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TinyEvel 03-04-2021 11:06 AM

BORR finally starting to move back up. I read an article that predicted we're going to see a shift from pandemic stocks (zoom, tech, etc) back to "reopening" stocks, i.e. banks, energy travel. I bought UBER back in September and already it's been going up nicely since.

You guys who have CDEV are looking pretty fly.

MTG#10 03-04-2021 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TinyEvel (Post 15571631)
BORR finally starting to move back up. I read an article that predicted we're going to see a shift from pandemic stocks (zoom, tech, etc) back to "reopening" stocks"

That's the reason I dont stress AMC dips and buy more. Even if it doesn't squeeze (has to eventually, numbers dont lie) as theatre openings start increasing the stock will move up at least enough to make a small profit. Yes, it was slowly dying before COVID but people miss going to the movies now. It will profit substantially at the very least for a year or so.

scho63 03-04-2021 12:26 PM

The market will keep bleeding red until you all throw in the towel.

lewdog 03-04-2021 01:15 PM

Nasdaq in official correction territory. Down over 10%.

Mr_Tomahawk 03-04-2021 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15571915)
Nasdaq in official correction territory. Down over 10%.

What does "official correction territory" mean?

Does this have any relevance to timing your investments in our current environment?

MTG#10 03-04-2021 02:46 PM

Market down, GME up is a trend.

scho63 03-04-2021 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15571915)
Nasdaq in official correction territory. Down over 10%.

A lot of NASDAQ high flyers are down 35-40-50% from their recent highs.

What goes way up too quick, must come down too quick.

lewdog 03-04-2021 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk (Post 15572069)
What does "official correction territory" mean?

Does this have any relevance to timing your investments in our current environment?

People here were losing their shit on 2-3% drops, which is really nothing and many times is consolidation on sideways movement.

10% drop has significance and the downward trend is official IMO around this marker.

TinyEvel 03-04-2021 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15572180)
People here were losing their shit on 2-3% drops, which is really nothing and many times is consolidation on sideways movement.

10% drop has significance and the downward trend is official IMO around this marker.

Yeah I'm thinking there will be green days like yesterday but followed by more deeper red. Like one step up, two steps down, for a while.

When there's that much upside in the bull people are taking profits, it's just what happens. Especially with s much uncertainty still around what type of recovery there will be, how long, etc. If millions of people are on limited or no income, it's not like everyone;s gonna be ready to hop on planes and spend money.

Stewie 03-04-2021 05:40 PM

Boy. Powell didn't do the markets any favors with his words today or for the near future.

MTG#10 03-04-2021 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stewie (Post 15572466)
Boy. Powell didn't do the markets any favors with his words today or for the near future.

I'm sure Biden's stimulus blockage didn't help either. If/when we finally get another one the market should perk back up nicely at least for a few days.

eDave 03-04-2021 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TambaBerry (Post 15571138)
20k dogecoin for long-term holding let's go

Mark Cuban’s Mavericks to Accept Dogecoin for Tickets, Merch

Buehler445 03-04-2021 08:34 PM

I dumped Deere this afternoon. Lew was right. I should have put a trailing stop in. I wanted to sell Monday but though hell it’s on a run counter to the market. LET IT ROLL. That was the top.

I really want to tie out their EOP deadlines are to their earnings reports. I have a pretty good handle on the ag market. Turf is pretty flat. Construction is typically pretty stable. I know ****all about forestry, but I think I can capitalize on the flex in the ag sector.

philfree 03-04-2021 09:41 PM

Just hanging on.

Strongside 03-04-2021 10:13 PM

Sad times out here. I’m loading up on Rolls Royce with liquid funds right now. Don’t think it’ll go any lower but will likely rebound heavily in the coming months.

