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https://chiefswire.usatoday.com/2023...ec2200016d64f4
“Extremely gifted, one of the most athletic, physically gifted left tackles that I’ve seen in going on 13 years now,” Gabbert said of Smith. “And, I told Patrick (Mahomes) when we all got here, I was like, he’s going to help this team a lot. He’s going to help solidify that front, with JT (Jawaan Taylor) and Donny (Donovan Smith) on the edges and our interior guys that’s got to be the best, if not the best offensive line in the NFL.” |
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Is this piece of shit an all pro yet?
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I think someone like BJ Thompson can have some success against him, yes. But OBJ is a smart player - you can't play LT with feet like his if you're an idiot. If he knows you're going upfield on him, he can handle that. But what happened was he we look to cheat and then get smoked across his face to the inside because he doesn't have the agility to recover when he'd make that aggressive slide/set. Can Thompson punish him like that? Probably not at the moment, no. Uzi, OTOH, who has some experience with interior rushing and seems to have a slightly better 1st step than Karlaftis, might be able to pull off something like that. He can get OBJ rocking a little then use that rip move to get across him and into Burrow's lap. Thompsons best attribute might actually be as something of a decoy. You put him alongside Jones, for instance, and get him to draw OBJ off the line quickly before he can give the G any help, then you've created a really nice matchup on the interior. Omenihu might be another guy you could use there. Karlaftis - Jones - Omenihu - Thompson might be the sort of alignment that gives the Bengals fits in small doses. I just don't see how they can block up that interior, especially if you're using Thompson on the weak side to simply pull the LT out into space as he runs the arc. |
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We need to stop pretending like 'pressures' means anything. The concept does - legitimate pressure can impact plays obviously. But the statistic doesn't - it's simply not a reliable measure of any sort. |
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When PFF comes up with these ridiculous QB grades, you have to atom bomb the whole thing. Yes, the WHOLE THING.
"Oh but it's useful for charting certain positions that don't have tallied stats like offensive line, because otherwise how do you track quality among..." THE WHOLE THING. BLOW IT ALL UP. Patrick Mahomes is the truth. End of ****ing story. It's been 5 years and even in his worst stretch (the 6 or 7 games in 2021) his season INTs were just high compared to what he normally throws, and not at all high compared to the rest of the league. This notion of "interceptable throws" that they pulled out their asses is hilarious because they think that stat matters to a super human like Patrick Mahomes. Stats show trends, not truths. They don't account for immortals like Mahomes. They can explain Derek Carr and Kyler Murray and Matt Ryan and even Aaron Rodgers, but they don't explain Mahomes. And if you're arrogant enough to **** that mathematical model like a goddamn chicken over and over again even though it hasn't produced any eggs in 5 ****ing seasons, it's a huuuuuge sign of not just a flaw but a glaring problem that tanks your entire credibility. If Mahomes is rated as a mid-tier QB after throwing 300 yards, 3 TDs, no picks, and upper 60s completion percentage, then **** you, **** your **** children, **** your **** dog, and **** Ireland or whatever shithole you live in across the pond. You're full of crap and should kill yourself. |
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PFFs player grading metrics are horrible, and don't agree with the statistics 75% of the time, but pressures means something. They mean a lot more than any of those statistics individually. |
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I'm aware of what a pressure is and it's the 'hurry' element that creates the bullshit. Again I'll reference when PFF gave OBJ a pressure on a screen pass. No, that's not 'getting beat' - it's a grader being an asshole. The statistic is not even a little bit reliable because it, like the player grading metric you proceed to lambast, is based on a completely subjective determination of what was 'supposed' to happen. There are times a OL is supposed to come off his man to help with someone else and then when his original guy is let loose, the play is timed to actually ensure that, despite the fact he's closing on the QB as the ball is being delivered, he's not actually creating any problems. And Reid is the absolute master of this sort of thing - he's made an art form of it (the Jah Reid game was the best example you'll ever see - 'pressures' that didn't mean shit). But because he was almost there when the throw was being made and the grader doesn't have any idea what the timing/progressions or assignments on the play where, it's a pressure when everything went to script. Pressures are a worthless, awful statistic. They're as prone to error as the player grades and for the exact same reasons. |
