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Old 07-25-2012, 11:32 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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How bad is the drought?

So bad that ONE THIRD of the counties in the United States of America are now designated federal disaster areas.

ONE THIRD.

And it's going to get worse. It's already the worst in 50 years.

This story's based out of Kansas City.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/20/sc...tion.html?_r=1

Widespread Drought Is Likely to Worsen
By JOHN ELIGON
Published: July 19, 2012

KANSAS CITY, Mo. — The drought that has settled over more than half of the continental United States this summer is the most widespread in more than half a century. And it is likely to grow worse.

The latest outlook released by the National Weather Service on Thursday forecasts increasingly dry conditions over much of the nation’s breadbasket, a development that could lead to higher food prices and shipping costs as well as reduced revenues in areas that count on summer tourism. About the only relief in sight was tropical activity in the Gulf of Mexico and the Southeast that could bring rain to parts of the South.

The unsettling prospects come at a time of growing uncertainty for the country’s economy. With evidence mounting of a slowdown in the economic recovery, this new blow from the weather is particularly ill-timed.

Already some farmers are watching their cash crops burn to the point of no return. Others have been cutting their corn early to use for feed, a much less profitable venture.

“It really is a crisis. I don’t think we’ve ever seen anything like this in my lifetime,” Gov. Pat Quinn of Illinois said after touring ravaged farms in the southern part of the state.

The government has declared one-third of the nation’s counties — 1,297 of them across 29 states — federal disaster areas as a result of the drought, which will allow farmers to apply for low-interest loans to get them through the disappointing growing season.

“It’s got the potential to be the worst drought we’ve ever had in Arkansas,” said Butch Calhoun, the state’s secretary of agriculture. “It’s going to be very detrimental to our economy.”

What is particularly striking about this dry spell is its breadth. Fifty-five percent of the continental United States — from California to Arkansas, Texas to North Dakota — is under moderate to extreme drought, according to the government, the largest such area since December 1956. An analysis released on Thursday by the United States Drought Monitor showed that 88 percent of corn and 87 percent of soybean crops in the country were in drought-stricken regions, a 10 percent jump from a week before. Corn and soybean prices reached record highs on Thursday, with corn closing just over $8.07 a bushel and soybeans trading as high as $17.49.

As of Sunday, more than half of the corn in seven states was in poor or very poor condition, according to the Department of Agriculture. In Kentucky, Missouri and Indiana, that figure is above 70 percent. Over all, only 31 percent of the nation’s corn is in good to excellent condition, compared with 66 percent at the same time last year.

“We’re expecting significant reductions in production potential yield, potential for corn and soybeans in particular,” said Brad Rippey, a meteorologist with the Department of Agriculture.

The withering corn has increased feed prices and depleted available feeding land, putting stress on cattle farmers. A record 54 percent of pasture and rangeland — where cattle feed or where hay is harvested for feeding — was in poor or very poor condition, according to the Department of Agriculture. Many farmers have been forced to sell their animals.

Because feed can account for nearly half of a cattle farmer’s costs, consumers could see a rise in the price of meat and dairy products, experts said. The high sustained heat has led the key components in milk, like fat and protein, to plummet more than usual, said Chris Galen, a spokesman for National Milk Producers Federation.

“This is due to cows eating less dry matter, and drinking more water ... which tends to thin out the resulting milk output,” he said in an e-mail. “So, if you’re a cheese maker, you need to use a little more milk to get the same volume of cheese output.”

Still, this year’s drought is not expected to be as rough on Midwestern agriculture as the one in 1988. Corn yields were 22 percent under trend that year, and this year the Department of Agriculture is projecting yields 11 percent under trend — “though that could change in August,” said Joseph W. Glauber, the department’s chief economist.

Many also believe that farmers are better situated this year to handle the impact of a drought than they were two decades ago. More than 80 percent of corn and soybeans are estimated to be insured, Mr. Glauber said.

Last year, crop insurers paid a record $11 billion in indemnity payments, and that “should serve as a good model for what farmers can expect this year,” Tom Zacharias, the president of National Crop Insurance Services, said in a news release.

But the impact of this drought has extended beyond farming. In Missouri, the torrid conditions have sparked forest fires that resemble the types of wildfires seen in the West. Already, 117 wildfires have burned in Missouri’s Mark Twain National Forest, a record-setting pace. Conditions have been so dry that there was a report of hay in a barn combusting on its own.

Meanwhile, water levels are falling in town reservoirs as well as major waterways like the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers. Barge and towboat operators have been reducing the size of their loads because of the low water, said Ann M. McCulloch, a spokeswoman for the American Waterways Operators. This means shipping operators, who transport a variety of goods from crops to gravel, have had to take more trips, increasing transportation costs that could be passed on to consumers.

Officials in Augusta, Kan., estimate that they have 110 days worth of water that they can draw from a nearby reservoir. The primary reservoir used for their municipal water supply dropped too low last year, the result of a drought in the area that started two years ago, said Josh Shaw, the assistant to the city manager. Indianapolis has put restrictions on water use; south of the city, Johnson County banned smoking at the county fair.

