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Old 09-26-2011, 04:23 PM  
KILLER_CLOWN KILLER_CLOWN is offline
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The Hill: Perry To Drop Out, Ron Paul To Be Romney’s Rival

When Rick Perry drops out: Ron Paul could be second place, Republicans enter the Wild West

By Brent Budowsky - 09/26/11 09:55 AM ET

I wrote in August that Rick Perry will self- destruct within 30 days. His prospects for the presidency were as phony as the fantasy of a two-person race was false. Perry is a phony conservative who is not conservative. He is a pay-for-play politician who gobbled up Obama stimulus like a hound dog eating a bone, and created oceans of new government jobs in Texas while his big donors mysteriously received big government contracts. The Texas deficit ballooned and the Texas jobless rate doubled on Rick Perry's watch.

I will not speculate about the reasons for Rick Perry' s strange, weird and incoherent debate performance. Major new negative stories about Perry will soon emerge in the media. Trust me. Perry will drop out long before the year ends. If he dropped out today Ron Paul could well be in second place. Will pundits say it is a two-man race between Romney and Paul?

This is the most unpredicable campaign in many years. One insider recently asserted that if the election were held today Obama would certainly lose. Nonsense. Obama would cream Perry. I laughed when media pundits lauded the buffoon Donald Trump for a month as the great Republican hope.

This notion that the GOP contest was a two-man race was a mirage and pure pundit malpractice from the beginning.

Another mirage is Chris Christie, a not-very- popular freshman governor with zero national experience who could easily be defeated for reelection by dynamic Democratic Mayor Cory Booker.

Sarah Palin could jump in, but if she did, her motive would be to prevent any other Republican from winning. Obama would clean Palin's clock. So what next?

Mitt Romney is the Tom Dewey of 2012. He is qualified, presidential — and distrusted by virtually everyone. Like Dewey he looks like the plastic man on the wedding cake. He could be elected. Remember, Dewey almost won in 1948, but if Obama plays Truman I suspect he beats Mitt, but I could be wrong.

When Perry drops out, Ron Paul could be in second place. It could be a magical moment for Ron Paul, and perhaps Herman Cain, for a clean shot at second place. Let’s see what they do with it. Both Paul and Cain deserve far more respect from the major media. This is not a Soviet campaign where Pravda-like pundits treat certain candidates as though they do not exist.

If Jon Huntsman moves above the 10 percent he recently polled in New Hampshire, he becomes very serious. If not, he drops out by December and endorses Mitt.

The Republican battle is the exact opposite of a two-person race and always has been. It is wide open like the Wild West. The big question is who emerges as the leading conservative opponent to Romney, and whether Romney can make the leap to be trusted as a credible president.

Forget Chris Christie. The man to watch is Mitch Daniels, governor of Indiana. Daniels is trusted by all factions of the party, is highly qualified, and in my view has the best chance of defeating Obama. I have said it before. Remember where you heard it.

Rick Perry is toast. The two-man race is dead. The Republicans have entered the Wild West without Perry as a big-time player.

http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blo...age=2#comments
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:27 PM   #2
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:29 PM   #3
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But Mitch Daniels is half Arab and won an award from the Arab-American Institute.
Will the right call him out as a Muslim?


What say you, to his judgement in pushing Christie though? Seems like a lapse.
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:32 PM   #4
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:34 PM   #5
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:39 PM   #6
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"If the people let government decide what foods they eat and what medicines they take, their bodies will soon be in as sorry a state as are the souls of those who live under tyranny." - Thomas Jefferson
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:41 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KILLER_CLOWN View Post
I wrote in August that Rick Perry will self- destruct within 30 days.
This is what Lew Rockwell said when Perry entered too.


Quote:
Will pundits say it is a two-man race between Romney and Paul?
Nope! Never! They will continue to wander through the wilderness for another and another candidate.


