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I'm sure the news of Orlando Brown's calf injury 30 minutes before the game has zero impact on the lines...
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Ok, I can't post the link right now because I am on my work computer, but I think Rabblerouser is way off on this line changing stuff. I'd love to see proof if I am wrong. This is all via Oddshark.com. You can go there if you want more detail. I left out dates where the line did not change.
Bovada Opening line 12/26: Chiefs -4.5 12/28: Chiefs -5 12/30: Chiefs -5 12/31: Chiefs -4.5 1/1: Chiefs -4 1/2: Chiefs -4 BetNow Opening line 12/26: Chiefs -4.5 12/26: Chiefs -5 12/27: Chiefs -5.5 12/28: Chiefs -5 12/31: Chiefs -4.5 12/31: Chiefs -4 1/1: Chiefs -3.5 1/2: Chiefs -3.5 BetOnline Opening line 12/26: Chiefs -4.5 12/27: Chiefs -5 12/28: Chiefs -5.5 12/30: Chiefs -5 12/31: Chiefs -4.5 1/1: Chiefs -3.5 1/2: Chiefs -3.5 Clearly, there were no significant jumps in the line, especially on the day of the game. I'd love to know where Rabble is getting his info. /condescendingprickdisabled |
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Okay. This provides some context. The NFL tests refs for covid on Monday. On Tuesday, it was announced that this Torbert guy would not be officiating the game, but on Sunday, out of the blue, he ended up working it anyway. I would think it's fairly likely he tested positive for covid but then was asymptomatic during the week and also got a negative test so was able to work it. I would imagine the other substitutions are covid-related as well. So, at a minimum, if you can provide evidence that the line moved from Monday to Tuesday to Wednesday, that would at least provide some evidence that perhaps someone somewhere believed this to be some nefarious rigging activity and bet on Cincy as a result. But then the guy who was subbed out worked the game anyway!? Maybe he had a change of heart and became more rig-friendly during the week? |
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I don't know how deep it goes. Quote:
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Super Bowl III is interesting, because of the whole merger. And Don Shula (with Earl Morrall) going to the hapless Dolphins, who within 2 years had the NFL's only perfect season. In paradise. And then Super Bowl IV... Donald Dawson ...the cash...Len Dawson getting arrested and basically telling the FBI that it had nothing to do with Vegas and everything to do with establishing the legitimacy of the NFL... The Kansas City Shuffle. How deep DOES it go?? |
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What about your assertion that the line moved right before the game when the replacement ref crew was announced? Can you refute the stuff I posted? |
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And, for the record, I was responding to someone else's comment. I said that they were being logical. I agreed with that person's statement. |
Someone please quote my posts in case Rabble put me on ignore...again.
I'd love to hear his side on this and have him prove me wrong, if possible. |
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And those are Super Bowl champions who also think like I do. Correct. People who have played the game at the highest of levels. |
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Now, I know I'm referring to an NBA ref from 15 years ago, but if that shit goes on in the NBA I don't see how it doesn't in the NFL. I think it's more of an attempt to keep games close or steer them for better matchups/more revenue. I don't think they have a huge conspiracy from one year to the next where they say " Ok this is the Bengals year boys!" People like Brady definitely get preferential calls too. |
I'd say the fact of the NFL being entertainment and not a sport is pretty good proof
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I certainly don't think every game is rigged but football is a business and it's worth so many billions that it isn't left totally up to chance in my opinion. No business this valuable would be.