In Colorado, there is concern that the drought could damage forage that deer, elk and other game feed on in the fall. But the state also has seen advantages from the drought. Lower water levels have been helpful for fly fishing, and, with fewer places for animals to drink water, they will likely gather in concentrated areas, making conditions better for hunting.

And one Indianapolis painter is making the best of the situation, according to The Indianapolis Star, by starting a new arm of his business: painting brown lawns green.
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:34 PM   #31
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At least we'll have all the ethanol we'll need!
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:35 PM
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:39 PM   #32
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It's so dry in KC, the trees have been losing leaves for a few weeks now.
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:47 PM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
Not according to statistics and stuff. Where do you live, Venus?
Southwest Kansas. And yes, it has been that bad, unless you know more then I do about our farm.
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Old 07-25-2012, 04:56 PM   #34
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I heard some "expert" saying the drought could even make the cost of a gallon of gas go up, due to ethanol somethingsomething.

There's no reason they WON'T raise the price of gas these days. Blow me, Donger*.








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Old 07-25-2012, 05:02 PM   #35
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50% chance of rain this evening. Lets hope we get the right 50%.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:05 PM   #36
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bowser View Post
I heard some "expert" saying the drought could even make the cost of a gallon of gas go up, due to ethanol somethingsomething.

There's no reason they WON'T raise the price of gas these days. Blow me, Donger*.








*pre-emptive
If corn doubles in price its safe to say ethanol will hit some high prices as well.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:17 PM   #37
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Silage
lots & lots of silage headed off to the silos this year.

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Old 07-25-2012, 05:27 PM   #38
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A drought doesn’t happen in just a season, it’s a cumulative result of lack of moisture and higher temps in the long term. A lot of Kansas has been in drought/near drought conditions for at least 3 years. We haven’t had the big June rains (we get most of our yearly rainfall in June), we’ve also had warmer winters with little to no snow and early springs with little rain. A downpour just runs off because the ground is too dry to absorb it, although it can help to fill ponds and rivers.
We drove from Manhattan to Newton (both in KS) 10 days ago and the further south and west we went the worse things looked. It’s just crispy, even irrigated fields look like crap from the high heat. Corn is pitiful, if it has ears there are no kernels and if it’s over 4 ft tall it’s a miracle. The prairie hay is bad too, only one cutting and baling vs 2 or 3 by now. We saw a field of corn getting cut up for silage and 4 trucks hauling silage from somewhere else. Soybeans have a little hope left but if it doesn’t rain AND cool down a little they’re going to be toast too. I know of at least two family farms that are culling their herds due to lack of pasture grass now and hay in the future.
In addition many water districts are restricting water usage and there are burn bans in place.
A good friend went to Table Rock last week for his yearly vacation there and he said that in addition to the lake being really low the trees are defoliating and it actually looks worse than it does here.
There’s nothing that can be done and it really doesn’t matter how it happened but yes we are in drought conditions in a large part of the country where a lot of crops are grown.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:34 PM   #39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
So bad that ONE THIRD of the counties in the United States of America are now designated federal disaster areas.

ONE THIRD.

And it's going to get worse. It's already the worst in 50 years.

This story's based out of Kansas City.
Oh noes! The worst in 50 years! That's like, most of the time the planet has been around and stuff!
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:35 PM   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by notorious View Post
Southwest Kansas. And yes, it has been that bad, unless you know more then I do about our farm.
I believe he may. He does have charts and he reads huffpo hourly.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:36 PM   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bowser View Post
I heard some "expert" saying the drought could even make the cost of a gallon of gas go up, due to ethanol somethingsomething.

There's no reason they WON'T raise the price of gas these days. Blow me, Donger*.








*pre-emptive
It's what we get for putting that crap in gas anyway.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:45 PM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by notorious View Post
Southwest Kansas. And yes, it has been that bad, unless you know more then I do about our farm.
Just saying that in most places, it has been hotter and drier this year than last, statistically. Especially, I believe, the continuous stretch of hot days with no or little rain.
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:45 PM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
Just saying that in most places, it has been hotter and drier this year than last, statistically. Especially, I believe, the continuous stretch of hot days with no or little rain.
Which was hotter and drier than the year before...
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Old 07-25-2012, 05:55 PM   #44
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
Just saying that in most places, it has been hotter and drier this year than last, statistically. Especially, I believe, the continuous stretch of hot days with no or little rain.
Absolutely, it has been bad almost everywhere this year.


We just got a head start on everyone else. It is amazing that we are still in a bad drought in our area yet we had more rain in one day this year then three and a half months combined last year. I guess we are just getting used to it.


Growing up, I remember ditches full of water with tadpoles, toads, and snakes everywhere. I had to mow once a week or the yard would be out of control.

Times are bad.
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Old 07-25-2012, 11:54 PM   #45
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We received beautiful, beautiful rain tonight. Prayers were certainly answered.
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