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Old 05-14-2013, 12:30 PM  
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Old 07-09-2013, 12:40 PM   #781
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At the risk of giving away my secret gameplans, here's something that surprised me about my game. I don't have particularly strong receivers. In fact, in my estimation, my TE group is marginally better than my WR group. So in the gameplan, I increased my 2 TE formations at the expense of the other, more WR oriented formations. I expected to have better performance from the TEs in the passing game than I did. Here were my top 2 WR and 2 TE box scores:

Kevin Walter 7 rec / 126 yds / 0 TD
Santonio Holmes 11 rec / 122 yds / 1 TD

Anthony Fasano 2 rec / 22 yds / 0 TD
Scott Chandler 1 rec / 4 yds / 0 TD
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Old 07-09-2013, 03:25 PM   #782
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Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
At the risk of giving away my secret gameplans, here's something that surprised me about my game. I don't have particularly strong receivers. In fact, in my estimation, my TE group is marginally better than my WR group. So in the gameplan, I increased my 2 TE formations at the expense of the other, more WR oriented formations. I expected to have better performance from the TEs in the passing game than I did. Here were my top 2 WR and 2 TE box scores:

Kevin Walter 7 rec / 126 yds / 0 TD
Santonio Holmes 11 rec / 122 yds / 1 TD

Anthony Fasano 2 rec / 22 yds / 0 TD
Scott Chandler 1 rec / 4 yds / 0 TD
It might just be matchups man, for instance you're are putting a strain on the defense having both receivers out there. It is pretty lopsided though.
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Old 07-09-2013, 05:08 PM   #783
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I remember that Aurora asked for a special consideration last year where they would never punt, and it looks like that setting is still on, even with a new owner. Probably shouldn't be.
Ya, I just noticed that they never punted one time. No wonder why I dominated them. I think I still would have won but thats weird.
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Old 07-09-2013, 05:12 PM   #784
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Ya, I just noticed that they never punted one time. No wonder why I dominated them. I think I still would have won but thats weird.
There are some theoretical studies out there that say it's always a bad idea to punt, and the previous owner wanted to test that theory. It didn't seem to work very well, so I'm really curious now whether the theory works in real life or if it's got some flaw (or if our simulation can't account for what makes the theory true).
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Old 07-09-2013, 05:14 PM   #785
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Isn't the only reason its better to not punt is because you get 4 chances at a first down instead of just three?
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Old 07-09-2013, 05:57 PM   #786
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Originally Posted by tambaberry View Post
Isn't the only reason its better to not punt is because you get 4 chances at a first down instead of just three?
Yeah. The theory is that the expected value of making it exceeds the opponent's expected value of failing. It didn't work well in last year's experiment, but that's only 16 sample points.
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Old 07-09-2013, 06:00 PM   #787
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Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
Santonio Holmes 11 rec / 122 yds / 1 TD
What really pisses me off is that you got 122 yards out of Santonio Holmes.

He's on my roster in league 1, but I'm not bothering to play him since he's only around 4 games this year, and was pretty crummy in real life.

But he got you 122 yards.

I could have used those 122 yards.

Now, of course, there's no way to predict whether he'd ever do that for me in a game, so...I may just leave him on the bench.
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Old 07-09-2013, 06:39 PM   #788
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Originally Posted by tambaberry View Post
Ya, I just noticed that they never punted one time. No wonder why I dominated them. I think I still would have won but thats weird.
are you ****ing kidding me? I had NO idea that was on.

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Old 07-09-2013, 06:43 PM   #789
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are you ****ing kidding me? I had NO idea that was on.

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Old 07-09-2013, 08:13 PM   #790
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Originally Posted by Rain Man View Post
There are some theoretical studies out there that say it's always a bad idea to punt, and the previous owner wanted to test that theory. It didn't seem to work very well, so I'm really curious now whether the theory works in real life or if it's got some flaw (or if our simulation can't account for what makes the theory true).
I think it's that coaches punt in many different situations when going for it is the better statistical option - not all. I don't think any model would say it's better to go for 4th and 99 on your own 1 over punting. But punting on 4th and 2 from midfield is probably a negative proposition compared to going for it. I think Haley subscribed to this thinking as well in all reality - thus his propensity to gamble on 4th down more often.
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Old 07-09-2013, 08:22 PM   #791
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Can anyone flip the "no punt" switch?

It might be fun to do for a week once I've locked up a playoff spot.
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Old 07-09-2013, 08:34 PM   #792
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Originally Posted by tambaberry View Post
It might just be matchups man, for instance you're are putting a strain on the defense having both receivers out there. It is pretty lopsided though.
Yeah, I'm not going to worry about it. The results were good enough that I'll keep riding the same gameplan for a couple of weeks to see how it goes.
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Old 07-09-2013, 08:38 PM   #793
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Originally Posted by Alex Smith HATER View Post
What really pisses me off is that you got 122 yards out of Santonio Holmes.

He's on my roster in league 1, but I'm not bothering to play him since he's only around 4 games this year, and was pretty crummy in real life.

But he got you 122 yards.

I could have used those 122 yards.

Now, of course, there's no way to predict whether he'd ever do that for me in a game, so...I may just leave him on the bench.
It's a testament to how bad my receiving corps is that Santonio Holmes is my #1 guy. Maybe it has something to do with having a decent QB (Matt Ryan) and a pretty good offensive line (Ryan Clady, Evan Mathis, Dan Koppen, Jon Asamoah, and William Beatty).
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Old 07-10-2013, 05:43 PM   #794
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How many players can be on a team's roster? Are we authorized a practice squad?
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Old 07-10-2013, 05:48 PM   #795
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How many players can be on a team's roster? Are we authorized a practice squad?
Hope we get this in the future. There were several players in FA I wanted to grab to see if I could get a future return on them.

This would add a nice dimension to free agency and reward owners who do their research more.
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