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Wilson8
02-15-2009, 10:59 PM
Interesting Analysis of Matt Cassel -

Maximizing Matt: Shotgun triggered Cassel's second-half surge

updated 2:59 a.m. CT, Sun., Feb. 15, 2009

Considering that before this past season Matt Cassel had not started a game since 1999, when he was a senior in high school, he produced the NFL's most impressive individual performance in 2008.
Now let's turn the page. Though Cassel recently signed the New England Patriots' franchise tender, the only way he will be on their roster in September is if Tom Brady is not prepared to play. Cassel will not be the backup to a healthy Brady because the salary-cap numbers are too large. Bill Belichick won't devote that many dollars to the quarterback position.
With that as background, let's break down Cassel's 2008 season and look ahead to 2009. When evaluating a quarterback, it is essential to assess his play based on the way he was utilized within the framework of his team's offense. The two cannot be separated.
There are myriad elements to consider. For instance, did he take the majority of his snaps under center or was he primarily in the shotgun? As a corollary point, what was his comfort level in each formation? Did he throw the ball predominantly out of three-step drops, five-step drops or seven-step drops? How prevalent was the team's play-action pass game? These are just a few of the many components that encompass a meticulous assessment of not just Cassel, but any quarterback.
Keep in mind that the Patriots knew Cassel's strengths and weaknesses when he took over for the injured Brady in Week 1. Belichick and his staff had been with him almost every day since he was selected in the seventh round of the 2005 draft.
Though there is always uncertainty when a player gets an opportunity to be a starter for the first time, the Patriots' staff clearly had a solid handle on how best to maximize Cassel's strong points and minimize his limitations.
Early in the season the Patriots ran a conventional NFL offense, with Cassel primarily aligned under center. They used the shotgun only as an occasional changeup or, as many teams do, in long-yardage situations.
It became evident Cassel was not particularly comfortable dropping back from center. He often seemed rushed and hurried, with a tendency to quickly lose his reading definition. That's why he ran so frequently. He was not seeing the field with clarity, and his instincts compelled him to leave the pocket whether it was necessary or not.
I remember breaking down Cassel's third start, the Patriots' victory over the 49ers in early October. He was very mechanical and robotic in his progressions and reads. If he could determine his throw based on the pre-snap read, he made it. If he couldn't, and he had to process information as he dropped, he struggled. As a result, he did not show a lot of patience in the pocket, often moving directly into the pass rush. That's the main reason Cassel was sacked so often in the first half of the season.
In addition, Cassel wasn't demonstrating the willingness to pull the trigger on tighter throws at the intermediate and deeper levels. Those are the kinds of plays that work off five- and seven-step drops with the quarterback under center.
What the Patriots learned as the season progressed was that Cassel was far more comfortable and relaxed playing in the shotgun. Their overtime loss to the Jets in mid-November solidified that belief. The Patriots fell behind 24-6 in the second quarter, and from that point on, Cassel was exclusively in the shotgun.
That defeat was the first of six consecutive games in which 88 percent of Cassel's pass attempts came out of the shotgun. The shotgun spread, often with three wide receivers, stretched the field horizontally. And the ability of the Patriots' outstanding coaching staff to dictate with formations, shifts and motions allowed Cassel to get rid of the ball decisively. It was predominantly a short passing game, with the throw defined quickly and the ball coming out fast.
Cassel had more rhythm to his drop and set from the shotgun. He was poised and comfortable, and he saw the field with more clarity. This led to more patience in the pocket, with less of a willingness to take off and run prematurely.
The other critical element that resulted from the widespread use of the shotgun was the functional space it provided Cassel in the pocket. There was more immediate distance between Cassel and the bodies in front of him, and that gave him room to step up and deliver.
Cassel is not an efficient passer when the pocket gets "muddied" or constricted. The velocity of his throws, slightly above average at best, decreases dramatically when he lacks that functional space.
In the last seven weeks of the season, the Patriots were primarily a shotgun passing team. They did not call a lot of drop-back plays. Why? Because Cassel was simply not very good at it.
When the Patriots wanted to get the ball deeper down the field, they put Cassel under center and went play-action. In those situations, they always used seven- or eight-man protection schemes to make certain Cassel had time and space. The emphasis on play-action also helped Cassel because it is almost always an either/or read; you throw the ball based on the positioning and movement of one defender, usually one of the safeties.
If Cassel becomes available in a trade before the 2009 season, it is imperative that interested teams perform a methodical and systematic breakdown of his play and tendencies from this past season. They must have a complete understanding of what Cassel is and what he is not, what he does well, and what he struggles with.