Quote:
This is the most unpredicable campaign in many years.
I'll say!
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:44 PM   #8
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This would be a nightmare for Republicans. 2nd place they'd have to give Ron a speaking spot at the convention.
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:48 PM   #9
BucEyedPea BucEyedPea is offline
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This would be a nightmare for Republicans. 2nd place they'd have to give Ron a speaking spot at the convention.
Fox would rip him apart. Seriously, if he does better the attacks will get worse. They've already started over at the NeoCon Review. I love watching them get apoplectic while they lie like Persian rugs.
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Old 09-26-2011, 04:56 PM   #10
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This would be a nightmare for Republicans. 2nd place they'd have to give Ron a speaking spot at the convention.
If Ron Paul were to find himself in second place going into the convention (an unlikely scenario, IMO), he would be be in a position to demand serious concessions from the center right, lest he show his disapproval by not showing up at all.
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Old 09-26-2011, 05:02 PM   #11
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I wish Mitch Daniels would run. I prefer him over Christie. Christie is intriguing, I need to know more about him.

But Daniels would get a lot of support, Republican, Independants, moderate D's., he could do well.
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Old 09-26-2011, 05:15 PM   #12
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Rick Perry wasn't going to win. Regardless of who replaces him you don't lose anything.
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Old 09-26-2011, 05:56 PM   #13
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I'm confused by the math here. According to the latest poll, Perry is in front, and Paul is in 6th. How does Perry's dropping out put Paul in second?
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Old 09-26-2011, 06:00 PM   #14
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I'm confused by the math here. According to the latest poll, Perry is in front, and Paul is in 6th. How does Perry's dropping out put Paul in second?
The math was wrong to begin with?
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Old 09-26-2011, 06:17 PM   #15
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An alternative view from a Texas liberal - *** WARNING - HUFFINGTONPOST ***

The Cain Mutiny

James Moore Author; Communications Consultant; Novelist Manque'; Genial Wiseacre

Posted: 9/26/11 02:23 PM ET

Rick Perry is looking wobbly. But he has been politically staggered before and recovered to win the fight. If he falters in his current effort, it will be the first time in his 26-year career of public service.

Analysts are busy writing obituaries for Perry's presidential aspirations and there are many of us who would like to attend that funeral. But his current predicament is only a transitory moment in the GOP primary. Herman Cain's Florida success has Republican Primary voters and big campaign donors wondering if Perry is good for the long, hard haul that is a run for the White House.

But what are their other choices?

Perry's bumpy performance in the debates has prompted these reconsiderations. Media trainers have taught him how to "bridge" away from questions and talk about whatever he wants but when he ignored the query about Pakistan and started rambling about selling planes to India he looked foolish. When he tried to describe the various versions of Mitt Romney he sounded a bit like George W. Bush struggling to recite the aphorism about not getting fooled again. And then Perry told his base supporters they didn't have a heart. But they aren't seeking either a legal separation or a divorce. His voters are just upset after a bit of a lover's quarrel.

They won't hook up with either Ron Paul or Michele Bachmann because neither of them have electability. And when those two candidates drop out of the race, their supporters will be left choosing between Perry, Romney, Cain, and maybe Huntsman. Cain's unfettered rhetoric offers a grand appeal and his 999 tax plan is simple enough for a broad group of voters to understand and embrace, and like Romney he has had great success in business. But he is new to politics on this scale and doubts about his electability will persist.

Which, basically, leaves Romney.

And the conservative wing of the GOP cannot forgive Romney's statewide health care plan in Massachusetts, and his constantly evolving positions on the Tea Party and evangelical issues like abortion, gay marriage, and global warming. Romney brings a disturbing level of rational thought to those topics and the right wing GOP base is not interested in listening. It already knows what it thinks. The primary voters re-thinking their Perry support after the debates and Florida aren't re-thinking what they already think about Mitt Romney.

A new CNN poll taken after the Cain mutiny in the Florida Straw Poll and subsequent to Perry's amateurish performance in the FOX News/Google debate shows Perry still with a comfortable 7-point lead over Romney. Everyone else is below 10 percent but the Bachmann and Paul vote together totals around 16 percent. As their campaigns fade and they are forced to confront reality, where, exactly, can their voters be expected to land?

Not in Romney's camp.

Perry's support will return. Straw polls and debates don't decide nominations and are only a small piece of what picks a president. George H. W. Bush was so bad in debates with Michael Dukakis that his lack of linguist skills was turned into a Saturday Night Live skit and everyone remembers how Senator Lloyd Bentsen of Texas stuck a shiv in Dan Quayle for comparing himself to John F. Kennedy. But nobody remembers a Dukakis-Bentsen administration.

The only place Rick Perry is going is further out in front of the GOP pack.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-mo..._b_981574.html
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