Mecca
04-12-2010, 11:14 PM
I might do another one after this since things change rapidly in the week before the draft but I figure it's worth taking a crack at it again.
1. St. Louis Rams-Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
This pick has become blatantly obvious at this point. The Rams will break their string of being the longest team in the league without using a 1st on a QB, it'll be the first one since 67. Is it the proper pick or the right pick, time will tell on that I personally think this pick carries a ton of risk. Personally I see a lot of things with Bradford that if he doesn't make it people will look back and wonder how things we're missed when in reality they were just ignored.
2. Detroit Lions-Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
For a team that needs talent in general you don't pass on one of the couple of elite players in the draft in favor of positional value. No matter how badly some say they need a LT, Okung is not one of the best players in the draft Suh is. Schwartz has continually preached talent, so he sticks with that theme here and gets his new version of Haynesworth, this pick could go McCoy but it's one of the DT's without a doubt.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Another easy pick, Tampa may prefer Suh but McCoy is a fine consolation prize. It's pretty obvious they'll take whichever DT is left after Detroit as they should. Some feel McCoy actually translates to the pro game better than Suh does and may see more early success.
4. Washington Redskins-Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
While I may personally feel Okung is not worth a top 5 pick, the Redskins have absolutely painted themselves into a corner with the move for McNabb. They have nothing on the line and with very few draft picks they have no choice but to take Okung here. Okung will likely be a solid yet unspectacular player at LT for a long time, maybe a slightly worse version of Samuels.
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Now I split that part off because to me those 4 picks are locked, 99.9% sure that's how it plays out. Now these next few picks I believe there will be some trades so I will try to get the player with the team I think he'll go to and explain out how I think that'll happen.
5. Kansas City Chiefs-Rolando McClain, MLB, Alabama
I know I've been saying this would be the pick since about January and I'm back with that after a bit of fluctuation. Now let me clarify I don't think this will be the pick at 5, I believe the Chiefs will likely drop with the Browns, Buffalo is a bit to cheap to move up to 5 to pay the contract that goes with it. Basically Pioli takes a "right 53" player who plays a position of immediate impact and gets a team leader. Basically filling what he wants and placating fans with "look he's producing right away. This was always my first instinct for the pick so I'll trust that. I believe this is the pick for the Chiefs at 7 or 9.
6. Seattle Seahawks-CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson
With the thought that Berry would go to Cleveland at 5, this pick is a no brainer in my view. Seattle is a slow team with a serious lack of playmakers all over the field. After coaching Reggie Bush in college Carroll can not resist Spiller.
7. Cleveland Browns-Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
This is without a doubt Cleveland's guy in the draft, so much so if the Chiefs do offer them the pick they'll jump on it. If Berry somehow does go before them I wouldn't be stunned to see them take Earl Thomas or some major reach for Odrick, Cleveland is as weird about drafting as the Chiefs are. In the end Berry is their guy and they make out well with the pick.
8. Oakland Raiders-Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
The Raiders mix need with value and with athleticism after the Williams combine workout and take him here. I'm not a huge fan of Williams but this pick is a better one for the Raiders than most other scenarios out there.
9. Buffalo Bills-Jimmy Clausen, QB, Buffalo
Clausen falling to this pick is a dream for a team that has a new coach and GM without a player to build around. This should without a doubt be the pick if Buffalo passes they really do deserve to be a doormat franchise, but the same can be said for Cleveland in this scenario but at least they get Berry.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars-Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Jacksonville could go any number of directions but they have a GM who stresses BPA and positional value so this is where it has to be. Morgan is the safest end so I say they lean that way after getting burned on the high risk high reward prospect that Harvey was.
11. Denver Broncos-Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
Williams is flying up boards and looks to be the likely pick if he falls here. Jamal Williams at his age and injury issues is not the answer so Denver goes back to Tennessee once again for a 1st round pick..I'm not completely sold on his ability to play the nose but Denver seems to not care about stuff like that with making picks like Robert Ayers.
12. Miami Dolphins-Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan
Parcells has an affinity for drafting LB's, with the loss of Porter getting a pass rusher is now a premium for this team. Personally I think this pick should be Dez Bryant with the trash they have at WR but I don't see them taking back to back character issue guys in the 1st(Vontae Davis).
