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Old 10-22-2012, 10:30 PM  
jjjayb jjjayb is offline
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Candidates internal polling

I would love to know what the candidates internal polling is showing them. I would assume by their strategies, that Romney's camp thinks they're leading and Obama's camp thinks they're losing. Romney's strategy tonight appeared to be to stay cool and calm and don't say anything stupid. Obama's strategy seemed to be to keep trying to throw punches. Doesn't Romney's strategy seem more like someone who feels they are ahead and trying to run the clock out? Doesn't Obama's strategy seem more like someone who is trying to land a knockout blow in a come from behind victory?

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Old 10-22-2012, 10:43 PM   #2
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Old 10-22-2012, 11:07 PM   #3
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The Dem OH polls show Obama ahead, but they have tightened considerably - to the point where there is worry.
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Old 10-22-2012, 11:18 PM   #4
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Another interpretation:

Obama was following the pattern than worked in the VP debate and the 2nd Presidential debate and avoiding the passive approach in debate 1 where he got trounced. No desperation involved, he just wanted to avoid a repeat of debate 1.

Romney was playing it safe in an area where he doesn't have much experience or passion. He also took the opportunity to be the nice guy for once by doing a little jujitsu knowing Obama would come on strong to repair some of his unfavorable image problems.

I think both candidates will do a major TV buy of at least 30 minutes to make their final appeal, and in that case Romney not losing ground might have been all that they wanted out of this round.

I don't think their internal pollers have any better information than what is publicly available if you look at the most sound methodologies.
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Old 10-23-2012, 12:06 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjayb View Post
I would love to know what the candidates internal polling is showing them. I would assume by their strategies, that Romney's camp thinks they're leading and Obama's camp thinks they're losing. Romney's strategy tonight appeared to be to stay cool and calm and don't say anything stupid. Obama's strategy seemed to be to keep trying to throw punches. Doesn't Romney's strategy seem more like someone who feels they are ahead and trying to run the clock out? Doesn't Obama's strategy seem more like someone who is trying to land a knockout blow in a come from behind victory?
I don't think Obama's apparent strategy of 'When Mitt says something that is complete bullshit or is the opposite of what he said before, I'm going to call him on it' is all that unusual. If he had done that in the first debate, he'd have this wrapped up.
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Old 10-23-2012, 12:15 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Another interpretation:

Obama was following the pattern than worked in the VP debate and the 2nd Presidential debate and avoiding the passive approach in debate 1 where he got trounced. No desperation involved, he just wanted to avoid a repeat of debate 1.

Romney was playing it safe in an area where he doesn't have much experience or passion. He also took the opportunity to be the nice guy for once by doing a little jujitsu knowing Obama would come on strong to repair some of his unfavorable image problems.

I think both candidates will do a major TV buy of at least 30 minutes to make their final appeal, and in that case Romney not losing ground might have been all that they wanted out of this round.

I don't think their internal pollers have any better information than what is publicly available if you look at the most sound methodologies.
Pretty much agree -- and I doubt internal polls had anything to do with either approach. Obama played to his strength and Romney his, as you point out. The question is what "bar" did Romney have to clear? If it was the Commander-In-Chief threshold it seems he passed them. If people were looking for something else, then who knows?
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