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Old 10-24-2013, 11:25 PM  
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Math does not respect the Chiefs

Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%
Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com
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Old 11-01-2013, 10:15 AM   #106
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Never though Andy Dalton would be lumped into that category, but the kid has stones.
Yeah, the rocks are in his head. He was hot garbage last night
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Old 11-01-2013, 10:16 AM   #107
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Cincy is probably like the 5th best team in the AFC
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Old 11-01-2013, 10:20 AM   #108
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Even though we are the only undefeated team, we only have a 6% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Ahead of us are:

Seattle 35%
Denver 16%
Cincinnati 11%Indy 8%

and tied with SF.

This is according to my nfl-forecast.com software using team efficiency ratings from advancednflstats.com


The Chiefs have every bit a chance as anyone on this list. Count on it!!
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Old 11-01-2013, 10:21 AM   #109
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Originally Posted by whoman69 View Post
or maybe Rivers will fumble on the 20 again

I took my traitorous best friend (chargers fan) to that game, and as he gloated, this happened.

I was screaming ITS A MIRACLE ITS A MIRACLE.


... wonder what the mathematical probability of that was~
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Old 11-01-2013, 12:21 PM   #110
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Originally Posted by rockymtnchief View Post


Also, the SOS is bullshit. If this was still the Pioli/Crennel Chiefs, our opponents records would look something like this:
Dallas 5-3
Philly 4-4
NY Giants 2-6 (KC wins)
Raiders 4-4
Browns 4-4
Titans 4-4
Texans 3-5
Jags 0-8 (KC wins)

Omit the hapless Jags and Giants, the Chiefs would be facing a .500 schedule.

Take out Denvers wins against common opponents:
Dallas 6-2
Philly 5-3

Take out the Chargers win against common opponents:
Cowboys 7-1
Philly 6-2

My point being, you can't complain about KC or Denvers easy schedule when the AFCW teams are making them losers. The AFCW isn't a bunch slapdicks this season. Hell, even the Raiders showed a spark by beating the Chargers. Before the season started, the Steeler game would've been chalked up as a loss. Things change and teams improve.
Exactly. Plenty easy enough to understand when you break it down and take a look at it. Not surprised at all that the media isn't / hasn't. They have one narrative and run with it. Say it enough and people start believing it. Then they do something like go out and elect Obama TWICE! (Sorry - couldn't resist, but its on point)
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Old 11-01-2013, 12:33 PM   #111
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Originally Posted by BigBeauford View Post
6% huh?.....So you're saying there's a chance?























The guy in the middle, the guy who is an obvious CP poster, cracks me up!
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Old 11-20-2013, 10:52 PM   #112
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:07 PM   #113
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Who is our likely opponent as the 5 seed? New England?
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:08 PM   #114
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Originally Posted by Pam Oliver's Forehead View Post
Who is our likely opponent as the 5 seed? New England?
I would think it would be more likely the north winner, or the south maybe.

Dunno though.
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:11 PM   #115
cdcox cdcox is offline
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Originally Posted by Pam Oliver's Forehead View Post
Who is our likely opponent as the 5 seed? New England?
I bet there will be at least one punt by each team this time.
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:11 PM   #116
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Theoretically, if we win the next 2 and Denver loses to NE, we'd be sitting real nice.

11-1
9-3 Broncos


With 4 to to, and the Skins, Raiders, Colts and Bolts left to play.

I realize we're the Chiefs and we'll probably shit down our leg, but the division, #1 seed, HFA is right there for the taking.
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:13 PM   #117
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If we end up with the 5 seed and the Broncos are the 1, could we play them before the AFC Champ game?
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:13 PM   #118
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Top odds of the 4th seed:

Indy 41%
NE 34%
Cinn 13%
Jets 4%
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:13 PM   #119
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pam Oliver's Forehead View Post
Who is our likely opponent as the 5 seed? New England?
The only reason I'd want to play there would be to see Pioli's interview after the game.
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Old 11-20-2013, 11:14 PM   #120
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Originally Posted by O.city View Post
If we end up with the 5 seed and the Broncos are the 1, could we play them before the AFC Champ game?
If we won as the 5 seed and the 3 seed beat the 6th seed we would play the 1 seed (presumably Denver) in the divisional round.
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