13. San Francisco 49ers-Joe Haden, CB, Florida
This team would love to have Haden land in this spot, physical and good in man, fits the scheme and fills a need. Profiles very similar to Leon Hall.
14. Seattle Seahawks-Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
Dez is to talented to not be a top 15 pick, this is his floor in my view. Carroll would take this chance being a players coach and feeling he can work with an elite talent, the Seahawks now have 2 possible elite playmakers with their first 2 picks, with Alex Gibbs on staff they feel they can fix the line with later picks.
15. New York Giants-Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
With bringing in Fewell to be the DC and the signing of Rolle, LB jumped to the forefront of this teams needs. Weatherspoon brings a vocal leadership that can replace Pierce and he is capable of playing all 3 LB spots, basically a perfect fit, his personality could lead to NFL stardom in that market.
16. Tennessee Titans-Jason Pierre Paul, DE, South Florida
I consider this the perfect landing spot for JPP, an elite talent with little experience going to a team who's DL coach has gotten the most out of every player he's worked with, he might be able to turn this guy into a true star.
17. San Francisco 49ers-Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
Not personally a huge fan of Bulaga but for a team with a need at OT and it likely being RT he's a solid fit here.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers-DeMaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
Thomas has a ton of first round buzz and with the trade of Holmes this seems like a very logical fit now.
19. Atlanta Falcons-Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Even though they signed Robinson they still have a gaping hole at the other CB spot and I don't think they want to worry about this position again for awhile.
20. Houston Texas-Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State
A team that is built around offense keeps going offense. Matthews is an absolute perfect fit in this offense, would probably win rookie of the year if he went here.
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Earl Thomas, FS, Texas
Just the kind of ball hawking playmaking FS that would fit well in the Bengals secondary, you'd think D Thomas would be considered as this team needs a big play WR but the Steelers beat them to that punch.
22. New England Patriots-Jared Odrick, DE, Penn State
This team really felt the affect of losing Seymour and now Jarvis Green is also gone, they don't pass on Odrick who is everything NE likes in DE's in his size and talent.
23. Green Bay Packers-Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
If this scenario really plays out the Packers would run up to the podium in glee. The offseason has hurt Davis more than just about any other player but he has the talent to be the best OT in this draft, outstanding pick here.
24. Philadelphia Eagles-Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
Iupati is the exact type of lineman that Andy Reid loves, with the cutting of Shawn Andrews I see this guy stepping in at RG from day one.
25. Baltimore Ravens-Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Baltimore once again goes BPA adding yet another weapon to the offense. With a 6'6 QB and a 6'6 TE that should be very scary down the middle, Gresham doesn't have to contribute right away with Heap still in the mix but he is declining.
26. Arizona Cardinals-Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
Even with signing Porter this team needs pass rushers so adding Kindle as this spot is a great pick.
27. Dallas Cowboys-Taylor Mays, S, USC
Mays has to much "stuff" for Jones to pass on, after cutting Hamlin the Cowboys are happy to grab Mays here.
28. San Diego Chargers-Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
With Matthews off the board San Diego addresses their other huge need and takes a nose tackle.
29. New York Jets-Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU
Rex Ryan loves CB's and pass rushers, the move was made for a CB, and a move was made for a WR, that leaves them to take the pass rusher with this pick.
30. Minnesota Vikings-Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
Minnesota is generally a BPA drafting team and with how badly their interior line struggled this past year this pick is perfect for them. The only thing that could offset it is the injury to Cedric Griffin means they badly need a CB.
31. Indianapolis Colts-Rodger Saffold, OT Indiana
Not very thrilled that Pouncey went in front of them the Colts take a versatile lineman that can succeed at guard or at OT, they've let it be known that OL is a priority for them this year.
32. New Orleans Saints-Daryl Washington, LB, TCU
The Saints have basically nothing at LB right now and Washington while being a very good and talented player is pretty much a sure thing, so the SB champs get an immediate starter right here.
