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Old 03-20-2025, 07:27 AM   Topic Starter
HemiEd HemiEd is offline
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Driverless trucks

The driverless cars thread is getting pretty large and this information about driverless trucks is very interesting to me.
I know Walmart, from having two retired Walmart driver neighbors, is very interested in this.

"Driverless Trucking Startup Einride May be Planning a $5 Billion US IPO
Truck stops may get really quiet: Autonomous freight company Einride is considering a US listing this year that the Financial Times reports might value the Swedish startup at more than $5 billion.

Einride was the first company to put a self-driving big rig on a public road in 2019. The Swedish company’s biggest market is the US, where it kicked off a partnership with PepsiCo last fall to ship Frito-Lay snacks. Einride’s A-list client roster also includes GE Appliances, Maersk, and Heineken. The company handles routes around the world and is expected to deploy 200 trucks on UAE roads this week.

While robotrucks don’t get as much hype as robotaxis, McKinsey predicts driverless freight may rev up $600 billion in revenue by 2035 as the global shipping industry looks to go green and get a much-needed new labor force.

AI Takes the Wheel
The driverless freight biz leverages AI to learn routes and handle obstacles. A slew of startups is looking to get the edge on the most advanced AI, including driverless truck companies Gatik and Torc, which announced team-ups with Nvidia this week.

The big-rig biz may be less concerned about AI stealing human jobs than other industries. That’s because trucking’s in the midst of a major labor shortage:

The US needs 80,000 more drivers ASAP, according to the American Trucking Association, and that figure is expected to double in five years.
Europe currently needs 200,000 more truckers, McKinsey estimates, and that number will rise to 745,000 in three years.
Driverless trucks could also handle demanding 24/7 conditions and roads that are hazardous to humans. Volvo has sent driverless trucks to mines and quarries, where they have, for instance, carried limestone through dark and narrow tunnels nearly 500 feet underground.

Speed Bumps: AI won’t meet trucking’s labor demand overnight: Driverless trucks can still only operate on designated pre-mapped routes, usually from one hub to another. The industry has to wait for regulators to give their trucks the green light (Europe mostly approves routes on a case-by-case basis, while the US has a patchwork of state-level laws) — not to mention for customers to be less spooked by the sight of an empty big rig barreling toward them.

Written by Jamie Wilde"
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Old 03-20-2025, 07:41 AM   #2
scho63 scho63 is offline
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I am involved in this industry peripherally but all our clients/prospects are looking at this in some capacity.

One of my deal partners is all in on this tech with companies ike Kodiak, Gatik and Aurora after spending 32 years at one of the worlds largest trucking companies as an IT Director.

Lots of interesting tech including driverless yard jockeys to move trailers around, and automatic hookup devices to hook trailer to tractor without driver getting out of cab. Saw this technology while working trade show.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:04 AM   #3
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Maybe the computer will have minimum sense to not drive in 80mph wind.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:05 AM   #4
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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Maybe the computer will have minimum sense to not drive in 80mph wind.
Yeah, it probably will. It will probably stop in the middle of the road and flash "minimum safety standards not met" and not be able to move, blocking the highway.
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Old 03-20-2025, 09:57 AM   #5
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Yeah, it probably will. It will probably stop in the middle of the road and flash "minimum safety standards not met" and not be able to move, blocking the highway.
You have always been a “Glass is half-full of liquid excrement” kind of guy.
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Old 03-20-2025, 10:33 AM   #6
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You have always been a “Glass is half-full of liquid excrement” kind of guy.
We used to have a saying in the Navy, Murphy's law or something like that. "If it can go wrong, it will. "

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Old 03-20-2025, 11:40 AM   #7
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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You have always been a “Glass is half-full of liquid excrement” kind of guy.
I’ve operated machinery with sensitive electronics and sensors. It’s 3/4 full.
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Old 03-20-2025, 11:01 AM   #8
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Maybe the computer will have minimum sense to not drive in 80mph wind.
They can obviously be programmed however. But if your fleet is driverless, it will have to deal with all sorts of conditions.

I-10 is straight forward. I -80 in Wyo in winter is going to be harder.

But I hope they can roll out trucks that are safer and cheaper than what we have now.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:04 AM   #9
Buehler445 Buehler445 is offline
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To me it still comes down to liability. If there is no driver, collision avoidance falls to the manufacturer and ain't nobody got the stones to eat that.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:27 AM   #10
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To me it still comes down to liability. If there is no driver, collision avoidance falls to the manufacturer and ain't nobody got the stones to eat that.
Eh, saving $75k per year on every driver's salary would let you buy a hell of an insurance policy. That seems like a problem that's far easier to solve than the self-driving tech itself.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:34 AM   #11
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Eh, saving $75k per year on every driver's salary would let you buy a hell of an insurance policy. That seems like a problem that's far easier to solve than the self-driving tech itself.
Not to mention the efficiency gains from the trucks not having to stop every so many hours to allow the drivers to sleep.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:45 AM   #12
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Not to mention the efficiency gains from the trucks not having to stop every so many hours to allow the drivers to sleep.
Yep, drivers have to log their hours and the can only drive so many during the course of the week. I’ve had many a freight company cancel on me because their drivers had too many logged hours for the week.
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Old 03-20-2025, 08:39 AM   #13
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Eh, saving $75k per year on every driver's salary would let you buy a hell of an insurance policy. That seems like a problem that's far easier to solve than the self-driving tech itself.
Right. And somebody is already paying insurance for drivers that will crash far, far more than robot trucks will.
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Old 03-20-2025, 09:27 AM   #14
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Eh, saving $75k per year on every driver's salary would let you buy a hell of an insurance policy. That seems like a problem that's far easier to solve than the self-driving tech itself.
I don't think it is.

Currently the manufacturers employ not one driver. Not a single one. And the insurance guys are telling me more and more that all these scum sucking ambulance chasers are starting negotiations for injury settlements at the balance sheet.

Now, Manufacturers have good lawyers, but going from 0 to unlimited downside liability is material.
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Old 03-20-2025, 12:12 PM   #15
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I don't think it is.

Currently the manufacturers employ not one driver. Not a single one. And the insurance guys are telling me more and more that all these scum sucking ambulance chasers are starting negotiations for injury settlements at the balance sheet.

Now, Manufacturers have good lawyers, but going from 0 to unlimited downside liability is material.
Sure. I'm just saying that insurance coverage isn't exactly rocket science. You calculate the risk and build it into costs.
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