Always remember that if you do not see it on film, there's a reason for it. If Cassel is the guy you want, you must structure your offense based on his strengths and not force him to overcome his limitations.
Greg Cosell of NFL Films analyzes coaching tape and is executive producer of State Farm NFL Matchup. He is a frequent contributor to Sporting News.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29205555/

Reaper16
02-15-2009, 11:43 PM
So you're saying that the Chiefs don't need to trade for him because they already have him?

Wilson8
02-15-2009, 11:47 PM
Seems like it.

Buehler445
02-15-2009, 11:49 PM
Well... Shit. I think it bears asking if he could lead the Chiefs to the SB. <--- In before OTW :D

soundmind
02-15-2009, 11:56 PM
Do the Pats not run a crapton of Shotgun with Brady at the helm too?

Interesting read though...

NickAthanFan
02-15-2009, 11:57 PM
Thanks for the Thigpen article.

CoMoChief
02-16-2009, 12:37 AM
Uh oh, someone quick.......in with the MUST DRAFT SANCHEZ - HES OUR ONLY HOPE comment.

Reerun_KC
02-16-2009, 12:47 AM
Uh oh, someone quick.......in with the MUST DRAFT SANCHEZ - HES OUR ONLY HOPE comment.

We must draft Sanchez or Stafford, they are our only hope!

The Buddha
02-16-2009, 01:03 AM
I don't understand why Shotgun is so bad... I mean its ideal to have a quarterback who can do it all, but is it bad to run shotgun a lot?

Hopefully I won't be called an idiot because of this... :-)

Just Passin' By
02-16-2009, 01:10 AM
Do the Pats not run a crapton of Shotgun with Brady at the helm too?

Interesting read though...

Yes, they do. From The Boston Globe, December, 2007:

http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/articles/2007/12/12/hiked_up_offense/

Of the team's 484 pass attempts this season, a whopping 359 have come out of the shotgun (74 percent).

DJ's left nut
02-16-2009, 08:48 AM
I've said all along, Cassell is nothing more than Thigpen without the mobility.

If we trade anything for this guy, I immediately lose faith in the front office.

Dark Horse
02-16-2009, 09:07 AM
Do the Pats not run a crapton of Shotgun with Brady at the helm too?

Interesting read though...

It seems to me the Colts run a lot of SG with Manning too.

Just Passin' By
02-16-2009, 09:15 AM
I've said all along, Cassell is nothing more than Thigpen without the mobility.

If we trade anything for this guy, I immediately lose faith in the front office.

Good call, because the fact that Pioli drafted the guy in 2005 and has watched him develop over the course of all that time since shouldn't override your fleeting glimpses at his game.

DJ's left nut
02-16-2009, 11:11 AM
Good call, because the fact that Pioli drafted the guy in 2005 and has watched him develop over the course of all that time since shouldn't override your fleeting glimpses at his game.

Nah, guys never side over familiar mediocrity over unknown potential, never happens at all.

FAX
02-16-2009, 11:15 AM
There's nothing intrinsically wrong with relying on the shotgun as heavily as NE does so long as you have wide receivers who can consistently get separation and beat double teams.

Anybody know any wide receivers who can do that stuff?

FAX

Just Passin' By
02-16-2009, 11:17 AM
Nah, guys never side over familiar mediocrity over unknown potential, never happens at all.

That's your response? Pioli's going to give up a draft pick or more, and shell out millions for a player who was a backup for 3 seasons just because the guy's familiar?

You people here have really been beaten down as a fan base.

FAX
02-16-2009, 11:18 AM
You people here have really been beaten down as a fan base.

Don't rub it in, Mr. Just Passin' By.

FAX

Chiefnj2
02-16-2009, 11:19 AM
The great and almighty Patriot Reign actually had the nerve to tweak their system so their inexperienced QB could play in a system that gave him more comfort and a better offense? Who do they think they are, Herm & Gailey?

Just Passin' By
02-16-2009, 11:21 AM
Don't rub it in, Mr. Just Passin' By.