I'd like to note that I think that since I had Charles Brown and Bruce Campbell both fall that Detroit would trade back up into the 1st for one of them.
1. St. Louis Rams-Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
This pick has become blatantly obvious at this point. The Rams will break their string of being the longest team in the league without using a 1st on a QB, it'll be the first one since 67. Is it the proper pick or the right pick, time will tell on that I personally think this pick carries a ton of risk. Personally I see a lot of things with Bradford that if he doesn't make it people will look back and wonder how things we're missed when in reality they were just ignored.
2. Detroit Lions-Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
For a team that needs talent in general you don't pass on one of the couple of elite players in the draft in favor of positional value. No matter how badly some say they need a LT, Okung is not one of the best players in the draft Suh is. Schwartz has continually preached talent, so he sticks with that theme here and gets his new version of Haynesworth, this pick could go McCoy but it's one of the DT's without a doubt.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Another easy pick, Tampa may prefer Suh but McCoy is a fine consolation prize. It's pretty obvious they'll take whichever DT is left after Detroit as they should. Some feel McCoy actually translates to the pro game better than Suh does and may see more early success.
4. Washington Redskins-Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
While I may personally feel Okung is not worth a top 5 pick, the Redskins have absolutely painted themselves into a corner with the move for McNabb. They have nothing on the line and with very few draft picks they have no choice but to take Okung here. Okung will likely be a solid yet unspectacular player at LT for a long time, maybe a slightly worse version of Samuels.
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Now I split that part off because to me those 4 picks are locked, 99.9% sure that's how it plays out. Now these next few picks I believe there will be some trades so I will try to get the player with the team I think he'll go to and explain out how I think that'll happen.
5. Kansas City Chiefs-Rolando McClain, MLB, Alabama
I know I've been saying this would be the pick since about January and I'm back with that after a bit of fluctuation. Now let me clarify I don't think this will be the pick at 5, I believe the Chiefs will likely drop with the Browns, Buffalo is a bit to cheap to move up to 5 to pay the contract that goes with it. Basically Pioli takes a "right 53" player who plays a position of immediate impact and gets a team leader. Basically filling what he wants and placating fans with "look he's producing right away. This was always my first instinct for the pick so I'll trust that. I believe this is the pick for the Chiefs at 7 or 9.
6. Seattle Seahawks-CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson
With the thought that Berry would go to Cleveland at 5, this pick is a no brainer in my view. Seattle is a slow team with a serious lack of playmakers all over the field. After coaching Reggie Bush in college Carroll can not resist Spiller.
7. Cleveland Browns-Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
This is without a doubt Cleveland's guy in the draft, so much so if the Chiefs do offer them the pick they'll jump on it. If Berry somehow does go before them I wouldn't be stunned to see them take Earl Thomas or some major reach for Odrick, Cleveland is as weird about drafting as the Chiefs are. In the end Berry is their guy and they make out well with the pick.
8. Oakland Raiders-Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
The Raiders mix need with value and with athleticism after the Williams combine workout and take him here. I'm not a huge fan of Williams but this pick is a better one for the Raiders than most other scenarios out there.
9. Buffalo Bills-Jimmy Clausen, QB, Buffalo
Clausen falling to this pick is a dream for a team that has a new coach and GM without a player to build around. This should without a doubt be the pick if Buffalo passes they really do deserve to be a doormat franchise, but the same can be said for Cleveland in this scenario but at least they get Berry.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars-Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Jacksonville could go any number of directions but they have a GM who stresses BPA and positional value so this is where it has to be. Morgan is the safest end so I say they lean that way after getting burned on the high risk high reward prospect that Harvey was.
11. Denver Broncos-Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
Williams is flying up boards and looks to be the likely pick if he falls here. Jamal Williams at his age and injury issues is not the answer so Denver goes back to Tennessee once again for a 1st round pick..I'm not completely sold on his ability to play the nose but Denver seems to not care about stuff like that with making picks like Robert Ayers.
12. Miami Dolphins-Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan
Parcells has an affinity for drafting LB's, with the loss of Porter getting a pass rusher is now a premium for this team. Personally I think this pick should be Dez Bryant with the trash they have at WR but I don't see them taking back to back character issue guys in the 1st(Vontae Davis).
