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View Full Version : Oil Prices Slip to Two-Month Lows


Donger
10-06-2005, 09:35 AM
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051006/ap_on_bi_ge/oil_prices;_ylt=AtJiYqvKbxqD6S82XVrhPeus0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTA3bGI2aDNqBHNlYwM3NDk-

VIENNA, Austria - Crude futures sagged to two-month lows Thursday amid signs that U.S. demand for gasoline may be waning because of high prices at fuel pumps.

Gasoline and heating oil prices fell as well. But analysts suggested that the coming Western hemisphere winter could push prices upward again, with demand for heating oil outstripping supply because of refinery shortfalls and tight imports.

Light, sweet crude for November delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $1.17 to $61.62 a barrel in electronic trading by afternoon in Europe. The contract slid $1.11 on Wednesday to settle at the lowest level since Aug. 5.

November Brent futures at London's International Petroleum Exchange fell $1.07 to $59.05 a barrel.

Heating oil fell nearly 4 cents to $1.9675 a gallon while gasoline dipped more than 6 cents to $1.8469. Natural gas fell more than 27 cents to $13.908 per 1,000 cubic feet.

The U.S. Energy Department said Wednesday that fuel consumption in the past month fell by nearly 3 percent compared with last year. Experts said demand was falling due to high pump prices and an economic slowdown in parts of the United States affected by hurricanes Quatrain and Rita, such as the Gulf Coast states.

"The September numbers confirm the trend that historically high oil prices are now affecting oil consumption," Energyintel analyst John van Schaik said in a research note.

The sell-off came as traders largely ignored weekly data from the U.S. that showed widely expected declines in petroleum inventories.

U.S. crude inventories fell, but by just 300,000 barrels to 305.4 million barrels — still a comfortable 11.5 percent higher than a year ago. U.S. commercial distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, plunged 5.6 million barrels to 128 million barrels last week.

The decline in gasoline stocks of 4.3 million barrels to 195.5 million barrels could also have been greater, if not for an on-week jump in imports of nearly 18 percent.

"However, there does not seem to be a long tail on the import surge, and we expect to see the level fall back in coming weeks," investment bank Barclays Capital said in a note.

Vienna's PVM Oil Associates also warned of possible tightness ahead.

"The loss will not be completely covered by imports, as demand for heating oil in Europe — where most of the ... (imports) came from — will rise in winter, especially when forecast lower-than-normal temperatures actually arrive," PVM said.

Oil is now 10 percent below the Sept. 1 record close of $69.47, while natural gas futures are roughly double year-ago prices.

Meanwhile, reports of refinery recoveries continued to trickle in, with Chevron Corp. saying Wednesday it has resumed some production at two large offshore platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. The two platforms were shut ahead of Hurricane Rita last month.

Donger
10-06-2005, 09:36 AM
The U.S. Energy Department said Wednesday that fuel consumption in the past month fell by nearly 3 percent compared with last year.

That's stunning. 3%?

Bowser
10-06-2005, 09:38 AM
Hurricane Quatrain?

Goapics1
10-06-2005, 09:39 AM
That's stunning. 3%?
What does this mean for my wallet, Donger? Please explain.

Saulbadguy
10-06-2005, 09:39 AM
We'll be back under $2.00 in no time.

Bowser
10-06-2005, 09:40 AM
We'll be back under $2.00 in no time.

I'll believe THAT when I see it...

ZepSinger
10-06-2005, 09:40 AM
This certainly hasn't lowered the price at the pump from what I've seen...

Saulbadguy
10-06-2005, 09:41 AM
I'll believe THAT when I see it...
Within a year, I bet.

Saulbadguy
10-06-2005, 09:41 AM
This certainly hasn't lowered the price at the pump from what I've seen...
$2.59 last night. Last week it was around $2.89.

ZepSinger
10-06-2005, 09:41 AM
Within a year, I bet.

Man, I hope you're right...

Goapics1
10-06-2005, 09:42 AM
This certainly hasn't lowered the price at the pump from what I've seen...
No shit. I'll be glad when/if I can put $10 in and get more than a ****ing 1/4 tank.

ZepSinger
10-06-2005, 09:43 AM
No shit. I'll be glad when/if I can put $10 in and get more than a ****ing 1/4 tank.

I remember filling up my Nissan pickup for less than $15. Now it cost close to $40.
:banghead:

Donger
10-06-2005, 09:54 AM
Hurricane Quatrain?

Heh. Yeah I saw that too. Looks like someone's got Nostradamus on the brain.

Eleazar
10-06-2005, 09:55 AM
If you ask me, it's starting to look like the opportunists along the supply chain are hoping we get used to $2.50

Donger
10-06-2005, 09:56 AM
What does this mean for my wallet, Donger? Please explain.

Well, it looks like folks are really cutting back on their driving, beyond the normal drop after Labor Day. So, demand is dropping significantly. That's going to lower the price of gasoline. I'd imagine that the national retail average will be around $2.15 by the end of the year. Barring another strom, of course, or other nasty event.

Natural gas prices, however, are going to really freak people out this winter. Heating oil, too.

KC Dan
10-06-2005, 10:03 AM
Gas here in Vancouver has been $2.69 for over three weeks straight. No decreases here at all. Imagine that...:banghead:

StcChief
10-06-2005, 10:06 AM
It'll inch down. .10-.20 gal. never see below $2.

History on gas is never go back to where it was.

ZepSinger
10-06-2005, 10:08 AM
Natural gas prices, however, are going to really freak people out this winter. Heating oil, too.

By Halloween, I'll have a cord of firewood ready to burn. It saved a TON on last years' gas bill...

Z

Donger
10-06-2005, 10:12 AM
By Halloween, I'll have a cord of firewood ready to burn. It saved a TON on last years' gas bill...

Z

Tree killer!

That's not an option for me, unfortunately. I'm just going to be really aggressive on my thermostat settings (as much as the wife will let me) and go over making the house as energy-efficient as possible again.

Lower your demand, folks.

Saulbadguy
10-10-2005, 07:30 PM
$2.59 last night. Last week it was around $2.89.
$2.29 today in Topeka. Prices are falling, and falling fast.

Skip Towne
10-10-2005, 07:37 PM
$2.29 today in Topeka. Prices are falling, and falling fast.
I really need this. I spent $140 on gas last week. It's killing our industry.

jiveturkey
10-10-2005, 07:46 PM
Tree killer!

That's not an option for me, unfortunately. I'm just going to be really aggressive on my thermostat settings (as much as the wife will let me) and go over making the house as energy-efficient as possible again.

Lower your demand, folks.Do you have any home efficiency tips?

Donger
10-10-2005, 08:37 PM
Do you have any home efficiency tips?

This is a pretty good synopsis.

http://www.lowes.com/lowes/lkn?action=howTo&p=Improve/HomeEnergyEfficient.html

Halfcan
10-10-2005, 09:40 PM
Poor oil companies-I hope they turn it around.

Pitt Gorilla
10-10-2005, 09:58 PM
Well, it looks like folks are really cutting back on their driving, beyond the normal drop after Labor Day. So, demand is dropping significantly. That's going to lower the price of gasoline. I'd imagine that the national retail average will be around $2.15 by the end of the year. Barring another strom, of course, or other nasty event.

Natural gas prices, however, are going to really freak people out this winter. Heating oil, too.I recall someone on here claiming that US consumption wouldn't drop.

Skip Towne
10-10-2005, 10:10 PM
I just heard on Tulsa radio awhile ago that gas is below $2 per gallon in this area. WOO HOO

Donger
10-10-2005, 10:27 PM
I recall someone on here claiming that US consumption wouldn't drop.

Who?