Home Mail MemberMap Chat (0) Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The Ed & Dave Lounge > D.C.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-07-2012, 07:21 PM  
whoman69 whoman69 is offline
The Master
 
whoman69's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5000
538

The latest 538 simulations have Obama winning 90.9% of the time with an average of 313.0 EC. The popular vote is seen as 50.8-48.3 or a 2.5 point lead for Obama.

The closest state contests are:
Florida 50.3% Obama
North Carolina 74.4% Romney
Virginia 79.4% Obama
Colorado 79.7% Obama
Iowa 84.3% Obama
New Hampshire 84.6% Obama

The following battleground states are now considered safe Obama meaning more than a 90% probability:
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Nevada
Ohio

Obama has 303 EC at least 79%
Obama has 332 EC at least 50%

Last edited by whoman69; 11-06-2012 at 09:58 AM.. Reason: latest update
Posts: 23,081
whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.whoman69 is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:16 PM   #1186
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $5270
Quote:
Originally Posted by mnchiefsguy View Post
Maybe, maybe not. Obama is so worried about PA that he got Bill Clinton to go there at the last minute to do four campaign stops throughout the state. Given the number of states that are toss up states, I do not think the Obama campaign would waste such talent in PA if it was locked up.
They are sending Bill to help out solidify states and help with certain candidates. He was in MN last night trying to get Bachmann out and Casey is facing a tough challenge in PA.
Posts: 48,375
dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:17 PM   #1187
mnchiefsguy mnchiefsguy is offline
MVP
 
mnchiefsguy's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Casino cash: $5190
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
From that quote it appears they are all but conceding Ohio and hoping for PA to turn blue. Even Rasmussen has said in the last few days it was pure fantasy for them to win PA or Michigan
If that was the case...why was Bill Clinton in PA? Wouldn't it make more sense to send him to Florida, VA, or Ohio? Clinton is a masterful campaigner, I just don't see Obama being stupid enough to send Clinton somewhere that is already locked up...especially considering Clinton crammed four campaign stops and criss-crossed the state in one day. Maybe there is something I am missing?
__________________
Posts: 6,829
mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:17 PM   #1188
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Brainwashed
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Swims with fishes
Casino cash: $5530
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Newsflash, Romney can win without Ohio or Penn.
Can, sure. Probable? Realistic? Most would say no.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MTG#10 View Post
I believe Hitler hated Jews and had a lot of them killed. I dont believe it was anywhere close to 6 million though. I'm not an anti-semite; I just think that number has been severely inflated and there is a lot of evidence that supports this belief.
Posts: 42,865
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:18 PM   #1189
Hoover Hoover is offline
Rufus Dawes Jr.
 
Hoover's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $5222
Obama is in trouble is Romney wins either state IMO
Posts: 8,330
Hoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:18 PM   #1190
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $5270
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Newsflash, Romney can win without Ohio or Penn.
True but he would have to win everything else. From what I have read today they have given up on Nevada so there goes that scenario
Posts: 48,375
dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:19 PM   #1191
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
Debunking your bullshit
 
cosmo20002's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: KC area
Casino cash: $5552
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Newsflash, Romney can win without Ohio or Penn.
Sure, and it is possible to win a football game without scoring a touchdown. Possible, but really, really difficult and not probable.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris616 View Post
As long as Jesus Christ was the president of the US and approved of it Yes.
Posts: 17,840
cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:20 PM   #1192
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Brainwashed
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Swims with fishes
Casino cash: $5530
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Obama is in trouble is Romney wins either state IMO
Every poll and every non-Republican pundit and even some Republican pundits are giving Iowa to Obama. You still think Iowa is a lock for Romney.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MTG#10 View Post
I believe Hitler hated Jews and had a lot of them killed. I dont believe it was anywhere close to 6 million though. I'm not an anti-semite; I just think that number has been severely inflated and there is a lot of evidence that supports this belief.
Posts: 42,865
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:21 PM   #1193
mnchiefsguy mnchiefsguy is offline
MVP
 
