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Old 11-05-2012, 08:52 PM  
CaliforniaChief CaliforniaChief is offline
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*****OFFICIAL 2012 U.S. GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS*****

Obama re-elected with Ohio win...

Dems maintain control of Senate, GOP maintains control of House.

Last edited by CaliforniaChief; 11-06-2012 at 09:15 PM..
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:54 PM   #91
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
Just about to post that. Looks like an Obama win if that holds true
Depends on WI, which is strangely absent.

But if the exit polls track this way, which is close to the pre-election polls, then I'd say it's an Obama win.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:55 PM   #92
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I heard that VA and OH will lean BO's way due to counties that are heavy democrat are faster at counting or getting the information out... so it might be a long night regardless.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:55 PM   #93
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
Depends on WI, which is strangely absent.

But if the exit polls track this way, which is close to the pre-election polls, then I'd say it's an Obama win.
Is Wisconsin your surprise?
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM   #94
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They weren't very accurate in the Wisconsin recall election...
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And then there's this:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matthew...-little-secret

More traditional polling about exit poll participation backs this conclusion up. As pollster Scott Rasmussen stated in 2008, Democrats are simply more eager to respond to exit pollsters than Republicans or independents:

The bottom line is that in every state we polled—Colorado, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia— Democrats are a lot more eager to take exit polls than Republicans.

In five of the six states, a majority of Democrats say they would be Very Likely to participate in the exit polling process. At the same time, in five of the six states, fewer than 40% of Republicans would be willing to do the same.

In every state, Republicans are at least twice as likely as Democrats to say that they are not at all willing to take an exit poll.

Unaffiliated voters tend to align more closely to Republicans in all six states in both willingness and unwillingness to participate in exit polls.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM   #95
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Drudge is the most biased web site in the world. So wonder what the real results were?
I'm sure that's probably accurate. He always leaks exit polls, because the big boys won't release data until the polls are closed.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM   #96
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I'm shocked NH is going for Obama being it's the most libertarian state. ( based on what I've seen in here.) Too many Massholes moved into the southern part of the state. That's unexpected.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:59 PM   #97
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
I'm shocked NH is going for Obama being it's the most libertarian state. ( based on what I've seen in here.) Too many Massholes moved into the southern part of the state. That's unexpected.
Just one of many "surprises" in store for you tonight.
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Old 11-06-2012, 03:59 PM   #98
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2004 exit polls: CO (Bush +3), FL (-4), NC (+5), NH (-17), OH (-4), PA (-19), VA (+1), WI (-4). All were off.
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:00 PM   #99
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Racial and age mix is apparently similar to 2008.... both would presumably be bad for Romney.
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:01 PM   #100
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief View Post
Just one of many "surprises" in store for you tonight.
Baloney! I will not be surprised by either outcome, since the race is so tight. I am just surprised at NH—tight race or not.
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:03 PM   #101
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http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:06 PM   #102
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
Baloney! I will not be surprised by either outcome, since the race is so tight. I am just surprised at NH—tight race or not.
I was just
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I believe Hitler hated Jews and had a lot of them killed. I dont believe it was anywhere close to 6 million though. I'm not an anti-semite; I just think that number has been severely inflated and there is a lot of evidence that supports this belief.
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:07 PM   #103
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Poll of polls reweighted for the actual turnout of 37% DEM, 34% GOP, 29% IND:

Obama: 48.75%
Romney: 49.38%

Obviously doesn't matter in the grand scheme, but passing along now that the exit poll numbers are released...
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:08 PM   #104
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
why would Republican staffers put this out? Looks bad for romney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MTG#10 View Post
I believe Hitler hated Jews and had a lot of them killed. I dont believe it was anywhere close to 6 million though. I'm not an anti-semite; I just think that number has been severely inflated and there is a lot of evidence that supports this belief.
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Old 11-06-2012, 04:08 PM   #105
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirk digler View Post
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
Very close to the polls before election... I was hoping we'd know on VA earlier but I guess we'll wait it out until 8pm...
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