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Direckshun
03-29-2015, 04:03 AM
http://zonereads.com/?p=2702

The Human Torch: Devin Smith
by vixticator
Posted on March 22, 2015

If you haven’t watched any tape of Ohio State wide receiver Devin Smith, then you’re in for a treat. He’s preternaturally gifted when it comes to making catches deep down field. In fact, that’s essentially all he does. He only caught 33 passes as a senior, 12 of which were touchdowns, for an average of 28.2 yards per reception. These numbers are meaningless without context. That’s what the game tape is for, and thanks to Draft Breakdown (http://draftbreakdown.com/players/devin-smith/) I’ve been able to watch four of them (Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Cincinnati).

In the game against Michigan State, Smith makes two beautiful over-the-shoulder catches. On the first play (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ApMQsx0m8M&t=1m55s), he starts off standing on the 35-yard line, runs more or less straight down the field, and makes a rather ridiculous reception around at the 20-yard line. I’ll leave the math to you. That’s a big chunk of yards. The most impressive aspect of this play isn’t the speed, but the way he locates the ball midair and plucks it with both hands over his shoulder at an awkward angle. Later in the game he makes this catch (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ApMQsx0m8M&t=2m43s) for a touchdown. Just another routine over-the-shoulder 45-yard reception. I feel bad for the Michigan State safeties there. That is a touchdown presnap as long as the ball is on target.

You ain’t seen nothin’ yet. Wisconsin fans might want to skip this next section. Touchdown #1 is all about the adjustment to the ball. He locates it in the air when he turns his head, then he gets his body where it needs to be in order to make the catch. He also plays it like a basketball player boxing out his opponent to snare a rebound. Touchdown #2 is similar to his touchdown in the Michigan State game. This time he gets one-on-one coverage from the slot against a safety. Lamb to the slaughter.
Touchdown #3 is a leaping two-handed grab. Smith’s location, location, location abilities are otherworldly. He didn’t drop a single deep bomb in any of the games I watched. Alright, so he can catch deep bombs. Can we move on? If this is what you are asking, get the hell out of here. Two more. First, this play (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwdxC7oD5s8&t=0m31s) against Illinois. This guy Devin Smith sure can make deep over-the-shoulder touchdown catches. To prove he is, in fact, human, watch this play (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvD6P8pmpwk&t=4m1s). He… almost didn’t catch it! Throwing the ball in the general direction of Smith and letting him do the rest is a foolproof plan I’m tellin’ ya.

He can do a bit other than run deep routes. Not a lot, mind you, but I have some evidence that he can. For instance, there’s this (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvD6P8pmpwk&t=0m30s) play where he finds the right spot to sit against zone coverage and runs in for a touchdown. Here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ApMQsx0m8M&t=1m28s) he makes a catch over the middle on what appears to be a post route. On this play (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvD6P8pmpwk&t=2m10s) he just comes to a screeching halt. Even though the quarterback is looking the other way, you still need to try to get open if the play breaks down. And, at least to me, both this (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvD6P8pmpwk&t=3m33s) and this (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j0-_o6SchBM&t=1m44s) are poorly run routes.

In order to stay on the field (or become elite), Smith must get better at running short to intermediate routes. He will come in on multiple receiver packages and force the defense to respect his deep game, which opens up space for teammates. His deep game is special even among NFL players. He knows how to locate, and, more importantly, to adjust his body in order to make difficult catches with the ball flying 40+ yards. Over and over again.

If you’re going to be a one-trick pony as a rookie wide receiver, this is the best trick to have up your sleeve. Smith has excellent hands. In the four games I watched, he dropped one pass, and the degree of difficulty on his catches were very high indeed. At the end of the first round, I wouldn’t hesitate to send in his name if I needed some help outside. Are you telling me you don’t want to see Devin Smith catch bombs from Andrew Luck, or Russell Wilson, over the next five or more years? Please.

The Franchise
03-29-2015, 10:40 PM
I'm hoping we can get him in the 2nd.