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Hurries have been a stat that NFL Next Gen, Pro Football Reference (That's actually who's definition I took), and several others have all used for a hot minute, to act as if it has no legitimacy is, in my opinion somewhat short sighted. Am I saying it's infallible? Hell no, everything is open to interpretation, even things that some people think that aren't like sacks (Was it the lineman, or was it the QB, because yes, some QBs take on more sacks due to lack of awareness or inability to extend plays obviously), but to throw out the baby with the bathwater is completely illogical. If Hurries are entirely bullshit, then let's take it out of the equation. OBJ 2022 - 7 QB Hits, 4 Sacks DS 2022 (Injured) - 7 QB Hits, 6 Sacks OBJ 2021 - 12 QB Hits, 4 Sacks DS 2021 - 4 QB Hits, 1 Sack These being with Andy being the superior schemer and Mahomes being legendary at avoiding pressure and extending plays. Everyone raves about how Mahomes extends plays at a LEGENDARY level, but noone thinks about WHY he has to extend so many damn plays. It might be because he's being hurried so damn much because our tackles (other than Schwartz) haven't really been these amazing bookends on the line. |
Hurries tallied is just a number that's greatly lacking in context and subject to be skewed by whatever underpaidnd dipshit is viewing a compressed rip of a game.
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Other considerations when comparing OBJ and Smith is who they were blocking for last year vs next year. OBJ got let off the hook many times because Mahomes is magical at getting out of the pocket. Smith was blocking for a statue of Tom Brady. This year, Smith will reap the rewards of Mahomes escapabilty, while OBJ has to try and protect the guy who's led the league in sacks.
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In my opinion, too many people on CP have a hard on for average and slightly above average O linemen that wore a Chiefs uniform at one point. The drop off between OBJ and Smith is not substantial (and can and will be argued Smith is better as a pass blocker) for what we do as an offense. Don't get me wrong, OBJ is a much more well rounded as a Tackle (a substantially better run blocker in my opinion) and I've said multiple times in this thread that Smith has penalty problems in comparison to OBJ, but too many people on here are acting like we got some JAG at left tackle when it clearly is not the case. As long as he's healthy (my only real concern about him), we should be just fine. |
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Mahomes is 2 for 3 in Expected Super Bowl Wins which is only a 66% win rate. Meanwhile Nick Foles is 100%, PFF's all time GOAT QB |
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The best QBs the game has ever seen at avoiding sacks were, IMO, Peyton Manning and Joe Montana. And for the Montana argument I can try to go find the year that he and Kreig split snaps and the OL gave up like 2.5 times as many sacks with DK under center vs. Montana. And neither of those guys could move at all. But they operated razor precise offenses and knew when discretion was the better part of valor. They knew when to quit. Now Mahomes simply never has a moment where he HAS to quit on a play because he's a superhero. But that also creates a lot of hits and sacks on him. I don't think Smith will have an easier time of protecting for Mahomes. In fact, in most ways it'll be harder. But ultimately I think he'll just be healthier and that's gonna be a big deal. He's gonna be fine out there. Or he'll be on the bench with Taylor/Morris starting. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">ranking the NFL's best offensive lines:<br><br>1. Eagles<br>2. Lions<br>3. Ravens<br>4. Chiefs<br>5. Browns<br>6. Packers<br>7. Broncos<br>8. Cowboys<br>9. Falcons<br>10. Vikings<br>11. Panthers<br>12. Chargers<br>13. Bengals<br>14. Steelers<br>15. Raiders<br>16. Bears<br>17. 49ers<br>18. Colts<br>19. Texans<br>20. Saints<br>21. Bills<br>22.…</p>— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) <a href="https://twitter.com/SharpFootball/status/1679501997236539392?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 13, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Here are both of <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a>’ new LT Donovan Smith’s 1-on-1 reps v. Charles Omenihu<br><br>Beats CO off the snap by a full second on the 1st clip<br><br>Mirrors up the arc, then engages w/strong hands yo prevent penetration on the 2nd rush attempt. Veteran savvy showing up on these reps <a href="https://t.co/NEusXJbIl1">pic.twitter.com/NEusXJbIl1</a></p>— Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ron_Kopp/status/1685320801174564866?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 29, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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It's going to be glorious watching Mahomes make Smith look better than OBJ.
