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Old 02-04-2010, 08:32 AM  
The Mad Crapper The Mad Crapper is offline
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Will the DOW drop under 10,000 today?

It's down 192 since the opening bell an hour ago---

It's at 10,077
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:36 AM   #2
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Probably not today. If we get a bad print tomorrow on the Unemployment numbers we will easily.
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:38 AM   #3
The Mad Crapper The Mad Crapper is offline
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Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
Probably not today. If we get a bad print tomorrow on the Unemployment numbers we will easily.
Yeah, I think it's inevitable, tomorrow at the latest.
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:39 AM   #4
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:39 AM   #5
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:44 AM   #6
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by E. Norma Stitz View Post
Yeah, I think it's inevitable, tomorrow at the latest.
Everyone is pulling out today ahead of tomorrow's numbers. So the selloff we are seeing today is more people getting out of the way ahead of the number as opposed to selling the market. Though this morning's unemployment number has added to what otherwise might have been a rather tight day.
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Old 02-04-2010, 08:59 AM   #7
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
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Predictions I am getting is that there's going to be a stock market crash. Let's wait and see.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:21 AM   #8
HonestChieffan HonestChieffan is offline
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It wont amount to a lot, its gonna drop, its gonna go back up. It will drop faster than it will recover but it will recover.

Beating the drums of doom seems to be a sport among people.

If you think its gonna recover and you have some cash it could be a heck of an opportunity.

If you think the end is near, go on a buying spree get alot of cool stuff, charge it all, get some more credit cards, new car at 0 down 0 percent cause you wont ever have to pay for it. At least the end time will be a happy one for you.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:21 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
Predictions I am getting is that there's going to be a stock market crash. Let's wait and see.
I've always thought there was another shoe to fall.

On another point, I've heard government cheese is actually pretty good.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:21 AM   #10
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Again the Dow is a horrible index to watch. 1080 on the S&P has been the most recent support since it has been breached all the technical stuff I've read (which hasn't been too much) says the S&P will prolly run down to 1038 where it will bounce with a possible run right back to 1200.

On fundamental terms, all of the indices are extremely overvalued. Bond spreads are back to 2007 levels which is ridiculous and we still haven't fixed any of the issues that led to this mess.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:23 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HonestChieffan View Post
It wont amount to a lot, its gonna drop, its gonna go back up. It will drop faster than it will recover but it will recover.

Beating the drums of doom seems to be a sport among people.

If you think its gonna recover and you have some cash it could be a heck of an opportunity.

If you think the end is near, go on a buying spree get alot of cool stuff, charge it all, get some more credit cards, new car at 0 down 0 percent cause you wont ever have to pay for it. At least the end time will be a happy one for you.
Unfortunately many people with this mind set and will only add to the problems...but it's all about them.

There are so many perfect storm conditions just waiting out there I don't know how we won't have another major drop before we crawl out of this hell hole.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:24 AM   #12
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC native View Post
Again the Dow is a horrible index to watch. 1080 on the S&P has been the most recent support since it has been breached all the technical stuff I've read (which hasn't been too much) says the S&P will prolly run down to 1038 where it will bounce with a possible run right back to 1200.

On fundamental terms, all of the indices are extremely overvalued. Bond spreads are back to 2007 levels which is ridiculous and we still haven't fixed any of the issues that led to this mess.
My charts are saying we can run down to around 1040 as well. If we break below that we could be headed for another bear market.
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:24 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC native View Post
Again the Dow is a horrible index to watch. 1080 on the S&P has been the most recent support since it has been breached all the technical stuff I've read (which hasn't been too much) says the S&P will prolly run down to 1038 where it will bounce with a possible run right back to 1200.

On fundamental terms, all of the indices are extremely overvalued. Bond spreads are back to 2007 levels which is ridiculous and we still haven't fixed any of the issues that led to this mess.
Agree with you . . . maybe for the first time ever
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:27 AM   #14
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My charts are saying we can run down to around 1040 as well. If we break below that we could be headed for another bear market.
IMO we're still in a bear market and this recent rally has just been the mother of all bear market rallies (not really unprecendented but a 60% rally is impressive).

Yea, if we breach support at 1040 then I think we'll get back down to around 900 or so (which would make the market fairly valued).
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Old 02-04-2010, 09:27 AM   #15
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BTW, to add to what KC Native said, the only reason to watch the Dow is, there isn't one. Right now the Dow is down 189 pts. The SP 500 is down 22.85. That is the equivalent of 228 Dow points. I can't tell you how many times I have seen the Dow down by 10-20 but the SP 500 wa down over 5-6 (50-60 Dow points)
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