Coochie liquor
03-30-2015, 05:59 AM
Would def like to have him in a Chiefs uni!!

DJ's left nut
03-30-2015, 02:55 PM
My favorite choice in the 2nd round.

May not last to us, but he and Aguilar are my boys there and of the two, I favor Smith by just a hair.

He'd be a great fit in the X for us.

O.city
03-30-2015, 09:56 PM
If they could trade down l, pluck up another 3rd, I'd take either agholor or smith late first

Urc Burry
03-30-2015, 10:20 PM
I agree. I think the second should be the round we address WR. Unless a miracle happens and one of the top 3 slips to 18. That batch of wr's in the 2nd all have really good skill sets that would translate to our offense. if we can get one of Agholor, Dorsett, Lockett, or Smith I will be ecstatic

O.city
03-31-2015, 08:21 AM
So the thing is, if they like smith or agholor that much, why not just grab them in the first round?

Nightfyre
03-31-2015, 08:39 AM
Hopefully they like a bunch of other players more than Smith and Agholor so they can take whomever drops to them in the second rather than reaching in the first.

O.city
03-31-2015, 09:25 AM
Hopefully they like a bunch of other players more than Smith and Agholor so they can take whomever drops to them in the second rather than reaching in the first.

hopefully it would work out that way, but if they really like these two as much as I'd imagine they would for this offense, it would be tough to pass on them.

However, I wouldn't look past some of the top notch talent that will inevitably fall in the first for whatever reason.

saphojunkie
03-31-2015, 11:47 AM
So the thing is, if they like smith or agholor that much, why not just grab them in the first round?

Because it's just a waste of resources. If you like that BMW that much, why not pay full sticker price?

Because I can get it for 30% cheaper by waiting a day, and then I can spend that money on a Harley Davidson. Otherwise, I get the same BMW but no motorcycle.

O.city
03-31-2015, 11:48 AM
Because it's just a waste of resources. If you like that BMW that much, why not pay full sticker price?

Because I can get it for 30% cheaper by waiting a day, and then I can spend that money on a Harley Davidson. Otherwise, I get the same BMW but no motorcycle.

You can also muss out on the chance to buy the BMW and it could be gone.

Urc Burry
03-31-2015, 11:54 AM
Saw this tweet and agree with it a lot

@NFLFilmStudy: Don’t worry about reaching. Being cute and waiting or trading down is why your team missed out on T.Y. Hilton and Jimmy Graham. Just take em

If you absolutely know he will be there in the next round then go ahead and wait. But if you are reaching by 10-15 picks, go ahead and make it

The Franchise
03-31-2015, 11:58 AM
I would have no problem trading down and taking one at the bottom of the 1st round.

DJ's left nut
03-31-2015, 12:54 PM
Saw this tweet and agree with it a lot

@NFLFilmStudy: Don’t worry about reaching. Being cute and waiting or trading down is why your team missed out on T.Y. Hilton and Jimmy Graham. Just take em

If you absolutely know he will be there in the next round then go ahead and wait. But if you are reaching by 10-15 picks, go ahead and make it

It's also how Scott "I don't know about draft value" Pioli ended up taking Tyson Jackson at 3 overall.

It's a bad BAD practice. In a league where the difference between 11 wins and 5 wins is almost exclusively in the margins, you have to look for every single edge you can possibly get.

If you just forego that possibility by being risk averse rather than attempt to manipulate the draft to ensure the most possible amount of talent, you're going to substantially reduce your team's ceiling over any kind of appreciable time frame.

O.city
03-31-2015, 01:01 PM
It's also how Scott "I don't know about draft value" Pioli ended up taking Tyson Jackson at 3 overall.

It's a bad BAD practice. In a league where the difference between 11 wins and 5 wins is almost exclusively in the margins, you have to look for every single edge you can possibly get.

If you just forego that possibility by being risk averse rather than attempt to manipulate the draft to ensure the most possible amount of talent, you're going to substantially reduce your team's ceiling over any kind of appreciable time frame.

