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Old 09-20-2013, 01:55 PM  
DaFace DaFace is offline
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A Broncos blogger's take on the Chiefs

http://www.itsalloverfatman.com/bron...as-city-chiefs

Beware the Kansas City Chiefs
Ted Bartlett Sep 20, 2013 3:30 PM

Happy Friday, friends. I still havenít had the four hours or so necessary to watch the All-22 of the Broncos-Giants game, and then write an article on it. Iím planning to do that tomorrow, so check the site on a Saturday. (I know you all have the capability.) I actually planned to watch the film last night, but I got caught up watching the Chiefs-Eagles game instead.

Youíre not going to like this, but I thought it was time that we all came to the realization that the Chiefs are legitimate. Briefly, today, Iíll share some thoughts on this most regrettable of topics.

For Kansas City, it all starts with their ability to play defense, specifically man-to-man coverage on defense. They have two above-average man corners in Brandon Flowers and Sean Smith, and they also have safety Eric Berry, whoís proving to be very capable at covering TEs man-to-man.

When you can play man coverage (like the Broncos can, as well), you get more options tactically than youíd have if your guys could only hold up in zone. If you can play 5-on-5, with one high safety, youíre left with a free guy, to either use as an extra rusher, or as a robber type of player in coverage.

Whatís maybe even more impressive about the Chiefs is that theyíre getting dominant play off both edges (Justin Houston and Tamba Hali) and on the nose, with the vastly improved Dontari Poe. This Chiefs team can really generate some pressure on the QB, and that dovetails nicely with being able to lock down good receivers outside.

I saw some comments in the Lard today saying that the Chiefs looked like an average team. I donít agree with that. As I watched them, I thought they looked a good deal like the 2011 49ers, and that team probably should have been in the Super Bowl.

Alex Smith has been doing an excellent job of managing the game, and the Chiefs have zero turnovers through three games. At this point, nobody can say that Smith is a fluke when it comes to protecting the football. In 2011, his interception rate was 1.1%, which led the NFL. In 2012, it was 2.3%, which tied with Matt Ryan for tenth. This year, obviously, itís zero. He is good at not throwing the ball to the other team.

Smith isnít really a big play guy, but with the defense Kansas City has, he doesnít have to be. He can matriculate the ball down the field, and do well enough by getting the ball to the open guy short. Heís also added 115 rushing yards in three games, which is a good amount for a QB.

Thereís a way to win in the NFL, by playing good defense (particularly against the pass), and by winning the turnover battle. Thatís what the 49ers did the last couple years, and thatís what this yearís Chiefs team is doing.

I said in an email to the other IAOFM guys yesterday that the Chiefs were probably destined to regress to the mean on turnovers, but the more I think about it, the less I think they will. Smith is huge in that regard, as mentioned, but itís notable that the team has only even fumbled the ball once in three games. (That was credited to Smith.)

Recovering fumbles is random, and highly dependent on luck, but not fumbling the ball isnít random. Itís a skill, and a discipline, and a coaching priority. So far, it looks like this is another skill that the Chiefs have going for them.


I know what some of you are thinking - they haven't played anybody yet! How do you know? Is it fully clear yet who is a good team and who's a bad team? I'll grant you that Jacksonville is in rough shape this year. Dallas, though, has the talent to compete with anybody in the NFL. The fact that KC's corners mostly won against Dallas's WRs is compelling evidence of the quality of the Chiefs defense. As for Philadelphia, they have pretty good offensive talent too, and their scheme makes that talent a step better. (Admittedly, their defense isn't good.)

I donít necessarily think that the Chiefs are ready to win a Super Bowl this year, but I do think theyíll give anybody they play a hard time on any given Sunday. To beat their defense, you have to run the ball well, and beat up on their nickel CB with good play from the slot. Philly got them for 260 yards rushing, and 9.3 yards per carry, and it's clear that the Chiefs can still be run on.

