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#556 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $39727
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and while you are at it, **** science. We can't afford either anymore.
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Posts: 59,899
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#557 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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I find it interesting that Romney spent all day in Florida at 3 different events in the state. Obama was here on Thrusday. Why would Romeny be here is he has it locked up? Doesn't he need to work on Nevada, Ohio, Wisconsin, Virgina, Iowa etc.
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Posts: 59,899
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#558 |
MVP
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: York PA
Casino cash: $14759
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Same could be said for Obama. He's going to New Hampshire and Michigan this week.
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Posts: 17,898
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#559 | ||
The Master
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
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Quote:
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak Quote:
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#560 |
RING****ER
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
Casino cash: $21168
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Just read a pretty interesting article that unless turnout is almost identical to 2008 there is virtually no way that Obama can win and most of these polls will be way off. Evidently Gallup just released a poll conducted with almost 10,000 people to ascertain a party affiliation and it is currently GOP +1.
We'll know the answers to all these thing soon, but I don't find the prospect of the electorate being closer to 2004 than 2008 all that surprising. I find people claiming the Dems are as energized as they were in 2008 to be less likely. |
Posts: 33,547
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#561 | ||
The Master
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
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Quote:
__________________
-Watching Eddie Podolak Quote:
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Posts: 23,101
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#562 |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
Casino cash: $29212
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http://www.gallup.com/poll/158399/20...like-2008.aspx
Ignore the headline and look at the numbers. If they are accurate than it's obvious Nate Silver is ignoring them and his predictions are going to be WAY off. Most polls show a substantial Dem oversample and these numbers show that it should be a GOP oversample to be accurate. Again, all depends on if these are accurate numbers. |
Posts: 18,367
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#563 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
Casino cash: $29212
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#564 |
Back again, again.
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Casino cash: $23457
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All I ask is this: Whoever turns out to be wrong, come back in to one of these threads and admit it. No excuses. If it's me, I will.
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#565 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
Casino cash: $29212
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Quote:
But if Romney pulls less than 260 (as many here seem to think) I will happily admit that my understanding of the current political landscape is off base. |
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#566 | |
The Dude Abides
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Dakota Country
Casino cash: $12056
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![]() Heh, big big guy.....
__________________
Arrogance, ignorance, and incompetence. Not a pretty cocktail of personality traits in the best of situations....in a leader, it's a lethal cocktail. --Grayden Carter |
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#567 |
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Join Date: Dec 2003
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Yeah thats probably whats going on with romney but why is Obama going to Florida?
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#568 | |
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#569 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Austin
Casino cash: $29212
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Quote:
FL, NC, VA, NH, CO, IA I could see one of these falling out and Romney dropping to 258-263 range but I could also see the polls being WAY off and Romney pulling every swing state and possibly some Obama "leaning" ones. |
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#570 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
Casino cash: $39727
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