Home Mail MemberMap Chat (0) Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The Lounge > D.C.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-18-2012, 12:21 PM  
RINGLEADER RINGLEADER is offline
RING****ER
 
RINGLEADER's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
Casino cash: $12187
National Tracking Polls: Romney +6 in Last Week

Strange. I thought all of these Romney gaffes had killed his campaign.

Rasmussen Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 46
Rasmussen This Week: Obama: 45, Romney: 47

Gallup Last Week: Obama: 50, Romney: 43
Gallup This Week: Obama: 47, Romney: 46

Given the huge pick-ups Romney makes when Likely Voter filters are applied, I'd say the Gallup and Rasmussen numbers are probably close to, if not exactly, the same.

Let's see if Obama gets another bounce from the 47% remark (doubt it, but we'll see) and how quickly that one fades...

Last edited by RINGLEADER; 09-18-2012 at 12:36 PM..
Posts: 24,087
RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 11:08 AM   #181
J Diddy J Diddy is offline
One Groovy Cat
 
J Diddy's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: The Pitt State baby
Casino cash: $13542
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Did you read my post? The places where early voting has the most nefarious impact are on the elections for offices other than POTUS where challengers are less well known and have poorer funding. It certainly has an impact at the POTUS level too, not on discerning people like me or sheep like you, but on the less committed people among us.
I apologize, but I must point out that you got your labels mixed up. Probably due to the feverish pitch you were throwing your mind numbing bullshit out.
Posts: 30,555
J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 12:00 PM   #182
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $5000
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
Ok. Fair enough and you make a good argument against it. Are you in favor though of early voting via absentee ballot?
I'm in favor of stricter limitations on absentee ballots, but I don't want to disenfranchise people who really have no choice but to be absent from the area on election day or confined to a bed.
__________________


"I'll see you guys in New York." ISIS Caliph Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi to US military personnel upon his release from US custody at Camp Bucca in Iraq during Obama's first year in office.
Posts: 75,744
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 12:24 PM   #183
alnorth alnorth is offline
.
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $47371463
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Because our elections should be about making a case to the people and then letting them decide. Early voting means that some people are voting before the arguments have all been made. For example, some people are voting right now before the first debate has even taken place. It's like letting a jury member cast it's vote whether or not to convict any time after closing arguments begin instead of making them wait until both sides have made their closing arguments.

Early voting favors the incumbent whose case is generally pretty well known and raises the hurdle for challengers who generally have more limited funds and opportunities to get their "new" case in front of the voters. Does the challenger blow his/her wad just before early voting starts or do they save it for the last few weeks before the majority of people will vote knowing that they will be at a big disadvantage with the early voters. This is an even bigger problem for down ticket races than it is for the POTUS race.
Agreed, early voting is a stupid idea. Yes, it has no impact on the hard-core bullet voters, but anyone who is undecided or softly leaning one way should not be voting early unless they really need to vote absentee.

I wont vote early, even if I'm firmly decided in every race on the ballot, until election day because I want the ability to change my mind if the guy I was going to vote for gets caught with a dead hooker or is exposed as someone whose beliefs are radically different from what I thought.

At some point you have to vote and if they succeed in fooling you through early November, so be it, but I'm going to force them to successfully lie if thats what the candidate is doing until the final day.
__________________
<ptp> how many emo kids does it take to change a lightbulb?
<Willy> HOW MANY?!
<ptp> none they just sit in the dark and cry
Posts: 28,086
alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 06:11 PM   #184
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $10995


Race Stabilizes in Obama's Favor

Charlie Cook: "Leading Democratic and Republican pollsters and strategists privately say that the Obama lead is around 4 or 5 points and is neither widening nor narrowing. The convention bounces have dissipated, but Romney's negatives remain quite high and are not diminishing. In the Gallup three-week super-samples--almost 10,000 interviews--the percentage of Democrats saying that they will definitely vote has moved up to the point that it is now virtually tied with Republicans."
Posts: 48,962
dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 06:30 PM   #185
alnorth alnorth is offline
.
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $47371463
Nate Silver tweeted this hilarious gem today

Quote:
Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight
Thinking every poll but Rasmussen is skewed is literally as delusional as believing that 9/11 was a conspiracy.
__________________
<ptp> how many emo kids does it take to change a lightbulb?
<Willy> HOW MANY?!
<ptp> none they just sit in the dark and cry
Posts: 28,086
alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 06:35 PM   #186
alnorth alnorth is offline
.
 
alnorth's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $47371463
My prediction hasn't changed much since 2 months ago. Only difference is now I think Obama takes Ohio.

