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Old 07-19-2012, 02:23 PM  
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
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Obama is going to lose big time

I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
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Old 07-20-2012, 08:13 AM   #76
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Old 07-20-2012, 02:26 PM   #77
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
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Old 07-20-2012, 03:28 PM   #78
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Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
This, well-known Vegas oddsmaker claims to have one of the most accurate records of predicting political races and he says Obama is going to lose in a landslide too.


http://townhall.com/columnists/wayne...ide/page/full/

He lays it all out as to why by demographic groups too.
His problem is that the people were a lot less partisan and polarized in 1980 than today. Back then, elections were a lot more fluid and unpredictable because you had a lot more people who were either truly independent, or token members of a party they are not loyal to.

Today with the internet, talk radio, etc the average person is a hell of a lot more informed (or at least thinks they are informed), and have picked a side.

Gettable voters are a tiny fraction.
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Old 07-20-2012, 03:29 PM   #79
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefaRoo View Post
I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
I'm probably not going to vote for either guy, so I don't have a horse in this race.

That said, you are insane. There is no way in hell Obama loses in a landslide.
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Old 07-21-2012, 06:47 AM   #80
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I don't give a rats ass "how big the loss is," it could be 1 vote for all I care. As long as train wreck Obama loses the race, packs his bags and gets the **** out, who cares? With that being said, I think it's going to be a close race, unless one of the two, gets caught with a goat or something and the pictures make it to print.
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Old 07-21-2012, 07:04 AM   #81
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I guess this is our de facto election prediction thread, so I'll chime in by saying I predict Obama wins, 280-258 or thereabouts. It will be close.
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Old 07-21-2012, 12:31 PM   #82
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My map as of today. Closest races in VA, OH, and NV

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Old 07-21-2012, 12:36 PM   #83
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I do think the popular vote will be closer than it looks on that map, maybe Obama wins by only 4%, but the electoral college math doesn't look good for Romney.

I think its actually possible this year for Obama to win the electoral college and lose the popular vote. Thats what I'm rooting for anyway, because it could prod some red states into signing onto the national popular vote interstate compact.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:13 PM   #84
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Bammy is not going to win Florida.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:38 PM   #85
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Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
I do think the popular vote will be closer than it looks on that map, maybe Obama wins by only 4%, but the electoral college math doesn't look good for Romney.

I think its actually possible this year for Obama to win the electoral college and lose the popular vote. Thats what I'm rooting for anyway, because it could prod some red states into signing onto the national popular vote interstate compact.
Fred Thompson was on Fox predicting Obama losing the popular vote but winning the electoral.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:40 PM   #86
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Bammy is not going to win Florida.
I find it hard to believe he could win Florida myself. The southern part around Miami is liberal. He may win there. But the central is moderate and the northern part is conservative. I have a hard time believing he'd win the central part of Florida. He definitely won't win the northern part of this state.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:40 PM   #87
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Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
My map as of today. Closest races in VA, OH, and NV
I'd like to know what institution created that map you posted.
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Old 07-21-2012, 01:44 PM   #88
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Turning the electoral college into a popular vote is a horrible idea. That would be the end of the Republic.
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Old 07-21-2012, 02:07 PM   #89
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I fail to see why a proportional represnrtation system isn't widely implemented.
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Old 07-21-2012, 02:20 PM   #90
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I fail to see why a proportional represnrtation system isn't widely implemented.
Because we have that in the the people's House. The president is supposed to represent the nation as a whole so this way the less populated states count. The Senate once represented the states. This is the design of our federalism. The Framers were not big advocates of democracy.
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