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This offense is good everywhere and deep as ****
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I think that Smith is going to do just fine this year. He was injured last year and played though it. His play was always fine before and he's what? 30 years old I think? That's not old enough to be declining just yet. He should be a perfect stop gap until Morris is ready to take over
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And I've seen some. |
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I just wanted to point out that I created a heavily downvoted post after we signed Smith in this thread stating he would be a great addition and would be the unquestioned opening day LT.
After this season when we get him signed to another massive deal with some shit team while getting a 3rd round comp pick in the process, I’ll expect an apology from every single downvoter. You know who you are assholes! |
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:doh!: |
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Think I need to wait and see with Smith. My perspective was pretty much he's a downgrade on OBJ BUT he might, if we're lucky, be a better "fit", and that combined with Taylor at RT being an upgrade in pass-pro that results in a better OL overall. I still think it highly unlikely we run the ball better with these OTs, but obvs, it's a lesser concern. If Smith does end up having a season anything like the one the Bucs won the SB, then not only Veach but the whole coaching staff deserves a raise. Because that team's winning the SB.
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I do agree it’s getting old having to find a LT every year, so hopefully they see Morris as the guy for next year and beyond. Give him a year in the program and give him first crack at it next year. |
Im looking forward to being wrong about this signing, I didn't like it but word so far is he is doing great.
If we upgraded both tackle spots, holy shit Mahomes is going to have a career year. |
Between that and all the promise in the WR, RB and TE rooms I really do believe it's more likely than not that Mahomes breaks the yardage record again.
I don't think he'll need 50 touchdowns since the defense should be a lot better than '18 |
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It was really the perfect short term move for the position. |
I'm hearing nice things!!!
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And honestly, while he might be WORSE than Brown as an in-line, power run blocker... Smith is a credible athlete for LT, which might work better for the outside stuff the Chiefs like to do... outside zone, screen game, pulling the T... more mobility there can be really helpful. |
Seems like the T's must be playing well, we haven't really heard much about Karlaftis or any of the DE's...
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I'd still like to add another DE/DL sometime soon
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In all seriousness, I hope the signing turns out well. He had a solid run with Tampa during their 2020 SB run so he can play well. If anyone can get the best out of him, it’s likely to be Reid and Mahomes. |
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What is it with you and the Adam Teicher style posts lately? |
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I liked the signing from the beginning I think.
He's a much better pass blocker than OBJ was. So that's all I really care about. |
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This season is going to be SO MUCH FUN!
I haven't been this excited since before the '18 season. |
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He was surprisingly good yesterday. If this is the guy we're getting, we'll have the best OL in the league.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Here's Donovan Smith catching and throwing Carl Granderson to the ground in pass protection <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a> <br><br>This was a good pocket, Mahomes prematurely scrambled <a href="https://t.co/IchT5rvC4d">pic.twitter.com/IchT5rvC4d</a></p>— Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ron_Kopp/status/1690912608361078784?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 14, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Key in on Left Tackle Donovan Smith here. Backside of zone, he cuts off the B-gap defender well, latches on with power, and finishes through the play with a pancake <a href="https://t.co/6ELvcQWoLz">pic.twitter.com/6ELvcQWoLz</a></p>— Ron Kopp Jr. (@Ron_Kopp) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ron_Kopp/status/1690903509892206592?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 14, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
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Another great outing for him tonight. It's preseason so I only get so hyped from what I'm seeing, but wow if this is what our OL is this year it's the best in football
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