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Old 11-13-2013, 06:35 PM  
Big Smoke Big Smoke is offline
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Chiefs vs Broncos predictions

I've enjoyed making these for games earlier in the year, so why not make one for the biggest game in recent Chiefs history?

What I hope happens

Charles has a monster game. He finishes the game with 26 rushes for 158 yards and a TD. He also catches 8 passes for 75 yards.

Alex Smith shows he has the ability to be more than just a game manager, throwing for 263 yards and two TDs. More importantly, he has no turnovers on the day.

The Chiefs defense and special teams come up big. Succop hits all 3 of his FG tries, including 2 from 50 plus yards. The Chiefs defense sacks Manning 5 times, causing a fumble on a strip sack by Derrick Johnson. Marcus Cooper returns a Manning INT for a TD.

Chiefs win 37-28
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Old 11-14-2013, 08:58 AM   #106
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thurman merman View Post


How is Denver's horrid defense ever going to hold anyone to 10 points?
Denver's D is not playing at a horrid level any longer. It got its best player back and got several other key guys back from injury, and that has changed the performance of the unit.

The past two weeks, the Broncos held the Washington and San Diego offenses to an average of 20.5 points.

Both offenses are top 10 in the NFL in total yards and yards per play. The Redskins are top 10 in scoring O. The Chargers are right in the middle of the pack, actually slightly behind the Chiefs (but they have only one D/ST score, so their offense is scoring more PPG than KC's).

On the season, the Redskins have averaged 5.8 yards per play. The Denver D held them to 3.8. The Chargers have averaged 6.0 yards per play and were held to 4.8.

The Broncos also have an elite rushing defense, both in terms of yards/game (4th) and yards/rush (2nd at 3.4).

Denver's overall defensive numbers are not great, but if you look a little deeper, the Broncos' D is trending up.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs held to 10 offensive points or less on Sunday, not a bit.
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Old 11-14-2013, 09:31 AM   #107
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Old 11-14-2013, 09:41 AM   #108
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Quote:
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho View Post
Denver's D is not playing at a horrid level any longer. It got its best player back and got several other key guys back from injury, and that has changed the performance of the unit.

The past two weeks, the Broncos held the Washington and San Diego offenses to an average of 20.5 points.

Both offenses are top 10 in the NFL in total yards and yards per play. The Redskins are top 10 in scoring O. The Chargers are right in the middle of the pack, actually slightly behind the Chiefs (but they have only one D/ST score, so their offense is scoring more PPG than KC's).

On the season, the Redskins have averaged 5.8 yards per play. The Denver D held them to 3.8. The Chargers have averaged 6.0 yards per play and were held to 4.8.

The Broncos also have an elite rushing defense, both in terms of yards/game (4th) and yards/rush (2nd at 3.4).

Denver's overall defensive numbers are not great, but if you look a little deeper, the Broncos' D is trending up.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs held to 10 offensive points or less on Sunday, not a bit.
That's way too logical and I agree.
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Old 11-14-2013, 09:50 AM   #109
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Originally Posted by Mile High Mania View Post
That's way too logical and I agree.
Also, on the season, the Chiefs average just 4.8 yards per play offensively (27th in the NFL). If Denver holds to its recent trends of limiting teams to more than 1 yard per play fewer, sledding will be even tougher.
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Old 11-14-2013, 09:53 AM   #110
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I'm going to be realistic. We drop one this week. It won't be a blowout though.

Broncos - 21
Chiefs - 20
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:03 AM   #111
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I've got a bad feeling. 31-16.

Talking about Denver's defense, they're a swinging gate for scoring. 9 rushing TDs allowed, which is bottom 10, and 16 passing, which is bottom half (KC's numbers, in comparison, are 2 and 9).

I just don't think that matters all that much against our career day offense. Odds are we make them look like the Steel Curtain.
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:10 AM   #112
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Quote:
Originally Posted by keg in kc View Post
I've got a bad feeling. 31-16.

Talking about Denver's defense, they're a swinging gate for scoring. 9 rushing TDs allowed, which is bottom 10, and 16 passing, which is bottom half (KC's numbers, in comparison, are 2 and 9).

I just don't think that matters all that much against our career day offense. Odds are we make them look like the Steel Curtain.
Denver is 23rd in red zone defense with teams scoring TDs 60% of the time. So one of our offensive weaknesses is also a weakness of theirs defensively which will hopefully allow us to turn FGs into TDs.
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:11 AM   #113
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Originally Posted by mr. tegu View Post
Denver is 23rd in red zone defense with teams scoring TDs 60% of the time. So one of our offensive weaknesses is also a weakness of theirs defensively which will hopefully allow us to turn FGs into TDs.
Where did you find that? I had the same impression but couldn't locate that stats to back it up.
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:12 AM   #114
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Quote:
Originally Posted by keg in kc View Post
I've got a bad feeling. 31-16.

Talking about Denver's defense, they're a swinging gate for scoring. 9 rushing TDs allowed, which is bottom 10, and 16 passing, which is bottom half (KC's numbers, in comparison, are 2 and 9).

I just don't think that matters all that much against our career day offense. Odds are we make them look like the Steel Curtain.
This is about where I see it too.

Denver is good against the run, they're real weakness is on the outside. I'm not sure our offense even knows that the outside exists.
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:14 AM   #115
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Originally Posted by htismaqe View Post
This is about where I see it too.

Denver is good against the run, they're real weakness is on the outside. I'm not sure our offense even knows that the outside exists.
The offense probably does, but Alex Smith sure doesn't. He didn't in SF and he doesn't here.
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:16 AM   #116
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Originally Posted by keg in kc View Post
Where did you find that? I had the same impression but couldn't locate that stats to back it up.
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat...ne-scoring-pct
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:22 AM   #117
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:22 AM   #118
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Old 11-14-2013, 10:41 AM   #119
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Old 11-14-2013, 11:22 AM   #120
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Quote:
Originally Posted by keg in kc View Post
I've got a bad feeling. 31-16.

Talking about Denver's defense, they're a swinging gate for scoring. 9 rushing TDs allowed, which is bottom 10, and 16 passing, which is bottom half (KC's numbers, in comparison, are 2 and 9).

I just don't think that matters all that much against our career day offense. Odds are we make them look like the Steel Curtain.
That's EXACTLY how I see it - even picked the same score somewhere in this thread.

The Chiefs D is good, but it's gonna be on the field A LOT. They'll be gassed in the 4th quarter. Add the altitude to the mix and there won't be any 4th quarter dominance.

All a Chiefs loss means is that Denver held serve against a Chiefs team that NOBODY expected to be in this position. But WHAT IF the "IMPOSSIBLE" happens and the Chiefs win?... Really not all that much pressure when you think about it.
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