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 04:53 AM

After sleeping on it I'm considering trimming about 10 stonks, locking in losses for tax purposes and rolling into recovery stocks like AAL,CCL. Bottom line is ,whatever your portfolio is worth right now is what its worth so why not make a pivot ,grab a tax break at the same time. Might add some AMC also as even if the squeeze doesn't happen it should still double this year from where its at.

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 05:35 AM

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/dGsqmMcvO1g" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>


This guy talks faster than I can hear. ROFL

lewdog 03-05-2021 07:36 AM

More BLOODBATH!

lewdog 03-05-2021 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15572943)
After sleeping on it I'm considering trimming about 10 stonks, locking in losses for tax purposes and rolling into recovery stocks like AAL,CCL. Bottom line is ,whatever your portfolio is worth right now is what its worth so why not make a pivot ,grab a tax break at the same time. Might add some AMC also as even if the squeeze doesn't happen it should still double this year from where its at.

Panic selling!!!!

trndobrd 03-05-2021 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15572995)
More BLOODBATH!



Time to check the watch list to see what's on sale today.

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 07:49 AM

GTE making a move. Oil stonks?

lewdog 03-05-2021 08:17 AM

Do we get a nice opening bounce followed by more pain to end the day?!

MTG#10 03-05-2021 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15573018)
Do we get a nice opening bounce followed by more pain to end the day?!

Seems suspicious to me. Bull trap.

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 08:35 AM

In profit on BORR.

How long do I let it run?

lewdog 03-05-2021 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTG#10 (Post 15573025)
Seems suspicious to me. Bull trap.

That’s what I’ll speculate too. I’m not dipping my toes back in until clear reversal signs and when I do it will be progressive exposure when opening new positions.

MTG#10 03-05-2021 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTG#10 (Post 15572094)
Market down, GME up is a trend.

And so far, again. This shit makes no sense.

Buehler445 03-05-2021 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties (Post 15573007)
GTE making a move. Oil stonks?

XOM has been doing pretty well for me.

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 09:25 AM

https://media1.tenor.com/images/7ca8...temid=15865449

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 09:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15570604)
Take a look at GGTTF

My only green today . At least for now

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 09:39 AM

Sold 5% of my ARKG and 20% CCIV and put it in AMC, PLTR, GGTTF

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 09:40 AM

Not even looking at this ****ing assbag anymore.

Placed limit sell orders and praying they get filled in the next 60 days.

MTG#10 03-05-2021 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573105)
Sold 5% of my ARKG and 20% CCIV and put it in AMC, PLTR, GGTTF

I bought more 20 more shares of AMC as well. When I'm a multi-millionaire I'm buying the rights to CP from AC and bringing back Hootie and Thig Lyfe.

lewdog 03-05-2021 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties (Post 15573107)
Not even looking at this ****ing assbag anymore.

Placed limit sell orders and praying they get filled in the next 60 days.

I thought these were your stonks?

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 10:03 AM

Go here to see what Cathie is doing

https://cathiesark.com/ark-funds-combined/trades

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties (Post 15573107)
Not even looking at this ****ing assbag anymore.

Placed limit sell orders and praying they get filled in the next 60 days.

LOL, This is called tough Love for the stock trader. Time to shut down any device that lets you peek at your portfolio and get on a boat for a few weeks which I plan to do in May.

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15573137)
I thought these were your stonks?

i pulled back the chart and stonks only go up

however i won't sell anything at a loss - i refuse to do that

and no sell orders on FRX or CCIV - i see long term gain with both

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 10:18 AM

Here you go, follow this guys advice because he's DeadNSyde

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/zdG98Je2JzA" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>

scho63 03-05-2021 10:39 AM

I can see the weak hands starting to get flushed. The correction has a little more downside left.

Called this drop perfectly.

This old dog has seen this too many times before.

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 10:42 AM

Was just watching a youtuber and he brought up a Great point about this dip.

We had a huge correction last year in March. (The Covid crash)

So when that happened there was TONS of investing on that dip.

Now its 365 days later. Investors are taking profit because of the tax implications of holding the stonks for 1 year.