FAX

I wasn't trying to rub it in, honestly. It actually explains the attitude of some of the more ridiculously rude and aggressive posters here. It doesn't justify it, but it explains it. They are like dogs that have been kicked so long that their first response for anything and everything is just to growl and bite.

DJ's left nut
02-16-2009, 12:09 PM
That's your response? Pioli's going to give up a draft pick or more, and shell out millions for a player who was a backup for 3 seasons just because the guy's familiar?

You people here have really been beaten down as a fan base.

That's exactly it. More accurately, this fanbase has seen it first hand. Our GM drafted 1 freakin' first day QB in 20 years. ONE! That's incredible by any measure.

But look at the NFL as a whole. It's full of cronyism and overly conservative lifers trying to keep their jobs. It's hardly restricted to KC.

If Pioli comes in hard with Sanchez/Stafford and the guy blows up in spectacular fashion (always a risk with 1st round QBs), Pioli could be gone at the end of this deal. GMs simply don't survive busted high pick QBs.

Cassell, on the other hand, has some film out there. We know he can probably come in and be a league average QB for a 5-8 years (though I think that's a stretch, in the games I saw him play he was really awful past 15 yards, and 2 of those were 400 yard passing games). If Pioli makes a move for Cassell, it will be him not wanting to risk the high end guys in favor of a guy he knows won't get him fired. Probably won't win him a SB, but won't get him fired either.

Pioli has a good resume under BB, he also talks a decent game. However, it's his decisions that define him as a GM; "actions speak louder" blah blah blah. This is a decision that will mark him as another in the long line of risk-averse GMs.

FAX
02-16-2009, 12:17 PM
I wasn't trying to rub it in, honestly. It actually explains the attitude of some of the more ridiculously rude and aggressive posters here. It doesn't justify it, but it explains it. They are like dogs that have been kicked so long that their first response for anything and everything is just to growl and bite.

I sense much truthiness in your posts of iron, Mr. Just Passin' By.

As you say, it may well be that the decades of frustration we have suffered are exhibited in overly aggressive comments on this board. On the other hand, we of ChiefsPlanet pride ourselves on rude and unseemly behavior. Of course, it's also possible that we don't like you - although I don't think that's the reason. I've read several of your posts and you appear to be a very intelligent, knowledgeable, and thoughtful peep.

What most folks don't know about Chiefs fans is that we only come in two versions; morons and geniuses. Just pick your color.

FAX

Just Passin' By
02-16-2009, 12:41 PM
That's exactly it. More accurately, this fanbase has seen it first hand. Our GM drafted 1 freakin' first day QB in 20 years. ONE! That's incredible by any measure.

But look at the NFL as a whole. It's full of cronyism and overly conservative lifers trying to keep their jobs. It's hardly restricted to KC.

If Pioli comes in hard with Sanchez/Stafford and the guy blows up in spectacular fashion (always a risk with 1st round QBs), Pioli could be gone at the end of this deal. GMs simply don't survive busted high pick QBs.

Cassell, on the other hand, has some film out there. We know he can probably come in and be a league average QB for a 5-8 years (though I think that's a stretch, in the games I saw him play he was really awful past 15 yards, and 2 of those were 400 yard passing games). If Pioli makes a move for Cassell, it will be him not wanting to risk the high end guys in favor of a guy he knows won't get him fired. Probably won't win him a SB, but won't get him fired either.

Pioli has a good resume under BB, he also talks a decent game. However, it's his decisions that define him as a GM; "actions speak louder" blah blah blah. This is a decision that will mark him as another in the long line of risk-averse GMs.

Teams were taking a particular approach to defending the Patriots that had a lot to do with what you're talking about. What teams did was roll the safety over so that Moss was doubled on pretty much every play. What this did was really limit the long game, because neither Gaffney nor Welker are going to run a lot of go routes.

On the other hand, this opened up the underneath for the rest of the team. A lot of people have pointed to the YAC as if it should be a negative for Cassel, but it was actually a by-product of what the defenses were doing. By rolling coverage to Moss, teams were leaving players like Welker and Faulk in one-on-one situations underneath, and that's going to lead to good YAC time after time.

Cassel does not throw a great deep ball, but neither did Brady when he first became the Patriots' starter. The difference is that I'm not sold on Cassel ever getting great at it, while Brady now throws the deep ball about as well as anyone in the game. Cassel has his limitations, but let me list a few strengths that people here might not really have seen:

1.) Started as a 1-2 read guy, ended as a 3-4 read guy. I don't think he'll ever be like Brady, and be able to make 5+ reads on a single play, but 3-4 reads is good enough to be a quality NFL quarterback. Most NFL quarterbacks are 3 read players.

