin is the only thing that matters.
PURE POINTS is also known as PREDICTOR, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL and is the best single PREDICTOR
of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the two diametrical opposites, ELO CHESS and PURE POINTS (PREDICTOR).
NFL ratings will be updated after games of Sunday and again after the Monday night game.

____________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
1 Indianapolis Colts = 31.93 16 4 0 22.61( 5) 9 2 0 | 12 3 0 | 34.08 1 | 30.72 2
2 New England Patriots = 31.31 14 5 0 22.82( 4) 8 3 0 | 10 5 0 | 30.97 2 | 31.70 1
3 San Diego Chargers = 28.74 14 3 0 18.87( 25) 2 2 0 | 6 2 0 | 29.09 3 | 28.42 4
4 Chicago Bears = 28.70 15 4 0 18.96( 24) 2 2 0 | 5 3 0 | 28.68 4 | 28.73 3
5 Baltimore Ravens = 27.54 13 4 0 19.30( 22) 3 1 0 | 5 3 0 | 27.47 5 | 27.62 6
6 Jacksonville Jaguars = 24.51 8 8 0 22.34( 6) 4 4 0 | 6 4 0 | 22.32 9 | 27.65 5
7 New York Jets = 23.93 10 7 0 21.91( 8) 3 6 0 | 5 6 0 | 24.27 6 | 23.62 7
8 Buffalo Bills = 22.36 7 9 0 23.66( 2) 2 8 0 | 4 8 0 | 21.62 12 | 23.14 9
9 Tennessee Titans = 22.27 8 8 0 23.68( 1) 4 6 0 | 4 8 0 | 23.27 7 | 21.33 13
10 Philadelphia Eagles = 21.94 11 7 0 19.38( 21) 0 3 0 | 2 5 0 | 22.04 10 | 21.84 11
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
11 Cincinnati Bengals = 21.72 8 8 0 20.49( 12) 1 4 0 | 2 5 0 | 20.82 14 | 22.67 10
12 New Orleans Saints = 21.71 11 7 0 18.54( 27) 2 2 0 | 3 3 0 | 22.03 11 | 21.40 12
13 Denver Broncos = 21.48 9 7 0 20.25( 13) 2 3 0 | 3 4 0 | 22.59 8 | 20.42 15
14 Dallas Cowboys = 21.12 9 8 0 19.04( 23) 2 3 0 | 2 5 0 | 19.05 19 | 23.35 8
15 Seattle Seahawks = 20.23 10 8 0 18.15( 30) 0 3 0 | 2 3 0 | 20.26 15 | 20.22 16
16 Miami Dolphins = 20.00 6 10 0 22.89( 3) 3 7 0 | 3 7 0 | 18.98 20 | 21.02 14
17 Kansas City Chiefs = 19.73 9 8 0 20.13( 17) 2 3 0 | 4 6 0 | 20.98 13 | 18.47 19
18 Pittsburgh Steelers = 19.58 8 8 0 19.58( 20) 0 4 0 | 3 6 0 | 19.48 17 | 19.70 18
19 New York Giants = 19.50 8 9 0 20.70( 9) 1 6 0 | 2 9 0 | 19.11 18 | 19.89 17
20 Green Bay Packers = 18.18 8 8 0 20.19( 15) 1 5 0 | 2 7 0 | 19.90 16 | 16.31 24
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
21 Carolina Panthers = 18.11 8 8 0 18.23( 29) 1 1 0 | 3 3 0 | 17.99 21 | 18.25 20
22 St. Louis Rams = 17.56 8 8 0 17.80( 32) 0 2 0 | 1 4 0 | 17.94 22 | 17.17 22
23 Houston Texans = 17.12 6 10 0 22.10( 7) 3 7 0 | 4 8 0 | 17.83 23 | 16.38 23
24 Minnesota Vikings = 17.01 6 10 0 19.70( 19) 0 5 0 | 1 6 0 | 15.86 25 | 18.07 21
25 Atlanta Falcons = 15.86 7 9 0 17.96( 31) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 | 15.84 26 | 15.89 26
26 Washington Redskins = 15.31 5 11 0 20.16( 16) 1 4 0 | 3 5 0 | 14.40 27 | 16.12 25
27 San Francisco 49ers = 14.86 7 9 0 18.78( 26) 0 3 0 | 3 4 0 | 17.06 24 | 11.52 30
28 Arizona Cardinals = 13.68 5 11 0 18.51( 28) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 | 13.22 28 | 14.12 27
29 Cleveland Browns = 12.69 4 12 0 20.23( 14) 1 3 0 | 1 7 0 | 12.70 29 | 12.70 29
30 Detroit Lions = 12.02 3 13 0 20.54( 11) 1 4 0 | 2 6 0 | 10.26 31 | 13.27 28
Final NFL 2006 through games of 2007 February 4 Sunday _ Super Bowl
HOME ADVANTAGE= 1.44 RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | ELO_CHESS | PURE POINTS
31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 11.31 4 12 0 19.98( 18) 1 2 0 | 2 6 0 | 12.32 30 | 9.95 31
32 Oakland Raiders = 7.99 2 14 0 20.55( 10) 0 4 0 | 0 8 0 | 7.60 32 | 8.34 32
____________________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:05 AM   #2
greg63 greg63 is offline
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...Too much reading and too many big words; GoChiefs will never be able to wade through it all.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:07 AM   #3
Bill Parcells Bill Parcells is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greg63
...Too much reading and too many big words; GoChiefs will never be able to wade through it all.
You're right..but..it gives him attention..something he craves.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:09 AM   #4
Cochise Cochise is offline
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An ignorant football take... shocking!
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:10 AM   #5
Cochise Cochise is offline
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Oakland was THAT bad against the league's easiest schedule. What does that tell you?
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Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.Cochise threw an interception on a screen pass.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:12 AM   #6
greg63 greg63 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vos
You're right..but..it gives him attention..something he craves.
Good point.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:16 AM   #7
Reerun_KC Reerun_KC is offline
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So does this mean we suck and will continue to suck, while the Jets were better and will better than the Herm Lead Chiefs??
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:17 AM   #8
morphius morphius is offline
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This includes the playoff's and the Super Bowl? That is sort of an odd way to do things.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:18 AM   #9
jidar jidar is offline
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Oakland is in the AFC West and at the bottom of that list.
Obviously whatever the list is doing, it's flawed.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:20 AM   #10
Cochise Cochise is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jidar
Oakland is in the AFC West and at the bottom of that list.
Obviously whatever the list is doing, it's flawed.
Why? The AFC West was one good team, two mediocre teams, and one bad team. Just like any other division.
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:27 AM   #11
Count Zarth Count Zarth is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greg63
...Too much reading and too many big words; GoChiefs will never be able to wade through it all.
Are you calling me illiterate? If anything I read too much...
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:36 AM   #12
morphius morphius is offline
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It is odd.

NYJ - 4 games against winning, 3 .500 and 9 losing (6 games against teams that lost their division, 4 teams that won)
KC - 6 games against winning, 4 .500 and 6 losing (5 games against teams that lost their division, 4 teams that won)
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:40 AM   #13
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Jets toot their horn ? oh that's right they are from NYC.

NYC get a rope.

Last edited by StcChief; 02-09-2007 at 11:16 AM..
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:46 AM   #14
chagrin chagrin is offline
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what the hell is this again?
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:49 AM
greg63
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Old 02-09-2007, 10:50 AM   #15
jidar jidar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cochise
Why? The AFC West was one good team, two mediocre teams, and one bad team. Just like any other division.

Your mother gives mediocre blow jobs
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