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Old 10-11-2013, 11:06 AM  
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Sagarin NFL Ratings: Chiefs #8 (#32 SOS)

Anyone disagree? In the rating we have the worst schedule in the NFL so far, with Denver only 1 slot better. After this week when they've played Jax it might change, but we are playing the 2-3 Raiders so it might still be close.


http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm



On point differential however, we have an expected W/L record of 4.3-0.7 whereas Denver is only 3.8-1.2. However, the simple rating system (Pro Football Reference) has them at a whopping 15.4 vs us at 8.9 based on our low SOS. We're behind the same Sagarin teams like Seattle, Indy, NE, etc:

http://www.pro-football-reference.co...s/kan/2013.htm




I'm having trouble finding any computer ranking that puts us in the Top 5. This computer ranking system was the worst at 16th overall which seems stupid but at least he's predicting a 6.03 point win vs Oakland Sunday:
http://talismanred.com/ratings/nfl.shtml
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:15 AM   #61
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I mean, the Colts won at SF, beat Seattle, beat Denver, played at SD. We haven't played anything close to that difficult a schedule. Even Miami at home isn't a bad team.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:18 AM   #62
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Crazy. Its apparently better to lose to a good team than beat a bad one.

I guess we won't win the Sagarin Lombardi this year.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:20 AM   #63
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Sagarin Pure Points match up well with NFL lines. Despite our "ranking", we'd be a favorite over any team in the NFL at home according to his Pure Point (only one that matters) rating. Seems okay to me.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:21 AM   #64
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I don't know, according to his rankings we have played 1 game vs his top-16. Everyone in front of us has played 3, including the Colts who have played a whopping 5. Until we start beating teams with a pulse, we're not going to do well in his rating. Nor should we.
Why does anyone give a shit what some geeks computer rankings say? This isn't the NCAA where the championship game is decided by rankings. Beat whatever team is put in front of you and go on to the next week.

Shit like this makes me want to go out in the street and punch the next mother****er I see with a pocket protector and glasses right in the ****ing face.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:24 AM   #65
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I don't know. You can't just look at our schedule and say it's weak. I mean Dallas went up to the wire against Peyton and would've probably won the game had Romo not thrown the pick. The Texans were the first ranked defense, and the Titans on the road are no joke either with their Defense. I would at least put us top 5.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:26 AM   #66
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I think the data shows quite conclusively our schedule is weak. Maybe I'm just being overly cautious about our team after decades of being let down. If we split with Denver and SD I'll be a true believer.
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Old 10-21-2013, 11:31 AM   #67
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Why does anyone give a shit what some geeks computer rankings say? This isn't the NCAA where the championship game is decided by rankings. Beat whatever team is put in front of you and go on to the next week.

Shit like this makes me want to go out in the street and punch the next mother****er I see with a pocket protector and glasses right in the ****ing face.
Even if its a girl?
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Old 10-21-2013, 12:14 PM   #68
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According to the Simple Rating System, our team total is only 7.5. That is comprised of 8.2 for defense, and -0.7 for offense.

Denver is 11.6. 19.5 offense and -7.6 defense. Colts are 10.0. 3.8 offense and 6.2 defense.
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Old 10-21-2013, 12:42 PM   #69
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Even if its a girl?
If she's a Pats fan, hell yes
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Old 10-21-2013, 01:35 PM   #70
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Even if its a girl?
Only if she is wearing a gimp costume. Then that bitch would definitely deserve it.
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Old 10-21-2013, 01:37 PM   #71
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According to the Simple Rating System, our team total is only 7.5. That is comprised of 8.2 for defense, and -0.7 for offense.

Denver is 11.6. 19.5 offense and -7.6 defense. Colts are 10.0. 3.8 offense and 6.2 defense.
Cancel the rest of the season now.....
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Old 10-21-2013, 05:37 PM   #72
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Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
According to the Simple Rating System, our team total is only 7.5. That is comprised of 8.2 for defense, and -0.7 for offense.

Denver is 11.6. 19.5 offense and -7.6 defense. Colts are 10.0. 3.8 offense and 6.2 defense.
Not a **** is given
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Old 10-21-2013, 05:58 PM   #73
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Sagarin Pure Points match up well with NFL lines. Despite our "ranking", we'd be a favorite over any team in the NFL at home according to his Pure Point (only one that matters) rating. Seems okay to me.
It does, which is why it's still odd to me the spread was only 6.5 when Houston is 10 behind us in that metric. Granted the Fasano goal line review would've made it an 8 point game.
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Old 10-28-2013, 05:19 PM   #74
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Fell another slot to #10. Replaced by Cinci who moved up to 8. We still have the worst schedule obviously, and a team between the Rams and Vikings (quality wise) would be expected to be .500 in his rating.


We have still only played one top-16 team, Dallas who is 7th.
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Old 10-28-2013, 05:57 PM   #75
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Fell another slot to #10. Replaced by Cinci who moved up to 8. We still have the worst schedule obviously, and a team between the Rams and Vikings (quality wise) would be expected to be .500 in his rating.


We have still only played one top-16 team, Dallas who is 7th.
Dallas? Wtf? We beat Dallas....
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