To beat their offense, itís helpful to bottle up the running game, and to keep Smith in long yardage situations. If you let him get to 3rd-and-4 very often, heís going to beat you. Over the long run of a game, Smith makes up for not being great at drilling the 20-yard deep out by almost always finding the right receiver on 3rd-and-4, and almost always putting the short throw right where it needs to be.

I would say that the Chiefs are probably the second-most impressive team Iíve seen in the AFC so far this season. Itís a credit to Andy Reid, and the smart moves they made, like keeping LT Branden Albert, signing Sean Smith and DE Mike DeVito, trading for Alex Smith, and picking up Donnie Avery (who has skills) off the scrap heap. I think they may have erred in taking RT Eric Fisher first overall (I thought the best players in the class were DT Star Lotulelei and OLB Jarvis Jones), but Fisher is still likely going to be a good player.

Itís early, but we should watch out for the Chiefs. If they can beat Houston at home in Week 7, thereís a pretty good chance we could see 8-0 Kansas City visiting Denver on November 17th (coming off a bye) to play a 9-0 Broncos team. How exciting would that be?
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:06 PM   #76
KcMizzou KcMizzou is offline
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This defense can and will TAKE turnovers. They don't have to be given.
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:28 PM   #77
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Originally Posted by Cassel>Manning View Post
. I still think your running game is inconsistent, how many 3rd and 1's did you guys fail to convert against the Eagles last night?
None that mattered...
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:30 PM   #78
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Originally Posted by KcMizzou View Post
This defense can and will TAKE turnovers. They don't have to be given.
Yeah your D line /lbs look good.
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:42 PM   #79
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Yeah your D line /lbs look good.
The DL play has been a very pleasant surprise this year so far. D Poe is turning into a beast at NT. That speed on the bull rush is really making strides this year. The good thing, barring injuries, it should get better as they understand the DC's scheme.
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:46 PM   #80
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The DL play has been a very pleasant surprise this year so far. D Poe is turning into a beast at NT. That speed on the bull rush is really making strides this year. The good thing, barring injuries, it should get better as they understand the DC's scheme.
What a difference coaching/scheme can make...
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:47 PM   #81
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Originally Posted by vailpass View Post
What a difference coaching/scheme can make...
It really is amazing.

There are a couple nice additions, but it's mostly the same guys.
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:57 PM   #82
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It really is amazing.

There are a couple nice additions, but it's mostly the same guys.
Romeo/Dabol Almost as bad as McDaniels.
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Old 09-20-2013, 10:58 PM   #83
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Romeo/Dabol Almost as bad as McDaniels.
I know... right?
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:00 PM   #84
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I know... right?
I give both owners credit for correcting their mistakes. It happens.
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:05 PM   #85
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This is an easy game to play dipshit.....

Your offense is so easy to stop... Play the WR tight coverage, stop the run and don't let Manning throw the ball,if a team does that the Broncos aren't going anywhere offensively.

Saying it and doing it is two different things.
That is not a very good post. The Broncos could have the highest scoring offense in NFL history, we are not easy to stop. We have far too much talent.
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:10 PM   #86
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The Broncos aren't scoring 40 points against the Chiefs........

KEEP ****ING DREAMING......
Last time we played them we won 38-3 and Brock played the last few series. I wouldn't say it's out of the question, even if KC's defense is improved
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:11 PM   #87
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It really is amazing.

There are a couple nice additions, but it's mostly the same guys.
Dude, it's at least 32 new players.

Out of 53.
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Dane is gonna have to leave again after we draft Geno.

He faces monstrous backlash.
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:13 PM   #88
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We have far too much talent.
You have no talent
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Geno > Cam
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Dane is gonna have to leave again after we draft Geno.

He faces monstrous backlash.
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:14 PM   #89
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You have no talent
I think he meant the Broncos
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Old 09-20-2013, 11:18 PM   #90
KcMizzou KcMizzou is offline
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
Dude, it's at least 32 new players.

Out of 53.
I'm not talking about the entire roster. I'm just saying this new coaching staff has the talent that was already here (on defense) kicking ass.
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