Common sense says there has to be some truth in this.

Strongside 03-05-2021 10:47 AM

If you stand on your head and look at the ticker, everything is fine.

louie aguiar 03-05-2021 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573206)
Was just watching a youtuber and he brought up a Great point about this dip.

We had a huge correction last year in March. (The Covid crash)

So when that happened there was TONS of investing on that dip.

Now its 365 days later. Investors are taking profit because of the tax implications of holding the stonks for 1 year.

Common sense says there has to be some truth in this.

That's a good point. I was actually waiting for a year to pass before selling some of the stocks that I bought in the dip (I purchased many on 3/11). The market bottomed out around March 20th.

Rain Man 03-05-2021 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573206)
Was just watching a youtuber and he brought up a Great point about this dip.

We had a huge correction last year in March. (The Covid crash)

So when that happened there was TONS of investing on that dip.

Now its 365 days later. Investors are taking profit because of the tax implications of holding the stonks for 1 year.

Common sense says there has to be some truth in this.

That's a really good point. Maybe I should buy some more cruise ship stock.

scho63 03-05-2021 11:08 AM

The market will go up a couple days, suck people back in and then one last final flush.

Buehler445 03-05-2021 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573206)
Was just watching a youtuber and he brought up a Great point about this dip.

We had a huge correction last year in March. (The Covid crash)

So when that happened there was TONS of investing on that dip.

Now its 365 days later. Investors are taking profit because of the tax implications of holding the stonks for 1 year.

Common sense says there has to be some truth in this.


I think it’s more than just profit taking. There are some real indicators that aren’t great. Fuel prices unemployment. The treasury bond stuff I posted about a few days ago.

scho63 03-05-2021 11:17 AM

Here is a quick question for the novices: what possible positive news, events or market changing dynamics like a rate drop is on the horizon?

The answer to this will give you your answer to the market direction.

Strongside 03-05-2021 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scho63 (Post 15573245)
Here is a quick question for the novices: what possible positive news, events or market changing dynamics like a rate drop is on the horizon?

The answer to this will give you your answer to the market direction.

I think the only events/market changing dynamics are the eventual reopening of society. People do have money to spend (by and large) and a lot of pent up energy. That, rationally, should be good for the economy/market.

But if there's one thing we've learned over the past year, it's that the market does some funky shit sometimes.

Rain Man 03-05-2021 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Strongside (Post 15573340)
I think the only events/market changing dynamics are the eventual reopening of society. People do have money to spend (by and large) and a lot of pent up energy. That, rationally, should be good for the economy/market.

But if there's one thing we've learned over the past year, it's that the market does some funky shit sometimes.

Yeah, and I feel like that's already priced in on a lot of stuff.

Except the soft drink stocks for some reason. The big ones haven't recovered. I'd read that their business was down due to restaurants selling fewer, but you'd think that they'd bounce back as we get closer to opening. KO and PEP are still down from last March, and Dr. Pepper is down for the year (though up from last March). At my age, I kind of like those stocks in general because I think they (usually) give me a reasonable return with low risk, and that's where I want to be these days.

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scho63 (Post 15573245)
Here is a quick question for the novices: what possible positive news, events or market changing dynamics like a rate drop is on the horizon?

The answer to this will give you your answer to the market direction.

HOW ABOUT THE ECONOMY REOPENING!

RunKC 03-05-2021 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scho63 (Post 15573245)
Here is a quick question for the novices: what possible positive news, events or market changing dynamics like a rate drop is on the horizon?

The answer to this will give you your answer to the market direction.

Stimulus
Positive vaccine news
Economy news on opening back up
Economy actually starting to open back up

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 01:05 PM

CCIV may drop as low as $10 according to Jeremy Lefebvre

eDave 03-05-2021 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573384)
CCIV may drop as low as $10 according to Jeremy Lefebvre

That's way less than $100 as advertised here.

