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View Full Version : Odds of winning Super Bowl XLI


Nzoner
01-02-2007, 07:00 PM
According to Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.com/sportsbook/livelines.php)

Indianapolis Colts 8-1

New England Patriots 9-1

San Diego Chargers 5-2

Seattle Seahawks 20-1

Kansas City Chiefs 50-1

Dallas Cowboys 25-1

New York Giants 40-1

Chicago Bears 9-2

Philadelphia Eagles 12-1

Baltimore Ravens 4-1

New York Jets 50-1

New Orleans Saints 6-1

Rain Man
01-02-2007, 07:01 PM
Someone's going to make some serious money when Trent Green wins his Cadillac.

Frazod
01-02-2007, 07:03 PM
No way in hell should the Bears be 9-2. With Cade McGrossman at QB, they couldn't beat the Gayhawks.

Buck
01-02-2007, 07:15 PM
Heres my odds, not that anyone cares.

Indianapolis Colts 20-1

New England Patriots 10-1

San Diego Chargers 3-1

Seattle Seahawks 50-1

Kansas City Chiefs 50-1

Dallas Cowboys 100-1

New York Giants 10,000,000-1

Chicago Bears 40-1

Philadelphia Eagles 20-1

Baltimore Ravens 4-1

New York Jets 50-1

New Orleans Saints 50-1

Rain Man
01-02-2007, 07:18 PM
You seem like a nice guy, buckinkaeding. After Marty goes into hermit crab mode in the playoffs and loses 7-3, please call someone before you attempt to kill yourself.

KurtCobain
01-02-2007, 07:21 PM
nfc will belong to the saints.

kc-nd
01-02-2007, 07:25 PM
How does our 50-1 odds compare to the odds of getting in the playoffs prior to week 17?

Probably better.

Halfcan
01-02-2007, 07:26 PM
I think the Pats should have the best odds-you just can't count those guys out.

supercoupe91
01-02-2007, 07:26 PM
Chiefs aren't 50-1, what betting site are you using?

At Bodog, we are 35-1, and 3 teams have worse odds than us, including the Jets, Giants and Cowboys.

Buck
01-02-2007, 07:31 PM
You seem like a nice guy, buckinkaeding. After Marty goes into hermit crab mode in the playoffs and loses 7-3, please call someone before you attempt to kill yourself.

Thanks. I live Chargers football, and it would really hurt, but being a San Diego (Chargers, Padres) sports fan I am very used to losing. It used to hurt really bad, but as I grow older (I am only 20 about to be 21) I have realized that sports shouldn't have such a negative impact on my life when we lose. This has been the first season that when we lost I'm just like oh well, lets get 'em next week (luckily we've only lost twice this year).

So no, I won't kill myself, I'll be pissed.

Word on the street is that if we don't go "Deep" (whatever that means) into the playoffs then Marty is gonna be fired. So if we do lose, I will just take solace on that and hope that we hire our Offensive Coordinator, Cam Cameron, before he gets snagged away from another team.

Well I'm rambling now, so I'll stop.

Rain Man
01-02-2007, 07:36 PM
When the Chiefs lost to the Colts back in '95, I snapped and killed a man.

Buck
01-02-2007, 07:43 PM
When the Chiefs lost to the Colts back in '95, I snapped and killed a man.

Tell me about it, they beat us the week before they beat you and we should have clearly beat them. That was very lame.

Ebolapox
01-02-2007, 07:43 PM
Thanks. I live Chargers football, and it would really hurt, but being a San Diego (Chargers, Padres) sports fan I am very used to losing. It used to hurt really bad, but as I grow older (I am only 20 about to be 21) I have realized that sports shouldn't have such a negative impact on my life when we lose. This has been the first season that when we lost I'm just like oh well, lets get 'em next week (luckily we've only lost twice this year).

So no, I won't kill myself, I'll be pissed.

Word on the street is that if we don't go "Deep" (whatever that means) into the playoffs then Marty is gonna be fired. So if we do lose, I will just take solace on that and hope that we hire our Offensive Coordinator, Cam Cameron, before he gets snagged away from another team.

