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Old 06-06-2014, 11:21 AM  
Cochise Cochise is offline
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Scientist confesses he made up polar bear population estimates

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/...estimates.html



Scientist confesses he made up polar bear population estimates
Thomas Lifson
May 31, 2014

The greatest scientific fraud in history is slowly but surely unraveling, and the breadth of the corruption revealed is stunning. As any good con man knows, and emotional appeal is necessary, and the warmists found their cuddly-looking icon of endangerment in the polar bear, an animal frequently chosen as stuffed toys for children to hug. Pictures of polar bears on ice floes, presumably doomed to death by drowning as the Arctic ice disappeared, were used to tug on the heartstrings of adults and children alike, in order to scare them into willingly handing over power over their economic destiny to global mandarins who would reduce their standard of living.

But it was necessary to come up with “scientific” estimates of polar bear populations that showed them in danger. With all the billions of dollars available for global warming-related research, and the level of peer pressure that money generates, it wasn’t that difficult.


Polar bear populations became the centerpiece of the effort to fight global warming due to claims that melting polar ice caps would cause the bears to become endangered in the near future. Years ago some scientists predicted the Arctic would be virtually ice free by now.

Polar bears became the first species listed under the Endangered Species Act because they could potentially be harmed by global warming. But some recent studies have found that some polar bear subpopulations have actually flourished in recent years.


As with the hockey stick graph and many other elements of the concocted story, honest scientists working in the finest tradition of skeptical scientific inquiry, started to unravel fuzzy numbers and lies. One such hero is polar bear scientist Dr. Susan Crockford, who publishes the website Polar Bear Science. In it she documents how a scientist responsible for an alarmist lowball estimate of polar bear population is backing away from numbers that she has been questioning:

Quote:
Last week (May 22), I received an unsolicited email from Dr. Dag Vongraven, the current chairman of the IUCN [International Union for the Conservation of Nature – TL] Polar Bear Specialist Group (PBSG).

The email from Vongraven began this way:

“Dr. Crockford

Below you’ll find a footnote that will accompany a total polar bear population size range in the circumpolar polar bear action plan that we are currently drafting together with the Parties to the 1973 Agreement. This might keep you blogging for a day or two.”

It appears the PBSG have come to the realization that public outrage (or just confusion) is brewing over their global population estimates and some damage control is perhaps called for. Their solution — bury a statement of clarification within their next official missive (which I have commented upon here).

Instead of issuing a press release to clarify matters to the public immediately, Vongraven decided he would let me take care of informing the public that this global estimate may not be what it seems.
Wow! Burying the news in a footnote and letting a critic know instead of issuing a press release. That is certainly a signal. Here’s the news:

Here is the statement that the PBSG proposes to insert as a footnote in their forthcoming Circumpolar Polar Bear Action Plan draft:

Quote:
“As part of past status reports, the PBSG has traditionally estimated a range for the total number of polar bears in the circumpolar Arctic. Since 2005, this range has been 20-25,000. It is important to realize that this range never has been an estimate of total abundance in a scientific sense, but simply a qualified guess given to satisfy public demand. It is also important to note that even though we have scientifically valid estimates for a majority of the subpopulations, some are dated. Furthermore, there are no abundance estimates for the Arctic Basin, East Greenland, and the Russian subpopulations.Consequently, there is either no, or only rudimentary, knowledge to support guesses about the possible abundance of polar bears in approximately half the areas they occupy. Thus, the range given for total global population should be viewed with great caution as it cannot be used to assess population trend over the long term.”
“A guess to satisfy public demand” but wrapped in the prestige of settled science.
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Old 06-07-2014, 06:06 PM   #76
GloryDayz GloryDayz is online now
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LOL, Global warming is fake! It may be a big fake, but it's fake nonetheless...

And I HATE THE HEAT, so if it were true, I'd be more worried than most. I hope and pray we see a day when the hottest day is NEVER over 70 degrees, but I also know that dream won't ever happen, but NOT because of this made-up global warming crap.
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Old 06-08-2014, 08:31 AM   #77
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Why would you think changes occurring over a period of decades have the same causes as changes happening over a periods of tens of thousands of years?
I need a larger sample size.
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Old 06-08-2014, 08:42 AM   #78
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Originally Posted by digger View Post
Chiefs Planet is the "conservative media bubble"?
Yes
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Old 06-08-2014, 08:44 AM   #79
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
Why would you think changes occurring over a period of decades have the same causes as changes happening over a periods of tens of thousands of years?
Because it feels better than acknowledging you're probably leaving a ****ed planet for your grandkids and not even trying to do anything about it.

Magical thinking ftw.
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Old 06-08-2014, 09:00 AM   #80
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Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99 View Post
Because it feels better than acknowledging you're probably leaving a ****ed planet for your grandkids and not even trying to do anything about it.

Magical thinking ftw.
Does your vehicle expel greenhouse gasses?
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Old 06-08-2014, 11:14 AM   #81
GloryDayz GloryDayz is online now
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Global warming is a fake....
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Old 06-08-2014, 12:20 PM   #82
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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If repetition is your only argument, you might as well not say anything.
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Old 06-08-2014, 12:31 PM   #83
GloryDayz GloryDayz is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
If repetition is your only argument, you might as well not say anything.
Well, "repetition" of worn-out, made-up, bullshit numbers (wrapped in a wrapper they want to call science) are all that's holding together the "global warming" hacks of the planet...

Get mad man, get really, REALLY mad....
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Old 06-08-2014, 01:31 PM   #84
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Quote:
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Does your vehicle expel greenhouse gasses?
I don't understand your logic. Do you think that if you admit that there is a problem that you immediately have to give up every activity that contributes to it?

If you over spend your budget do you immediately declare yourself homeless and stop eating forever? Does denying that there is a limit to your financial resources and continuing to spend money like a rock star seem like a better solution? Would you be incapable of considering some solutions between these extremes?
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Old 06-08-2014, 01:33 PM   #85
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GloryDayz View Post
Global warming is a fake....
There is a Nobel prize waiting for anyone who can demonstrate that with scientific evidence. Wonder why no one has claimed it?
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Old 06-08-2014, 02:44 PM   #86
GloryDayz GloryDayz is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
There is a Nobel prize waiting for anyone who can demonstrate that with scientific evidence. Wonder why no one has claimed it?


Like that group of hacks would ever listen to the truth! They are the king-clowns of the group making a living off the paranoia they're creating with all their bullshit...
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Old 06-08-2014, 03:05 PM   #87
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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Because you know better than all the worlds' Nobel Laureates do?
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Old 06-08-2014, 03:10 PM   #88
GloryDayz GloryDayz is online now
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Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
Because you know better than all the worlds' Nobel Laureates do?
Yes, I know it's a rigged system to promote the profitability of science. Any scientists can be as big a whore as a New York street walker. Having the likes of Al Gore (Mr. Huge Carbon Footprint himself!!!) teamed-up with you, and getting rich in all the hype they're creating, is all the smoke people with common sense need in order to to know there's fire.

C'mon, you know it's fake....

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Old 06-08-2014, 03:20 PM   #89
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I don't know if humans cause global warming or not, but I know that money is one hell of a persuader in any field.


I do know that we should take common-sense steps towards being as clean as possible.
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Old 06-08-2014, 03:30 PM   #90
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