Depends how much of a difference maker or just how good you think a guy can be.

Reaching foe a guy isn't reaching if he fits your system how you want.

DJ's left nut
03-31-2015, 01:17 PM
Depends how much of a difference maker or just how good you think a guy can be.

Reaching foe a guy isn't reaching if he fits your system how you want.

You never have any idea how a guy truly fits your system coming out of college. From a pure physical skills standpoint, Tyson Jackson was an absolutely ideal 5-tech in our system; still a shitty pick.

And you're also ignoring Dorsey's MO. If a guy truly is an ideal fit and perfect player for our team, he's going to be the top guy on Dorsey's board anyway and he'll take him.

It's not like Dorsey is working from Kiper's draft board here. If Dorsey or Reid truly believe that Devin Smith is just an amazing talent and scheme fit, he's going to be BPA on Dorsey's board and he'll take him, just like he did with Ford last year ahead of where many people thought he would go.

Personally, I don't think Dorsey's going to fall in love with a WR. Jalen Collins, OTOH, may be exactly that kind of guy. He's not a guy that's looking like an 18th overall pick by consensus, but I could easily see Dorsey deciding that he'll be perfect for this team and taking him anyway.

Essentially you're equating the mythical 'consensus big board' with Dorsey's board and saying that if he really like someone that's a 2nd round pick on said consensus board, why not just take him in the first? Well odds are that he would be a 1st round pick on Dorsey's board and that's who he'll take.

O.city
03-31-2015, 01:27 PM
You never have any idea how a guy truly fits your system coming out of college. From a pure physical skills standpoint, Tyson Jackson was an absolutely ideal 5-tech in our system; still a shitty pick.

And you're also ignoring Dorsey's MO. If a guy truly is an ideal fit and perfect player for our team, he's going to be the top guy on Dorsey's board anyway and he'll take him.

It's not like Dorsey is working from Kiper's draft board here. If Dorsey or Reid truly believe that Devin Smith is just an amazing talent and scheme fit, he's going to be BPA on Dorsey's board and he'll take him, just like he did with Ford last year ahead of where many people thought he would go.

Personally, I don't think Dorsey's going to fall in love with a WR. Jalen Collins, OTOH, may be exactly that kind of guy. He's not a guy that's looking like an 18th overall pick by consensus, but I could easily see Dorsey deciding that he'll be perfect for this team and taking him anyway.

Essentially you're equating the mythical 'consensus big board' with Dorsey's board and saying that if he really like someone that's a 2nd round pick on said consensus board, why not just take him in the first? Well odds are that he would be a 1st round pick on Dorsey's board and that's who he'll take.

I'm referencing the fact that there isn't necessarily a reach in that each teams board is gonna be set different.

The Jackson pick was just a bad pick from a value standpoint all around.

O.city
03-31-2015, 01:28 PM
I also tend to think they'll go cb in the first as we seem to be sitting right in the sweet spot for them.

I don't know which one I prefer yet though. Probably the kid from wake forrest

O.city
03-31-2015, 01:33 PM
And what dj just described is why you can't reach for position or needs as well.

DJ's left nut
03-31-2015, 01:36 PM
And what dj just described is why you can't reach for position or needs as well.

{cough} Cameron Erving {/cough}

O.city
03-31-2015, 01:58 PM
{cough} Cameron Erving {/cough}

Versatility. Reach for it.

The Franchise
03-31-2015, 02:03 PM
I'm leaning towards CB or OLB/DE more in the 1st now unless one of the top 3 WRs falls. And I wouldn't be against trading up in the 2nd to grab Smith/Algohor.

Dave Lane
03-31-2015, 02:39 PM
I like it a guy who only goes deep teamed with another Smith that never goes deep. Plus Devin rarely gets wide open. 2015 Stat sheet Games 16 , 7 targets 3 Ints 3 catches 1 TD .

Our new record breaking WR.