Well I'm rambling now, so I'll stop.

you know JACK about losing... sure, you guys have had losing seasons... but you haven't f*cked up homefield advantage three times, not won a playoff game since 1993, and have been to a super bowl since 1970

so shut the f*ck up about 'knowing about losing'

Buck
01-02-2007, 07:45 PM
you know JACK about losing... sure, you guys have had losing seasons... but you haven't f*cked up homefield advantage three times, not won a playoff game since 1993, and have been to a super bowl since 1970

so shut the f*ck up about 'knowing about losing'

Hey buddy, suck my cock. Are you telling me that you would rather have a losing season every year than make it to the playoffs and lose?

Eleazar
01-02-2007, 07:48 PM
No way in hell should the Bears be 9-2. With Cade McGrossman at QB, they couldn't beat the Gayhawks.

Come on now, the Bears' wives would be 2-1 favorites against the Gheyhawks.

Ebolapox
01-02-2007, 07:48 PM
Hey buddy, suck my cock. Are you telling me that you would rather have a losing season every year than make it to the playoffs and lose?

so losing sucks badly... yeah, it sure does

without losing, you have no ladanian tomlinson, shawne merriman, or phillip rivers

so you're telling me you'd rather never rebuild like the chiefs?? at least your mediocrity netted you something--ours just sh*ts right on us

chief52
01-02-2007, 07:49 PM
Chiefs aren't 50-1, what betting site are you using?

At Bodog, we are 35-1, and 3 teams have worse odds than us, including the Jets, Giants and Cowboys.

super...you probably should stay away from football predicting/wagering. Probably be in your best interest, unless of course you would like to let me book your wagers!

DaFace
01-02-2007, 07:51 PM
When the Chiefs lost to the Colts back in '95, I snapped and killed a man.

Should I lay low for a couple days if we lose this weekend?

Dartgod
01-02-2007, 07:52 PM
Heres my odds, not that anyone cares.

Indianapolis Colts 20-1

New England Patriots 10-1

San Diego Chargers 3-1

Seattle Seahawks 50-1

Kansas City Chiefs 50-1

Dallas Cowboys 100-1

New York Giants 10,000,000-1

Chicago Bears 40-1

Philadelphia Eagles 20-1

Baltimore Ravens 4-1

New York Jets 50-1

New Orleans Saints 50-1I'd like to put $1 on the Giants please.

Buck
01-02-2007, 07:53 PM
so losing sucks badly... yeah, it sure does

without losing, you have no ladanian tomlinson, shawne merriman, or phillip rivers

so you're telling me you'd rather never rebuild like the chiefs?? at least your mediocrity netted you something--ours just sh*ts right on us

I just dont want you, the guy who roots for teams who have won a Super Bowl, and presumably a World Series (if you're a Royals fan) to tell me that I, the guy who roots for the teams who have only made one Super Bowl and World Series each, to tell me that I know nothing about losing.

Obviously I'm happy that we have these good players, but if you would have asked me back before the beginning of the each season, I would have rather made the playoffs. Our weakness now is our secondary, are you telling me I should root to lose so we can get the best DB out of college? Also, we are not only good because of draft picks. Our Free Agent signings definitely have something to do with it.

So yeah, don't tell me I know nothing about losing. Every team I've played on has also lost in the Championship games, so I know what I'm talking about.

WilliamTheIrish
01-02-2007, 07:54 PM
I laid my bet at the Mirage in vegas in Feb. $100 on 22-1 odds.

Until this thread, I'd long forgotten that little piece of paper.

Gonzo
01-02-2007, 07:58 PM
Hey buddy, suck my cock. Are you telling me that you would rather have a losing season every year than make it to the playoffs and lose?


ROFL DAAAAAMN! That was fuggin funny.

Just the way you phrased that made me laugh.

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 07:58 PM
How does our 50-1 odds compare to the odds of getting in the playoffs prior to week 17?

Probably better.

I had heard 76-1

Simplex3
01-02-2007, 07:59 PM
Heres my odds, not that anyone cares.

...

