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View Full Version : Chiefs Over/Unders for the Chiefs' season...


Kylo Ren
09-02-2011, 02:22 PM
Agree? Disagree? What're your predictions?

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2011/9/2/2400723/nfl-odds-2011-kansas-city-chiefs#storyjump

Bodog.com (http://www.bodog.com/) has come out with a ton of various Kansas City Chiefs (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/teams/kansas-city-chiefs) odds for the 2011 NFL season. How many yards will QB Matt Cassel (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/1659/matt-cassel) have? How many touchdown receptions with WR Dwayne Bowe (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/18956/dwayne-bowe) have? Will RB Jamaal Charles (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/34464/jamaal-charles) really only have 1,250 rushing yards?

Here are a bunch of their over/unders on the Chiefs for the 2011 season:
Matt Cassel - Total Passing Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 3200
This seems about right. I could see him hitting 3,500ish but with the Chiefs running game 3,200 yards is probably a decent guess. It's a slight upgrade over last year.

Matt Cassel - Total Passing Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 22
He had 27 last year, which seemed a little high to me. 22 may be around right but I wouldn't put it past him to get close to 27 again considering the weapons they added this year.

Matt Cassel - Total Interceptions thrown in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 12
Hopefully we have the under on this. Cassel threw seven last year which was an outstanding number. That number probably goes up a little bit. 12 interceptions wouldn't be a bad season.

Jamal Charles - Total Rushing Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 1250
I'd take the over. Charles had over 1,400 on just 230 carries last season and there are indications he'll see more carries this year. I suppose it all depends on him staying healthy.

Jamal Charles - Total Rushing Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 7 ½
This is probably about right. He had a lot of yards last year but only five rushing touchdowns. That number has to go up, I think.

Jamal Charles - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 425
We forget that Charles is pretty solid coming out of the backfield. The Chiefs should focus on getting him the ball in a number of ways and the receiving game should be part of that.

Jamal Charles - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 2 ½
He had two last year so this seems about right.

Thomas Jones (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/1243/thomas-jones) - Total Rushing Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 550
He almost hit 900 yards last year and is expected to receive less carries this year. With less carries, and another year of wear and tear on him, 550 sounds about right.

Thomas Jones - Total Rushing Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 4 ½
I could see this number being bigger if he gets goal line carries. The Chiefs also have FB Le'Ron McClain (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/16642/le-ron-mcclain) for short yardage situations.

Dwayne Bowe - Total Receptions in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 70
I'd take the over on this. While the Chiefs added weapons on offense, Bowe is still the premier receiver on the team until proven otherwise.

Dwayne Bowe - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 1050
Bowe's been right around 1,000,1,100 yards in three of his four NFL seasons. This is a good bet.

Dwayne Bowe - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 8
I've been saying 8-10 touchdowns for Bowe. 15 touchdowns is a lot and I'm not sure he can do that again. I'd settle on the over here.

Steve Breaston - Total Receiving Yards in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 700
Hmm...seems a little high to me as he transitions with the Chiefs. I think I'd go with the under here.

Steve Breaston - Total Receiving Touchdowns in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 3
This sounds about right.

Tamba Hali - Total Sacks in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 10 ½
With Tamba's 2010 season, people are going to be paying attention to him more. That's fine as long as A.) the referees recognize the holds and B.) he opens the door for others to rush the passer.

Eric Berry (http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/players/108650/eric-berry) - Total Interceptions in the 2011 Regular Season
Over/Under 3 ½
Berry is awesome so I'd take the over.

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I'm interested in McCluster's over/unders. I think he's going to be a much bigger part of the 2011 offense than he was last year. They didn't include DMC in this article. I'd like to know your predictions and rationale. So, here you go....

DMC - Total Rushing Yards
Over/Under ????
Why???

DMC - Total Rushing Touchdowns
Over/Under ???
Why???

DMC - Total Receiving Yards
Over/Under ???
Why???

DMC - Total Receiving Touchdowns
Over/Under ???
Why???

DMC - Total PR/KR Touchdowns
Over/Under ???
Why???

Kylo Ren
09-02-2011, 09:26 PM
DMC - Total Rushing Yards
Over/Under: 352
Why: 4.0 rushes x 16 games x 5.5 ypc = 352

DMC - Total Rushing Touchdowns
Over/Under: 2.5
Why: His TD's will mostly be from 20+ yard rushes

DMC - Total Receiving Yards
Over/Under: 616
Why: 5.5 receptions x 16 games x 7.0 ypc = 616

DMC - Total Receiving Touchdowns
Over/Under 3.0
Why: His TD's will mostly be from receptions of 20+ yards and trick plays

DMC - Total PR/KR Touchdowns
Over/Under: 1
Why: He should get at least one, but he'll split time with Arenas and maybe Breaston

SPchief
09-02-2011, 09:27 PM
R

Kylo Ren
09-02-2011, 11:56 PM
"R" ?