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Old 10-10-2012, 10:59 PM  
Taco John Taco John is offline
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Obama still holds the edge in the swing states...

All this Romney momentum isn't translating into leads in swing states:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ate_polls.html


Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (University of North Florida)

Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 42% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:00 PM   #2
Taco John Taco John is offline
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I'll be interested to see what the next debate does to these numbers. I was wondering why Intrade wasn't responding to the continued Romney buzz, and came across this - which pretty well explains it.
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:00 PM   #3
Iowanian Iowanian is offline
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You forgot to say Amen

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Old 10-10-2012, 11:02 PM   #4
Taco John Taco John is offline
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Originally Posted by Iowanian View Post
You forgot to say Amen

Doesn't matter to me who wins. I'm interested in it only for the horse race. Whichever of these leftys win, we all lose.
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:03 PM   #5
Taco John Taco John is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowanian View Post
You forgot to say Amen

I haven't seen Romney's position on farming welfare. He must not be a threat to you, huh?
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:09 PM   #6
Iowanian Iowanian is offline
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:25 PM   #7
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Surprised at the Florida numbers. The paper had a headline here saying, Floridians are largely undecided and aren't crazy about either. That could swing either way.
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:36 PM   #8
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:50 PM   #9
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Pick a poll here, pick a poll there.....
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:54 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco John View Post
All this Romney momentum isn't translating into leads in swing states:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ate_polls.html


Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (University of North Florida)

Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 42% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
Dude, check your info before you post. These are cherry picked polls.

Florida poll quoted has pre-debate data. The two after the debate have Romney by 2 or 3 points.

Nevada is correct but they conveniently left off Rasmussen which has it tied.

New Hampshire they got right because that is the only post-debate poll.

Ohio they conveniently leave off one poll which has Romney ahead by 1.

Penn and Wisconsin they got right.


And now I will never take anything from PoliticalWire.com seriously. What a ****ing sham to leave off any polls that you can get away with if they don't show what you want. And it's not like they just dropped all Rasmussen or whatever, they went out of their way to cherry pick this crap.
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Old 10-10-2012, 11:55 PM   #11
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Pick a poll here, pick a poll there.....
Here a poll there a poll
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Old 10-11-2012, 12:24 AM   #12
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco John View Post
All this Romney momentum isn't translating into leads in swing states:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...ate_polls.html


Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (University of North Florida)

Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 42% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
With all the constant national polls--the ones the Rs said were biased until last week--people forget that it is the STATE polls that matter. And of those only a few really matter--and for Romney--maybe just one--Ohio.
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Old 10-11-2012, 12:26 AM   #13
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco John View Post
I haven't seen Romney's position on farming welfare. He must not be a threat to you, huh?
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say his position is...both. Not sure what the most recent one is though.
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Old 10-11-2012, 01:01 AM   #14
RINGLEADER RINGLEADER is offline
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I'm not sure how you can say it isn't translating into state polls. The averages in OH were almost +5 Obama last week. Now he's bare +1. He was up in VA, CO, FL, NC. Now Romney leads or is tied. Other states like MI and PA and NH were way out of reach. Now Rasmussen shows it tied and there is a McLaughlin poll coming out of PA tomorrow that shows Romney up by 3 there.

He may not be up everywhere, but he has made up a lot of distance in a week.

If you're to believe the political insiders the Monday numbers that showed up yesterday were Romney's highest ever. Will be interesting to see if the trajectory continues, levels out, or recedes.
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Old 10-11-2012, 01:04 AM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
With all the constant national polls--the ones the Rs said were biased until last week--people forget that it is the STATE polls that matter. And of those only a few really matter--and for Romney--maybe just one--Ohio.
If Romney doesn't win OH he has to win both Nevada and Iowa and then either Wisconsin or Colorado (presuming he wins FL and VA).

If he wins Wisconsin and he wins IA and NV he wins outright even without OH.

If he wins CO and IA and NV it ends in a tie without OH, in which case Romney wins.

My guess is that it won't quite be that close...
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