New York Giants 10,000,000-1

...
I'd like to put $10 on the Giants, please.

Ebolapox
01-02-2007, 07:59 PM
I just dont want you, the guy who roots for teams who have won a Super Bowl, and presumably a World Series (if you're a Royals fan) to tell me that I, the guy who roots for the teams who have only made one Super Bowl and World Series each, to tell me that I know nothing about losing.

Obviously I'm happy that we have these good players, but if you would have asked me back before the beginning of the each season, I would have rather made the playoffs. Our weakness now is our secondary, are you telling me I should root to lose so we can get the best DB out of college? Also, we are not only good because of draft picks. Our Free Agent signings definitely have something to do with it.

So yeah, don't tell me I know nothing about losing. Every team I've played on has also lost in the Championship games, so I know what I'm talking about.

I was two when the royals won... I wasn't BORN when the chiefs won (hell, my f*cking DAD was twelve years old when they won--my age is almost double my dad's age when the chiefs won the super bowl)

so, seriously, we're expecting delivery of merriman and tomlinson (we don't want rivers) within two days--we'll trade you all of the useless victories since I've been a chiefs fan (since 1989--so that's 18 years of failure)

losing sucks, no doubt... but what you're failing to grasp is that, while you were losing, you built your team into a virtual juggernaut by doing so... we've not rebuilt ONCE in eighteen years... we're always just on the verge of the playoffs, and nothing EVER gets done

sh*t, the colts have NO chance against our new merriman led defense!!11!!oneone!!1on!

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 08:01 PM
super...you probably should stay away from football predicting/wagering. Probably be in your best interest, unless of course you would like to let me book your wagers!

:thumb:

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 08:04 PM
I laid my bet at the Mirage in vegas in Feb. $100 on 22-1 odds.

Until this thread, I'd long forgotten that little piece of paper.

Well please "don't forget" who reminded you if it hits. :D

Buck
01-02-2007, 08:08 PM
I was two when the royals won... I wasn't BORN when the chiefs won (hell, my f*cking DAD was twelve years old when they won--my age is almost double my dad's age when the chiefs won the super bowl)

so, seriously, we're expecting delivery of merriman and tomlinson (we don't want rivers) within two days--we'll trade you all of the useless victories since I've been a chiefs fan (since 1989--so that's 18 years of failure)

losing sucks, no doubt... but what you're failing to grasp is that, while you were losing, you built your team into a virtual juggernaut by doing so... we've not rebuilt ONCE in eighteen years... we're always just on the verge of the playoffs, and nothing EVER gets done

sh*t, the colts have NO chance against our new merriman led defense!!11!!oneone!!1on!

Hmm, not really sure what you mean by that last line. But I will agree to disagree. In my opinion, give me a shot at the playoffs every year (or even every other year) and I would expect my team to win.

Specifically with your team they've been so talented the last 8 or so more years I'm surprised they haven't done better than they have.

Ebolapox
01-02-2007, 08:13 PM
Hmm, not really sure what you mean by that last line. But I will agree to disagree. In my opinion, give me a shot at the playoffs every year (or even every other year) and I would expect my team to win.

Specifically with your team they've been so talented the last 8 or so more years I'm surprised they haven't done better than they have.

it's a bit of my being a smartass--I mean, you complain so much about losing that you don't deserve merriman and tomlinson :)

yeah, we've had some good teams--what good has it done?? none

we're f*cking cursed

Simplex3
01-02-2007, 08:15 PM
Hmm, not really sure what you mean by that last line. But I will agree to disagree. In my opinion, give me a shot at the playoffs every year (or even every other year) and I would expect my team to win.

Specifically with your team they've been so talented the last 8 or so more years I'm surprised they haven't done better than they have.
*IF* Marty has finally learned his lesson, as he appears to have, the Chargers are going to be dangerous in the playoffs. As long as Marty isn't calling any plays on gameday he is one hell of a good coach. Maybe one of the best ever at getting players to play up to and above their potential. He just can't call an offensive game plan to save his ass on game day. As long as he continues to let his coordinators call the plays, look out.

