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Old 03-11-2013, 05:41 PM  
banyon banyon is offline
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Ashley Judd will run against Mitch McConnell in 2014

How Ashley Judd could beat Mitch McConnell in 2014



It's semi-official, says Howard Fineman at The Huffington Post: "Ashley Judd, the 44-year-old actress and social activist, has told key advisers and political figures that she is planning to announce her candidacy for U.S. Senate here this spring," around the time of the Kentucky Derby. Judd "offered a not-quite-ironclad denial," but Republicans are already running against her, and assuming these sources are right, Kentucky's 2014 Senate race is about to get unusually interesting.

First, Judd would have to get the Democratic nomination, says Fineman, but that's easier than it sounds: Most Bluegrass State Democrats are focusing on the upcoming gubernatorial race, and few have the desire or cash to face "the methodically accusatory machine of the five-term Republican senator — and Senate minority leader — Mitch McConnell." Judd, on the other hand, can pretty easily raise millions for a race, and the "fearless" actress "would not necessarily lose a bar fight if she got into one, which she is about to do."

Naturally, political analysts are already offering free advice to the not-yet-candidate. Here are some things Judd might want to keep in mind as she prepares to jump in to a barroom brawl with McConnell:

1. Hollywood will get you in the door, but it won't seal the deal
Judd's core challenge is to run an entertaining campaign while keeping her entertainment career at a safe distance, says Alan Schroeder at The Huffington Post.

When entertainers run for office, they bring along a complicated set of associations, associations that inevitably color how voters perceive them. These associations can be positive, negative, or some combination thereof. The trick for professional performers transitioning into politics is to maximize the good feelings, sprinkle pixie dust over the bad, and get voters to accept them in a newly defined role. [Huffington Post]

Being a glamorous movie star will make Kentucky pay attention to her, but it also opens her up to the charge of being a "Hollywood liberal" in a light-red state. Judd really is more liberal than most Kentucky Democratic politicians, especially on environmental and social issues, so she'll "have to balance two imperatives: Staying true to her convictions without letting herself get too far ahead of Kentucky voters," Schroeder says.

2. Don't be a stranger — or a carpetbagger
Judd will also have to "work overtime to convince voters she has not lost touch with her Kentucky roots," says Lauren Fox at U.S. News. That means moving back to the state where she was raised and attended college, ASAP.

"A path to victory does not include New York, Washington and Hollywood. It includes Lexington, Louisville, and Pikeville," says Dale Emmons, a Democratic strategist in Kentucky that has managed campaigns against McConnell before. "This is a place people expect to see you and talk to you."... Experts warn Judd's going to have to launch an aggressive ground game, relocate to Kentucky from Tennessee, where she currently lives, and be ready for a knock-down drag-out fight. [U.S. News]

"Judd would be well advised to study the example of Hillary Clinton, another candidate accused of carpetbagging," says The Huffington Post's Schroeder. Like Clinton, Judd should embark on a listening tour across Kentucky, getting to know her onetime home state and its local reporters. And while there's a good chance she'll move to Lexington, the home of her alma mater, University of Kentucky, "it might make political sense for her to relocate not to urban Louisville or Lexington, but back to her hardscrabble hometown of Ashland on the Ohio River."

Basing herself in Ashland would plant Judd's personal narrative front and center. It's a story worth repeating, because her journey to Hollywood stardom from humble local beginnings establishes an instant connection with voters. She's the Kentucky girl who made it big and decided to come home to work on behalf of her community. Frank Capra couldn't concoct a better premise. [Huffington Post]

3. Prove you're a serious candidate
Judd is hardly the first celebrity to run for office, says Ruby Cramer at BuzzFeed. "Clint Eastwood and Sonny Bono; Arnold Schwarzenegger and Fred Thompson; Al Franken and, of course, Ronald Reagan all faced the same suggestions that they were just lightweights playing their latest roles." And they all won "by following roughly the same formula: Starting early, staying local, and preventing their celebrity from weighing 'like a huge tire around the neck' on the campaign trail."

The successful celebrity candidates were also helped by "the early interest they showed in politics long before their campaigns for public office," says Cramer. Judd does have "her own extensive resume in politics and humanitarian work," from earning a master's in public policy from Harvard to working with EMILY's List and the Obama campaigns to traveling to Africa on behalf of YouthAIDS. But stumping for Obama and progressive female politicians isn't a sure selling point in Kentucky, and people don't necessarily connect global charity work to their own pocketbook issues.

"Compared with other entertainers who have run for office, Ashley Judd steps into the ring well prepared," says Schroeder. "She is more Al Franken than Sonny Bono." But her biggest opportunity may be the public's dislike of Congress. "As a candidate, Judd must establish herself from the outset as a people's politician, an outsider willing to fight for the powerless. McConnell, a creature of Washington if there ever was one, appears highly vulnerable on this point."

http://theweek.com/article/index/241...onnell-in-2014
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:44 PM   #2
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Can only see the title but oh no, not more Hollywood. I'll have to google this to get more.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:45 PM   #3
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Exactly what we need... more actors in government / politics.

/said no one ever
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:46 PM   #4
banyon banyon is offline
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Perhaps more startling is this poll by PPP (very accurate in 2012)that this is the race before she even announces:

McConnell highly unpopular

Mitch McConnell is the most unpopular Senator in the country. Only 37% of Kentucky voters approve of him to 55% disapprove. Both in terms of raw disapproval (55%) and net approval (-18) McConnell has the worst numbers of any of his peers, taking that mantle from Nebraska's Ben Nelson.

