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Old 08-26-2012, 06:02 PM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Federal Reserve researchers find 1/3 of the unemployment rate is driven by...

Career opportunity mismatches.

From the research's abstract:

Quote:
We develop a framework where mismatch between vacancies and job seekers across sectors translates into higher unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new database covering the universe of online U.S. job advertisements. Mismatch across industries and occupations explains at most one-third of the total observed increase in the unemployment rate, whereas geographical mismatch plays no apparent role. The share of the rise in unemployment explained by occupational mismatch is increasing in the education level.
Certainly lends credence to the Beveridge Curve.

The argument implied by the Curve, of course, is that this is a problem that resolves itself over a couple years.

Meaning that unemployment may be on its way to dropping pretty hard by 2014:

Quote:
By early 2014, the curve will have righted itself, and unemployment will drop like a rock.
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Old 08-26-2012, 06:03 PM   #2
Fairplay Fairplay is offline
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Old 08-26-2012, 06:03 PM   #3
qabbaan qabbaan is offline
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A reason a day why you can't blame Obama for all the unfulfilled promises.
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Old 08-26-2012, 06:07 PM   #4
Chocolate Hog Chocolate Hog is offline
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