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Old 10-24-2013, 11:25 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Math does not respect the Chiefs

Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com
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Old 10-25-2013, 10:26 AM   #46
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Obviously, that 6% would need to be updated if we got the #1 seed. Embedded in that probability has to be the assumption that we will be the wild-card team.
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Old 10-25-2013, 10:28 AM   #47
Pasta Giant Meatball Pasta Giant Meatball is offline
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Our defense turns the QBs we face into about 40 on that QB list
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Old 10-25-2013, 11:09 AM   #48
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Originally Posted by BigBeauford View Post
That's fine. The majority of teams we have faced are garbage. Until we have a true test (denver) you can't gauge this teams ability to respond to adversity. We are essentially a mid-major pounding on cupcakes in the mean time.



BULLSHIT!!!! Whoever looked at the Chiefs schedule BEFORE the season and thought it was easy, raise your hand!!!!


OR




SHUT THE F UP!!!!!
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Old 10-25-2013, 11:13 AM   #49
Mr. Laz Mr. Laz is offline
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Math sucks peen multiplied by 3.14159265359 anyway
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:27 PM   #50
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Originally Posted by BigBeauford View Post
That's fine. The majority of teams we have faced are garbage. Until we have a true test (denver) you can't gauge this teams ability to respond to adversity. We are essentially a mid-major pounding on cupcakes in the mean time.
It is the nfl. Every game is a challenge. We were a 2 win team that lost yo teams just like we have played the last couple years. Sometimes by 4 tds or more.
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:45 PM   #51
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About 20 teams are still in contention. That's better than average, and I'm not sure you have seen the product on the field in Australia. The O is pretty putrid. The D is pretty special. In the end we are gonna slip up before we win the SB
Are you asking me if I've actually seen the Chiefs play this year?
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:48 PM   #52
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Originally Posted by AussieChiefsFan View Post
Are you asking me if I've actually seen the Chiefs play this year?
Well like live on TV or something. I doubt you came over but if you do I'm up for buying you a beer.
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Old 10-25-2013, 09:50 PM   #53
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Originally Posted by Mr. Laz View Post
Math sucks peen multiplied by 3.14159265359 anyway
Math, done correctly, is always right. Everything you know is predicated by math. Math proves everything. Math is the universal language. Voyager message was in math.

Now, all kinds of shit can happen in between the calculations, as noted in Laz's post. But, in the end, math is always right. Those who counter post with unsolved shit, math will figure it out. Math.

Source: I trip on math.

Last edited by eDave; 10-25-2013 at 09:52 PM.. Reason: Edit: Chiefs defy math.
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Old 10-25-2013, 10:00 PM   #54
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:31 PM   #55
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Math respects us even less this week. Chances of us winning the Super Bowl down to 2.5%.
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:34 PM   #56
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Dagnabbit, this too has turned into a damn Smith bashing thread.
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:35 PM   #57
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Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Math respects us even less this week. Chances of us winning the Super Bowl down to 2.5%.
So we win and the math says we have less of a chance? Interdasting
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:43 PM   #58
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Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Math respects us even less this week. Chances of us winning the Super Bowl down to 2.5%.
We got Cleveland Steamed.
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:43 PM   #59
Ace Gunner Ace Gunner is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com
could you please run your software on the 2000 Ravens, the 1978 Steelers & the 1986 Giants. thx
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Old 10-30-2013, 11:44 PM   #60
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Math respects us even less this week. Chances of us winning the Super Bowl down to 2.5%.
What are the other teams?
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