McConnell is predictably very unpopular with Democrats (23/73). But his numbers are almost as bad with independents (33/58) and even with Republicans he's well below the 70-80% approval range you would usually expect for a Senator within their own party (59/28).

As unpopular as McConnell is, Kentucky is still a state that voted for Mitt Romney by 23 points last month and because of the political lean of the state, he leads all of the Democrats we tested against him in head to head match ups. 3 of them- Lieutenant Governor Jerry Abramson, Attorney General and 2010 nominee Jack Conway, and actress Ashley Judd- come within 4 points of McConnell at 47/43. Louisville Mayor Greg Fischer trails by 5 at 46/41, Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes has a 7 point deficit at 47/40, Congressman John Yarmuth is down 10 at 48/38, former Ambassador Matthew Barzun lags 48/37, and State Auditor Adam Edelen trails by 12 at 48/36.

The reason McConnell does decently well in the head to head match ups despite his poor approval numbers is that even though a lot of Republicans dislike him, most of them would still vote for him in a general election before they would support a Democrat. This is the same phenomenon we saw in Florida and Pennsylvania this year where Bill Nelson and Bob Casey won by solid margins despite middling approval numbers because Democrats that weren't thrilled with them still voted for them. And although independents don't like McConnell they don't like most of the Democrats either, and they support McConnell in every match up we tested.

Ashley Judd is the clear choice of Democratic primary voters to be their candidate in 2014. 29% say she would be the first pick, followed by Abramson at 16%, Conway at 15%, Grimes and Yarmuth at 9%, Fischer at 5%, Edelen at 2%, and Barzun at less than 1%. Judd is a particularly popular choice among young voters and those describing themselves as 'very liberal.'

The primary action in 2014 might not all be on the Democratic side. Among Republican primary voters only 50% say they want McConnell to be their nominee against next time, while 35% would prefer a generic 'more conservative' candidate.

McConnell blows an actual potential primary challenger, newly elected Congressman Thomas Massie, out of the water at 66/18. But the generic numbers do suggest a primary foe could have a shot.
Kentucky is a tough state for Democrats- but given how unpopular McConnell is and the lack of other opportunities for the party to play offense in 2014, this should be a race to watch.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/m...unpopular.html
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:47 PM   #5
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For my part, I think this just shows the gradual Idiocracy-fication of our country. We're going to be run by a nation of stupid celebrities eventually decided on an American Idol-type show by people who can't read.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:48 PM   #6
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Not only that for a Democrat she's guilty of making racist attacks on McConnell's wife who is Chinese.

It's a Republican state, so I wonder how easy it would be to defeat McConnell. I have some trouble with him, as he is Establishment. Perhaps, he should retire and they let another Republican run to keep the seat intact. Someone younger.


Ashley Judd: Progress Kentucky Attacks On Mitch McConnell's Wife 'Wrong & Patently Unacceptable'


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/0...n_2768352.html
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:50 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by banyon View Post
For my part, I think this just shows the gradual Idiocracy-fication of our country. We're going to be run by a nation of stupid celebrities eventually decided on an American Idol-type show by people who can't read.
Ever seen Idiocracy, the mike judge film? It is prophetic.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:54 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by pr_capone View Post
Exactly what we need... more actors in government / politics.

/said no one ever
Agree, but its not like the non-actors are so wonderful.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:57 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by Brock View Post
Ever seen Idiocracy, the mike judge film? It is prophetic.
that's what I was attempting to reference.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:58 PM   #10
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It would never happen Mc Connell has a death grip on that job, doing whats best for the party isnt a consideration anymore, everyman for himself is the D.C. Mantra.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:58 PM   #11
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Still, McConnell is not a real well liked good ol' boy or anything. If I were him, I think I'd rather face the next Democratic state house rep sacrificial lamb, than a political wild card like this.
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Old 03-11-2013, 05:59 PM   #12
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Originally Posted by BucEyedPea View Post
Not only that for a Democrat she's guilty of making racist attacks on McConnell's wife who is Chinese.

It's a Republican state, so I wonder how easy it would be to defeat McConnell. I have some trouble with him, as he is Establishment. Perhaps, he should retire and they let another Republican run to keep the seat intact. Someone younger.


Ashley Judd: Progress Kentucky Attacks On Mitch McConnell's Wife 'Wrong & Patently Unacceptable'


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/0...n_2768352.html
Article says she spoke out against the comments about his wife.

BEP post is BEP post.
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Old 03-11-2013, 06:02 PM   #13
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Also,this speaks to the current glut of money in politics. You either have to be independently wealthy (a big actor, e.g., or wall street maven) or you have to be beholden to the corporations who have the money.

The least expensive Senate Seat last year was $3 million (maine)
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Old 03-11-2013, 06:08 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
Article says she spoke out against the comments about his wife.

BEP post is BEP post.
Ops! Fair enough. Did a partial read. Good for her.

Still, why would a Progressive group resort to such things when they're usually against it.
That's her base of support.
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Old 03-11-2013, 06:09 PM   #15
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How does she stand a chance? Isn't she some big time liberal? Since when will Kentucky elect a liberal?
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