__________________
<ptp> how many emo kids does it take to change a lightbulb?
<Willy> HOW MANY?!
<ptp> none they just sit in the dark and cry
Posts: 28,086
alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.alnorth has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 06:35 PM   #187
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
Please squeeze
 
dirk digler's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Casino cash: $10995
Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
Nate Silver tweeted this hilarious gem today
There is stupid people like this on this board like TomJay (aka shtsprayer)
Posts: 48,962
dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.dirk digler has an IQ even higher than Frankie's.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 06:39 PM   #188
BigRedChief BigRedChief is offline
Brainwashed
 
BigRedChief's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Swims with fishes
Casino cash: $17070
VARSITY
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
There is stupid people like this on this board like TomJay (aka shtsprayer)
He's not the only one.
__________________
The true sign of intelligence is not knowledge but imagination.

Albert Einstein
Posts: 44,676
BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.BigRedChief is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 07:09 PM   #189
Calcountry Calcountry is offline
Shoot the tube
 
Calcountry's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Where I am
Casino cash: $5555
Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
I think that I have yet to see a poll favoring a D that wasn't dismissed by the Rs as being biased, improperly weighted, etc. Heard the same in 2008, right before Obama won. Bottom line is that whatever the major pollsters are doing, they are usually pretty damn close most of the time. I don't see what is in it for them to intentionally not shoot for accuracy.
how about, a horse race? It sells better.
__________________
Amerika, Amerika, I shed my grace on Thee.
Posts: 26,870
Calcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliCalcountry 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 07:32 PM   #190
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
Debunking your bullshit
 
cosmo20002's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: KC area
Casino cash: $19924
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Because our elections should be about making a case to the people and then letting them decide. Early voting means that some people are voting before the arguments have all been made.
I do kind of like the idea of an Election DAY, but if the argument hasn't been made by now, that's the candidates' fault.
__________________
Posts: 20,139
cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 07:48 PM   #191
J Diddy J Diddy is offline
One Groovy Cat
 
J Diddy's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: The Pitt State baby
Casino cash: $13542
Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
I do kind of like the idea of an Election DAY, but if the argument hasn't been made by now, that's the candidates' fault.
Not me. I'm usually sweating balls and boozed up. That's before i go vote. I probably should chill before I accidently vote for Garfield the Cat as a write in.
Posts: 30,555
J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.J Diddy is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 10:46 PM   #192
ReynardMuldrake ReynardMuldrake is offline
2 Legit 2 Colquitt
 
ReynardMuldrake's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2010
Casino cash: $5202
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
I guess I'm not seeing the point of this. They are compensating for a perceived oversampling of Democrats by deliberately oversampling Republicans? Isn't that skewed by definition?
Posts: 3,172
ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 11:05 PM   #193
Comrade Crapski Comrade Crapski is offline
Banned
 

Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Sea of Green 23.4
Casino cash: $5000
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
There is stupid people like this on this board like TomJay (aka shtsprayer)
Shut the **** up you pussy.
Posts: 3,833
Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-25-2012, 11:07 PM   #194
Comrade Crapski Comrade Crapski is offline
Banned
 

Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Sea of Green 23.4
Casino cash: $5000
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReynardMuldrake View Post
I guess I'm not seeing the point of this. They are compensating for a perceived oversampling of Democrats by deliberately oversampling Republicans? Isn't that skewed by definition?
You'll find out on November 6th I guess.

Yeah, that's when the blacks riot because they think Barry was supposed to win because of all the distorted polls the moonbats have been promoting.
Posts: 3,833
Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.Comrade Crapski is too fat/Omaha.
  Reply With Quote
Old 09-26-2012, 09:57 AM   #195
ReynardMuldrake ReynardMuldrake is offline
2 Legit 2 Colquitt
 
ReynardMuldrake's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2010
Casino cash: $5202
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
You'll find out on November 6th I guess.

Yeah, that's when the blacks riot because they think Barry was supposed to win because of all the distorted polls the moonbats have been promoting.
How long has unskewedpolls.com been around? I've never heard of them before this year. I'm curious what their success rate has been in picking winners.

I like to judge a polling organization based on its merits, i.e. how successful its predictions are. If you have these numbers, I'd be interested to see them.
Posts: 3,172
ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.ReynardMuldrake threw an interception on a screen pass.
  Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:45 AM.


This is a test for a client's site.
A new website that shows member-created construction site listings that need fill or have excess fill. Dirt Monkey @ https://DirtMonkey.net
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.