2.) His arm strength, despite what I've read people on here claiming, is more than adequate to the task. He may not be throwing 70 yards from his knees, but he's got enough of an arm to make the 10-20 yard out pass, which is what you really need in the NFL.

3.) He doesn't have burning speed, but he's a good runner for a quarterback. After he became comfortable in the offense, his running actually became a viable weapon in the offensive arsenal.

4.) He's not a Brady type of leader, but he became more and more confident in the huddle as the season went on.

5.) His pocket awareness improved tremendously over the course of the season. Yet again, he's not Brady-like in his ability to avoid the rush, but he got to be good enough at it to really cut down on the sacks in the second half of the season. The same observations apply to his work in the red zone.

6.) He busts his ass, works on his deficiencies, and isn't afraid to admit his mistakes.

Like most people, I have a lot of questions regarding Cassel's season. I can't begin to guess at how much of his success was on him, how much was on the players and system around him, and how much was the schedule. To do that, I'd need to have coaches' tape and a lot of input from my scouting staff. However, for whatever reasons, Cassel was better than just an average QB in the second half of the season. Team GMs now have to figure out the "why" and make decisions accordingly.

ChiefsCountry
02-16-2009, 01:35 PM
Of course the dumbass Patriot fan wants us to get rid of Cassel. They will get a shit ton for him.

ChiefsCountry
02-16-2009, 01:36 PM
That's exactly it. More accurately, this fanbase has seen it first hand. Our GM drafted 1 freakin' first day QB in 20 years. ONE! That's incredible by any measure.


Actually it was 3 - Elkins, Blundin, Croyle

FringeNC
02-16-2009, 01:39 PM
Yes, they do. From The Boston Globe, December, 2007:

http://www.boston.com/sports/footbal...ed_up_offense/

Quote:
Of the team's 484 pass attempts this season, a whopping 359 have come out of the shotgun (74 percent).

Given that the Pats had perhaps the best passing attack of all-time in 2007, how is it possible to argue that moving almost exclusively to the shotgun is a BAD thing?

The_Doctor10
02-16-2009, 02:42 PM
Given that the Pats had perhaps the best passing attack of all-time in 2007, how is it possible to argue that moving almost exclusively to the shotgun is a BAD thing?


'Because he was throwing to Moss/Welker/Stallworth' etc etc.

Here's a thought: trade for Chad Johnson. Moss was over 30 and was coming off a horrible year and he set an NFL record for most rec. TDs in a year. Bring in Chad and you've got a top 3 combo of Tony G, Bowe, and Ocho Cinco. While it's not Moss/Welker/Stallworth, it gives whoever starts at QB plenty of targets and single coverage on two of the three.

And yes, I know the argument is gonna be 'Moss/Welker/Stallworth had Brady'. KC doesn't have Brady; they have a fantasy football revelation who's only 24. You gotta start somewhere.

Fritz88
02-16-2009, 02:52 PM
Although I am for Thipgpen because I don't think anyone out there will be able to do more that what he will be able to do to us in the next few years, I would not mind Pioli bringing Cassel simply because Pioli knows him more than anyone else. If he's good for us, he'll bring him.

RustShack
02-16-2009, 02:54 PM
Huard has worked with Pioli hasn't he? Does that make him good? ROFL

Inspector
02-16-2009, 02:55 PM
That's your response? Pioli's going to give up a draft pick or more, and shell out millions for a player who was a backup for 3 seasons just because the guy's familiar?

You people here have really been beaten down as a fan base.

Hey, what do ya mean "You people"????

Frosty
02-16-2009, 03:00 PM
Hey, what do ya mean "You people"????

I'm pretty sure he's a Steelers fan from a different board.

KCKY-Fan4life
02-16-2009, 04:16 PM
No way we get him

Manila-Chief
02-16-2009, 07:36 PM
I'm glad Pioli came from N.E. and will have first hand knowledge of Cassel. If the article is correct (and it probably is not), it seems Pioli will take a serious look at the QB that falls to us at #3.

Tribal Warfare
02-16-2009, 07:38 PM
Actually it was 3 - Elkins, Blundin, Croyle

Pat Barnes too