13. San Francisco 49ers-Joe Haden, CB, Florida
This team would love to have Haden land in this spot, physical and good in man, fits the scheme and fills a need. Profiles very similar to Leon Hall.
14. Seattle Seahawks-Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
Dez is to talented to not be a top 15 pick, this is his floor in my view. Carroll would take this chance being a players coach and feeling he can work with an elite talent, the Seahawks now have 2 possible elite playmakers with their first 2 picks, with Alex Gibbs on staff they feel they can fix the line with later picks.
15. New York Giants-Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
With bringing in Fewell to be the DC and the signing of Rolle, LB jumped to the forefront of this teams needs. Weatherspoon brings a vocal leadership that can replace Pierce and he is capable of playing all 3 LB spots, basically a perfect fit, his personality could lead to NFL stardom in that market.
16. Tennessee Titans-Jason Pierre Paul, DE, South Florida
I consider this the perfect landing spot for JPP, an elite talent with little experience going to a team who's DL coach has gotten the most out of every player he's worked with, he might be able to turn this guy into a true star.
17. San Francisco 49ers-Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
Not personally a huge fan of Bulaga but for a team with a need at OT and it likely being RT he's a solid fit here.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers-DeMaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
Thomas has a ton of first round buzz and with the trade of Holmes this seems like a very logical fit now.
19. Atlanta Falcons-Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Even though they signed Robinson they still have a gaping hole at the other CB spot and I don't think they want to worry about this position again for awhile.
20. Houston Texas-Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State
A team that is built around offense keeps going offense. Matthews is an absolute perfect fit in this offense, would probably win rookie of the year if he went here.
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Earl Thomas, FS, Texas
Just the kind of ball hawking playmaking FS that would fit well in the Bengals secondary, you'd think D Thomas would be considered as this team needs a big play WR but the Steelers beat them to that punch.
22. New England Patriots-Jared Odrick, DE, Penn State
This team really felt the affect of losing Seymour and now Jarvis Green is also gone, they don't pass on Odrick who is everything NE likes in DE's in his size and talent.
23. Green Bay Packers-Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
If this scenario really plays out the Packers would run up to the podium in glee. The offseason has hurt Davis more than just about any other player but he has the talent to be the best OT in this draft, outstanding pick here.
24. Philadelphia Eagles-Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
Iupati is the exact type of lineman that Andy Reid loves, with the cutting of Shawn Andrews I see this guy stepping in at RG from day one.
25. Baltimore Ravens-Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Baltimore once again goes BPA adding yet another weapon to the offense. With a 6'6 QB and a 6'6 TE that should be very scary down the middle, Gresham doesn't have to contribute right away with Heap still in the mix but he is declining.
26. Arizona Cardinals-Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
Even with signing Porter this team needs pass rushers so adding Kindle as this spot is a great pick.
27. Dallas Cowboys-Taylor Mays, S, USC
Mays has to much "stuff" for Jones to pass on, after cutting Hamlin the Cowboys are happy to grab Mays here.
28. San Diego Chargers-Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
With Matthews off the board San Diego addresses their other huge need and takes a nose tackle.
29. New York Jets-Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU
Rex Ryan loves CB's and pass rushers, the move was made for a CB, and a move was made for a WR, that leaves them to take the pass rusher with this pick.
30. Minnesota Vikings-Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
Minnesota is generally a BPA drafting team and with how badly their interior line struggled this past year this pick is perfect for them. The only thing that could offset it is the injury to Cedric Griffin means they badly need a CB.
31. Indianapolis Colts-Rodger Saffold, OT Indiana
Not very thrilled that Pouncey went in front of them the Colts take a versatile lineman that can succeed at guard or at OT, they've let it be known that OL is a priority for them this year.
32. New Orleans Saints-Daryl Washington, LB, TCU
The Saints have basically nothing at LB right now and Washington while being a very good and talented player is pretty much a sure thing, so the SB champs get an immediate starter right here.
I'd like to note that I think that since I had Charles Brown and Bruce Campbell both fall that Detroit would trade back up into the 1st for one of them.