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Old 09-15-2004, 11:55 AM  
Donger Donger is offline
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New York In Play?

NEW YORK Two new polls suggest there was a post-convention bounce for President Bush even in heavily Democratic New York.The Quinnipiac (KWIN'-uh-pee-ak) University Polling Institute shows Democrat John Kerry leading Bush, 47 percent to 41 percent in New York. But those numbers have narrowed from a pre-Republican National Convention poll. The earlier survey had Kerry leading Bush, 53 percent to 35 percent. In each poll, Ralph Nader had four percent.The new poll also finds Bush's approval rating rising to 43 percent in New York, up from 37 percent in the August poll.A second statewide poll -- from Marist College -- has Kerry leading Bush, 48 percent to 40 percent, in New York. In April, a Marist poll had Kerry with 54 percent, and Bush at 37 percent.

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Old 09-15-2004, 12:35 PM   #2
Warrior5 Warrior5 is offline
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OK...

I was skewered (probably rightfully so) on an earlier post for doubting that Oregon was even in play.

But NY?
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Old 09-15-2004, 12:38 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warrior5
I was skewered (probably rightfully so) on an earlier post for doubting that Oregon was even in play.

But NY?
Oh, I readily admit that's a VERY long shot, but I'm curious as to whether or not the spread now makes NY a "battleground" state.

Where's RL when you need him?
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Old 09-15-2004, 12:40 PM   #4
Michael Michigan Michael Michigan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warrior5
I was skewered (probably rightfully so) on an earlier post for doubting that Oregon was even in play.

But NY?
The only thing that could put Oregon in play is the gay marriage state amendment that is on the ballot.

I believe it's on tha ballot for Nov. 2nd.

If pollsters aren't oversampling Evangelicals in that state, they may miss pretty big on election day.
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Old 09-15-2004, 12:42 PM   #5
Michael Michigan Michael Michigan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger
Oh, I readily admit that's a VERY long shot, but I'm curious as to whether or not the spread now makes NY a "battleground" state.

Where's RL when you need him?
If Bush wins NY--there are no battleground states.
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Old 09-15-2004, 12:44 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Michigan
If Bush wins NY--there are no battleground states.
True, although I'm not holding my breath. I remember reading that NY has something like two million more registered Democrats than Republicans.
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