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Old 02-23-2013, 06:43 PM  
Count Alex's Losses Count Alex's Losses is offline
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A refresher course on Round 2 QBs

Here is the list of QBs picked in the 2nd round from the beginning of time.


The breakdown out of 69 QBs


Winning records + at least 40 wins: 8 or 11.5%

Playoff winners: 11 or 15.9%

Playoff winners for the team that drafted them: 7 or 10.1%

Super Bowl qualifiers: 6 or 8.69%

Super Bowl winners: 3 or 4.34%

Super Bowl winners for the team that drafted them: 1 or 1.4%

The odds are not good.

Also I looked at 1st round QBs, and the odds basically double. If you pick a QB in the 1st round you basically have a 25% chance of him turning out to be at least Trent Green, i.e. several years of success (40+ wins) and/or a playoff win or two.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:44 PM   #2
O.city O.city is offline
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Every situation is different.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:45 PM   #3
Count Alex's Losses Count Alex's Losses is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
Every situation is different.
And every sperm is NOT sacred.

They get significantly LESS sacred after the 1st round.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:49 PM   #4
O.city O.city is offline
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But you can get one there.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:50 PM   #5
SNR SNR is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by O.city View Post
Every situation is different.
I'd rather draft a player at #1 overall who has a 30% chance of becoming Aaron Rodgers than wait until the 2nd round and take a player who has a 50% chance of becoming Andy ****ing Dalton.

I really don't see any Colin Kaepernicks who will be available in the 2nd round of the boom/bust variety. I see a lot of flaccid, soft-dicked guys who might be Andy Dalton one of these days.

Continuing the 2011 metaphor, we should take the Cam Newton at #1 rather than assume Christian Ponder and Andy Dalton will be good enough to put this team over the top in a few seasons.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:52 PM   #6
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The most mathetically way to win a Super Bowl is draft one yourself at number one. I don't see why its that ****ing hard to get that through idiot skulls.
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Old 02-23-2013, 06:54 PM   #7
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