MTG#10 03-05-2021 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573384)
CCIV may drop as low as $10 according to Jeremy Lefebvre

Hope so, then I can average way down and then get rich when they start manufacturing.

MTG#10 03-05-2021 01:24 PM

I'm actually having a really good day. GME up again and I've been buying dips all day averaging down my shitbirds to a level they should actually end up being profitable in the next month.

Hammock Parties 03-05-2021 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573384)
CCIV may drop as low as $10 according to Jeremy Lefebvre

Good. Every hedge fund asshole in America will buy in.

lewdog 03-05-2021 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTG#10 (Post 15573410)
I'm actually having a really good day. GME up again and I've been buying dips all day averaging down my shitbirds to a level they should actually end up being profitable in the next month.

What about your ETFs and quitting this bro?!

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 01:41 PM

AMC interest rate moved to 11.2%

MTG#10 03-05-2021 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15573430)
What about your ETFs and quitting this bro?!

Shut up

ChiliConCarnage 03-05-2021 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 15573370)
Stimulus
Positive vaccine news
Economy news on opening back up
Economy actually starting to open back up

Add a likely Infrastructure bill to follow 1.9 trillion in stimulus
Checking accounts holding double the money than right b4 the pandemic
Economic data already looking better than expected. ISM Manufacturing put up the best number since 2004.

Inflation - we've been looking under every rock & bridge for this thing for a decade. Shit's harder to find than Where's Waldo. Silver prices, Lumber, consumer spending inbound. It's coming. As long as it doesn't run outta control it'll be good.

I can see plenty of good things. Granted, the markets ran a lot already. I've thought a pullback would be good for a while. This hasn't been it. When we were down early today we were all the way back at S&P values from early February LMAO It's hopefully helped reset a bit of the overly speculative trading in certain area's

Mr_Tomahawk 03-05-2021 04:32 PM

Does anyone have any good podcast that they recommend on investing in stocks?

This thread has been helpful, but I was just on the road for 8 hours today and was thinking how a podcast of such would be nice.

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 07:24 PM

What did Kathie buy today........

https://cathiesark.com/arkw/trades

Interesting that she's selling AAPL,AMZN,FB.GOOG

Buying loads of TSLA and ROKU for days

Hog's Gone Fishin 03-05-2021 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr_Tomahawk (Post 15573646)
Does anyone have any good podcast that they recommend on investing in stocks?

This thread has been helpful, but I was just on the road for 8 hours today and was thinking how a podcast of such would be nice.

Uncle Bruce is a great listen. I'm not sure if he's a regular podcast but like today he was on for nearly 8 hours. Former wallstreet broker . Knows it ALL.

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/mtZ1eB8LcQQ" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>

jjchieffan 03-05-2021 11:30 PM

I don't know about you guys, but my portfolio sure took a big swing today. This morning, I was down 10%. Almost everything in my portfolio was red again. But at close, I was up 10%. Most everything was green, and OZSC was up 75%. Nice to see. Hopefully more green days ahead. I've taken a real blood bath the last 3 weeks.

Mr_Tomahawk 03-06-2021 07:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin (Post 15573776)
Uncle Bruce is a great listen. I'm not sure if he's a regular podcast but like today he was on for nearly 8 hours. Former wallstreet broker . Knows it ALL.

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/mtZ1eB8LcQQ" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>


Thank you sir, I’ll check him out!

scho63 03-06-2021 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 15573370)
Stimulus
Positive vaccine news
Economy news on opening back up
Economy actually starting to open back up

You realize these are all already factored in? :doh!:

The market is a LEADING indicators not a lagging.

scho63 03-06-2021 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiliConCarnage (Post 15573484)
Add a likely Infrastructure bill to follow 1.9 trillion in stimulus
ISM Manufacturing put up the best number since 2004.

You sir gave two excellent future looking potentials.

The others are all giving answers baked into the market already.