LTforMVP
01-02-2007, 08:16 PM
I was two when the royals won... I wasn't BORN when the chiefs won (hell, my f*cking DAD was twelve years old when they won--my age is almost double my dad's age when the chiefs won the super bowl)

so, seriously, we're expecting delivery of merriman and tomlinson (we don't want rivers) within two days--we'll trade you all of the useless victories since I've been a chiefs fan (since 1989--so that's 18 years of failure)

losing sucks, no doubt... but what you're failing to grasp is that, while you were losing, you built your team into a virtual juggernaut by doing so... we've not rebuilt ONCE in eighteen years... we're always just on the verge of the playoffs, and nothing EVER gets done

sh*t, the colts have NO chance against our new merriman led defense!!11!!oneone!!1on!

Ya man the lions and browns have really stockpiled talent with those high draft picks

A lot of teams have built championship caliber teams without top ten picks

Buck
01-02-2007, 08:16 PM
*IF* Marty has finally learned his lesson, as he appears to have, the Chargers are going to be dangerous in the playoffs. As long as Marty isn't calling any plays on gameday he is one hell of a good coach. Maybe one of the best ever at getting players to play up to and above their potential. He just can't call an offensive game plan to save his ass on game day. As long as he continues to let his coordinators call the plays, look out.

He no longer calls the plays, but I bet if it comes down to crunchtime he is going to want to start calling the plays again.

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 08:16 PM
In my opinion, give me a shot at the playoffs every year (or even every other year) and I would expect my team to win.



Yep,you're definitely young,believe me enough shattered expectations and you'll grow old and cynical like the rest of us.

Buck
01-02-2007, 08:17 PM
Ya man the lions and browns have really stockpiled talent with those high draft picks

A lot of teams have built championship caliber teams without top ten picks

You do have a very good point.

Bugeater
01-02-2007, 08:18 PM
Chiefs aren't 50-1, what betting site are you using?

At Bodog, we are 35-1, and 3 teams have worse odds than us, including the Jets, Giants and Cowboys.
Is that the site that told you OU was going to win by 55?

Frazod
01-02-2007, 08:19 PM
Here are my odds:

San Diego 2-1
Baltimore 4-1
New England 8-1
Kansas City 20-1
New York Jets 20-1
Indianapolis 25-1
New Orleans 30-1
Philadelphia 35-1
Seattle 40-1
Chicago 50-1 [Starting Greasy will bring this down to 35-1]
Dallas 75-1
New York Giants 100-1 [at least]

There isn't an NFC team I'd pick above any AFC playoff team, with the possible exception of defenseless Indianapolis. All the NFC is playing for is the right to get slaughtered in the Super Bowl.

Ebolapox
01-02-2007, 08:20 PM
Ya man the lions and browns have really stockpiled talent with those high draft picks

A lot of teams have built championship caliber teams without top ten picks

http://www.dictionary.com

'yeah'=ya?

there should be a comma after 'man.'

lions and browns should both be capitalized

period after 'picks'

one of these '-' between championship and caliber

a period after 'picks' once more

there you go, you can now intelligently post on this board without merely spewing LT stats as you have in the past.

(heh--just kidding)

anyway, yeah... teams CAN be built through the draft without having top ten picks

however, having them puts teams at a great advantage (consider the chargers for a moment for me)

teams that draft horribly and/or don't pick in the top ten simply don't rebuild at all

see also: kansas city chiefs

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 08:24 PM
Here are my odds:

San Diego 2-1
Baltimore 4-1
New England 8-1
Kansas City 20-1
New York Jets 20-1
Indianapolis 25-1
New Orleans 30-1
Philadelphia 35-1
Seattle 40-1
Chicago 50-1 [Starting Greasy will bring this down to 35-1]
Dallas 75-1
New York Giants 100-1 [at least]



You won't be offended if I opt to lay my money with Sportsbook over Frazods will you? :D