mnchiefsguy's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Casino cash: $5190
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
They are sending Bill to help out solidify states and help with certain candidates. He was in MN last night trying to get Bachmann out and Casey is facing a tough challenge in PA.
I suppose that could be the case. But given how close the numbers are, wouldn't you want the best campaigner of the last 25 years stumping for you in states that matter, as opposed to trying to get a House candidate elected that won't make any difference in the long term, given the make up of the House at the moment? Seems to defy common sense, but you could very well be right.
__________________
Posts: 6,829
mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.mnchiefsguy is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:22 PM   #1194
petegz28 petegz28 is offline
Supporter
 
petegz28's Avatar
 

Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Olathe, Ks
Casino cash: $5480
Here is what I don't get about some of you on the Left. On one hand the Left says "Romney is desperate, that's why he is still in Florida and trying to expand the map in PA"

By the same token you see Obama in Florida, sending his peeps to PA and he goes to Wisconsin.

If the line of thinking is "Why is Romney in Florida, he should have it locked up"

or

"Romney is desperate which is why he is trying for PA"

Then the same has to apply for Obama with Wisconsin, PA and Florida

There is no sensible reason Obama should be in Wisconsin if he, as Romney with Florida, should have it locked up.

The fact is this race is razor thin at the moment and I don't think either side is taking anything for granted and is trying to exploit every opportunity that exists.
__________________
"Finally, anyone who uses the terms, irregardless, a whole nother, or all of a sudden shall be sentenced to a work camp."

Stewie Griffin
Posts: 65,618
petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.petegz28 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:24 PM   #1195
Hoover Hoover is offline
Rufus Dawes Jr.
 
Hoover's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $5222
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
True but he would have to win everything else. From what I have read today they have given up on Nevada so there goes that scenario
Wrong, he doesn't need Nevada either.
Posts: 8,330
Hoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:24 PM   #1196
Hoover Hoover is offline
Rufus Dawes Jr.
 
Hoover's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $5222
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Every poll and every non-Republican pundit and even some Republican pundits are giving Iowa to Obama. You still think Iowa is a lock for Romney.
Yep.
Posts: 8,330
Hoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:26 PM   #1197
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $5270
Quote:
Originally Posted by mnchiefsguy View Post
I suppose that could be the case. But given how close the numbers are, wouldn't you want the best campaigner of the last 25 years stumping for you in states that matter, as opposed to trying to get a House candidate elected that won't make any difference in the long term, given the make up of the House at the moment? Seems to defy common sense, but you could very well be right.
Well Michelle did call Hillary's best friend a terrorist. Casey is in a pretty tough race as well. I am not denying the race hasn't tightened in a state like PA but let's not forget McCain campaigned in PA the last few days as well.
Posts: 48,375
dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:27 PM   #1198
Hoover Hoover is offline
Rufus Dawes Jr.
 
Hoover's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Casino cash: $5222
One of Obama's top campaign aides just admitted that the Penn race has tightened.
Posts: 8,330
Hoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliHoover 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:28 PM   #1199
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $5270
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Wrong, he doesn't need Nevada either.
Ok what state are you thinking about then? Michigan?
Posts: 48,375
dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.dirk digler 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-05-2012, 07:28 PM   #1200
Mr. Kotter Mr. Kotter is offline
Lookin' for the answers...
 
Mr. Kotter's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Somewhere else
Casino cash: $185
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoover View Post
Newsflash, Romney can win without Ohio or Penn.
With a strong sweep of the rest of the swing states, yeah. And monkeys might fly out my butt too.
__________________
Alex Smith will be better than Geno or Cassel, Alex Smith will be better than Geno or Cassel, Alex Smith will be better than Geno or Cassel, Alex Smith will be better than Geno or Cassel...
Posts: 39,998
Mr. Kotter has disabled reputation
  Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 04:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.