TinyEvel 03-06-2021 02:45 PM

is there a way to invest in particle board and particle board furniture? that shit is EVERYWHERE.

lewdog 03-06-2021 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TinyEvel (Post 15574290)
is there a way to invest in particle board and particle board furniture? that shit is EVERYWHERE.

Reviewing charts.

One I like is TCS. Container store (which is awesome!)

Might fit your criteria.

Hammock Parties 03-07-2021 01:07 AM

i'm horney!!!

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ev0WNMMW...jpg&name=large

eDave 03-07-2021 01:16 AM

I like that it's here, but Casa Grande? S bound I-10 gonna suck bad in the mornings. My side of town is where heavy traffic alleviates. This will temper that a great deal. Both east and west.

TinyEvel 03-07-2021 09:12 AM

That is a hefty volume goal of 800k cars per year. Tesla delivered 500k in 2020 and that’s the category leader. Lucid starting with a luxury model is the lowest model volume category behind coupes. Gonna be a while before most of this plant is used but if the quality of the cars is there these guys are set up for long term succeeds. Long hold on this stock could be a good play. 25 bucks right now

RunKC 03-07-2021 09:36 AM

I like my stock picks because of their long term potential. They’ll be back.

NIO is the only one in question for me

Buehler445 03-07-2021 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 15575004)
I like my stock picks because of their long term potential. They’ll be back.

NIO is the only one in question for me

What do you have?

I took profits on the ones I felt pretty good about and am left with ones I'm meh on.

In my (basically gambling) account:

I have Disney, which I was pretty high on, until the whole cancel thing reared it's ugly head - knowing my luck as soon as I buy stock, cancel culture will break a company.

I'm up pretty good on Exxon, just looking for a place to get out, I don't think that's a long termer.

NIO - I might hang on to that awhile, it's just one share, but it's been a dog.

RunKC 03-07-2021 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buehler445 (Post 15575010)
What do you have?

Counting my wife’s account, this is what we are invested in:

Apple
Microsoft
Paycom
NIO
Tesla
Roku
Square
Airbnb
Berkshire BRK-B
Appfolio

Buehler445 03-07-2021 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RunKC (Post 15575016)
Counting my wife’s account, this is what we are invested in:

Apple
Microsoft
Paycom
NIO
Tesla
Roku
Square
Airbnb
Berkshire BRK-B
Appfolio

Right on. I’ll look at some of those. Apple and MS have run up so much I’m chicken. I’ll look at some of the others. Thanks!

lewdog 03-07-2021 07:38 PM

I still think that the stimulus passage was already cooked into the current pricing and the bigger issue we see is the run-up on safe yields from treasuries.

Indices are dropping because TNX is rocketing up.

Valuation theory 101. All a stock is worth is its future cash flows discounted to present value. The rate for discounting is set to a 'risk-free rate', which is often set to TNX for convenience. When TNX goes up, valuations go down. It is an exponential relationship, which is why a small move in TNX can crush stocks by a lot because people can park money here risk free.

TNX could still go up to around 2.00, so there is still a lot more room to drop for many stocks based on current pricing.

It's not really a 'dip' if the fundamental valuation for equities has changed.

I still expect a drop this week, although we may have a large 1-2 green days in the mix.

TinyEvel 03-07-2021 08:07 PM

I agree I call it a check Mark day/week. Two steps down one step up.

Hammock Parties 03-07-2021 08:17 PM

TO THE MOON!!!

MTG#10 03-07-2021 08:21 PM

Any doubters changed their tunes on GME yet? As a stock, not a company. Two straight weeks of growth now despite the rest of the market taking a shit.

lewdog 03-07-2021 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hammock Parties (Post 15575511)
TO THE MOON!!!

CCIV touched $20.40 Friday.

Wow!

Hammock Parties 03-07-2021 09:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lewdog (Post 15575519)
CCIV touched $20.40 Friday.

Wow!

it's all profit :evil:


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