Frazod
01-02-2007, 08:26 PM
You won't be offended if I opt to lay my money with Sportsbook over Frazods will you? :D
If you do so, I guarantee the odds of you getting paid if you win will increase exponentially. ROFL

alanm
01-02-2007, 08:31 PM
*IF* Marty has finally learned his lesson, as he appears to have, the Chargers are going to be dangerous in the playoffs. As long as Marty isn't calling any plays on gameday he is one hell of a good coach. Maybe one of the best ever at getting players to play up to and above their potential. He just can't call an offensive game plan to save his ass on game day. As long as he continues to let his coordinators call the plays, look out.
The problem with Marty is he lets his coordinators call the shots during the season that over rules them during the playoffs. :)

Nzoner
01-02-2007, 08:39 PM
If you do so, I guarantee the odds of you getting paid if you win will increase exponentially. ROFL

I think you're related to a bookie I once knew

Frazod
01-02-2007, 08:47 PM
I think you're related to a bookie I once knew

I'm probably a bit more honest about it, though. :D

KCChiefsMan
01-02-2007, 09:26 PM
When the Chiefs lost to the Colts back in '95, I snapped and killed a man.

was it Lin Elliot? I'd almost be interested in seeing a "where are they now" segment of him

beavis
01-02-2007, 09:40 PM
This thread just reminded me, I put $20 on KC last July in Vegas, I hope I didn't throw that damn thing away.

Ultra Peanut
01-02-2007, 09:43 PM
Heres my odds, not that anyone cares.

Indianapolis Colts 20-1

New England Patriots 10-1

San Diego Chargers 3-1

Kansas City Chiefs 50-1

NFC Field 10,000,000-1

Baltimore Ravens 4-1

New York Jets 50-1FYP

supercoupe91
01-02-2007, 10:07 PM
I've lost a crap load of money over the years.

Can't ever figure out why my picks don't pan out.

Also got blood in the stool, but I'm told that's normal.

SPchief
01-02-2007, 10:26 PM
I've lost a crap load of money over the years.

Can't ever figure out why my picks don't pan out.

Also got blood in the stool, but I'm told that's normal.


Boise St doesn't even belong on the same field as OU

supercoupe91
01-02-2007, 10:33 PM
Get past it Chief, I have faith in ya.

cdcox
01-02-2007, 11:43 PM
Ouch. The house rake is 51% on these bets. Which means the actual odds of a team winning are probably a lot less than the gambling odds offered by this bookmaking service.

I'm not a gambler, but of the odds posted above, the only ones I would touch are Baltimore and NE. All the other teams I think have several percentage points worse odds of winning than the house is giving.

greg63
01-03-2007, 12:25 AM
According to Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.com/sportsbook/livelines.php)

Indianapolis Colts 8-1

New England Patriots 9-1

San Diego Chargers 5-2

Seattle Seahawks 20-1

Kansas City Chiefs 50-1

Dallas Cowboys 25-1

New York Giants 40-1

Chicago Bears 9-2

Philadelphia Eagles 12-1

Baltimore Ravens 4-1

New York Jets 50-1

New Orleans Saints 6-1
At 50-1 odds, just think about what kind of pay-off that would be.

cdcox
01-03-2007, 12:28 AM
At 50-1 odds, just think about what kind of pay-off that would be.

50-1.

greg63
01-03-2007, 12:30 AM
50-1.

Why yes sir, you are correct. :rolleyes: :D

007
01-03-2007, 12:40 AM
At 50-1 odds, just think about what kind of pay-off that would be.
Depends on what you are willing to risk.

Gotta buck?

HoustonChiefFan
01-03-2007, 12:49 AM
I got 5 dollar bets in before week 17.

Bet 5 on winning the AFC at 200-1.

Bet 5 on winning the Super bowl at 500-1.

Buck
01-03-2007, 01:38 PM
FYP

Thanks, but I dont feel that the NFC Field should be 10,000,000-1, just the Ghey Eli's. Anyways you never know. Look what happened in baseball last year. The AL was "guaranteed" to win it, and what happened? What makes me even more pissed is that my team pissed down their legs when we played the Cards in the playoffs.

greg63
01-03-2007, 10:17 PM
Depends on what you are willing to risk.

Gotta buck?
...Oh; one or two. :D