Before Goodell I think it was pretty clean but since he took over I don't think it is. Kraft got him the job and it just so happens he gets 3 rings immediately and Brady is constantly getting big calls at the right time even after the mass video tape stuff that the league totally covered up. That scandal was massively big and they destroyed the evidence. Brady games have hosed us hard with officiating to say the least. Al Davis sues the other owners the same year as the tuck rule game. It was an obvious fumble to everyone in America. Coincidence? Katrina hit and the Saints win the SB. Is that not odd? LA gets the Rams and then the famous no call PI gets them to the SB. Coincidence? Manning goes to Denver and in his worse season ever gets another ring, then walks away. These are just a few situations that don't compute but there are more shady games. The Bengals game is just like insane. Give me a break with all those game changing flags. One after another and 3 were totally bogus. |
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That's why we lost. ****, quit being a bitch. Stop watching and maybe you and blackops can go off together and make sense of all of this. Bring that 1 guy who thinks the Earth is only 600 years old and figure it all out. |
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This will help us further the debate more than your posting the same links (for the hundredth time) about a handful of random ex-players alledging something with zero proof. |
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There's just so much evidence that points to the league's manipulation during games and absolutely no evidence to refute it. If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck...why would someone assume it's anything BUT a duck? |
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Whatever. I don't need to make anyone believe what others see as blatantly obvious. That was a horseshit travesty on Sunday. You can believe that the officials were that terrible if you want. If league officials and players' accounts aren't enough for you, it's okay. |
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And then cited people who were SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS as backing up your outrageous, evidence-less claims? You're a smart guy, dude. But this is not your best moment. I've wasted enough time playing these games of make-believe with you. Enjoy fantasyland, Peter Pan. |
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Like I said, you don't understand logic. |
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I'm smart enough to know that isn't my bread and butter here and will simply convolute the point. And also, people with more knowledge than me about gambling have addressed the line, and I moved on accordingly |
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If those refs were THAT terrible...how come all the shit calls went to the Bengals' benefit? |
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And it will continue to be, because humans are falliable. Players make numerous mistakes in the course of play, but we expect officials to be perfect. Calls are missed in every game, in every sport, every day. But it's easier to claim the fix is in rather than accept that shit happens and your team lost. |
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Again, happens in every sport. Why does Team A get 6 Power Plays in a hockey game while Team B gets 1? Why does Team A go to the free throw line 26 times in a basketball game while Team B only goes 10? Why are the Raiders the most penalized team in football year after year? Because sometimes, teams are just undisciplined and take stupid/bad penalties. Hell, the officials could have called MORE penalties on KC than they did Sunday, I recall several instances where I told my wife we got away with no calls - DB's holding jerseys and Wylie (I think) absolutely tackling a pass rusher. As much as you don't like it, several of the calls that went against us were the right call - but add the few that were poor calls at inopportune times to the others and you have people like yourself that chalk it up to RIGGED. |
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Like someone mentioned before... in many games, (especially hyped matchups/primtime) the refs provide the rubber band handicap (like racing video games) once a blowout is in order. Watch any game this weekend that starts to get out of hand. Refs will start tossing flags to make the game closer. They want close games and drama, they do not want complete blowouts because it deters viewers.... and what is the big money maker in the NFL???? TV contracts. The Chiefs got some calls in 2019 because it was the greatest story in the NFL. EXACTLY 50 years since the last super bowl... NEW Exciting QB changing the game with no look passes, etc... |
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It's okay, I'll wait here while you call me names and figure it out. |
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It's a convenient slope that "holding like that happens every play" or other vague rationalizations when it comes to letting them play. The 3rd down DPI was the worst of it, IMO, in terms of calling a penalty when there clearly wasn't one, minus not seeing the replays of the dual holding calls. After that, it's just biased reaching to fulfill a theory. And like I've said in this thread already, I really don't know WTF to believe in terms of if and how games are influenced and to what extent. To believe BlackOps is to believe a pretty widespread conspiracy that most likely involves players, if entire weeks of the season are suddenly rigged with upsets. End of the day though, we can guess and debate how deep it goes or if at all, but the NFL certainly doesn't help with the total lack of accountability... and it doesn't even matter to me why games are completely ruined, just that they have been. |
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Do you remember our game last year when we stomped Buffalo in the AFC championship game? Do you remember that a lot of people thought our CBs got too grabby and handsy? Hell, the announcers were saying it I rememeber. I'll bet that over at whatever the Bills version of CP is, those fans were saying that the league wanted us to win and let Badger and everyone else grab and hold as much as they wanted. Meanwhile back over here, we were all celebrating. No thoughts of defense holding and pass interfering. Point is, like I just said call go both ways. We got away with shit in AFC title game, Sunday, we didn't. Refs called it shitty...I'm not disagreeing with you about that. Happens every week. You're asking me about why last week happened? Because the refs had shitty calls. No more, no less. Bigger question is why didn't Spags double Chase? Why didn't we use the 2 high shell defense that teams having been using on us all year long so that we make Cincy go the distance the long way and take away the deep ball. Why didn't Andy let them score at the end so Mahomes could get the ball back? ^^^^These are much better questions as to refs wanting the biggest star in the league to lose^^^^ |
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Regardless, TV contracts are not dependent on viewership of individual games. That's not how it works. |
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8 of those 9 had a winning margin of 17 points or more. |
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On goal line, the offsetting penalties cost Bengals a TD. IF no holding call on Bengals, Mixon would have been given a TD on review. Ball crossed before his elbow hit, you can look it up. So refs not only called a penalty on Bengals they also marked him down short. Neither seem indicative of refs nudging Bengals to win. Boyd had to adjust his helmet after the hands to the face...do you really think if the roles were reversed you wouldn't agree with that penalty if it was on Hill? On Pringles TD...the flag was thrown well before it was obvious he would return for a TD and he was obviously held. The refs had no way to know at that moment of the penalty he would run it back. I thought the unnecessary roughness call on Chase was BS and there was a ticky tack PI that was also, I thought, a bad call. Otherwise it was a pretty typical Bengals game as far as penalties go. We are one of the least penalized teams in the NFL. You guys are passionate fans and hurt by the loss so I am not trying to stir sht up. Just trying to bring some opposite view points. Peace |
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Then there was the inexcusable defensive call we made on that 3rd and 27 play. Just brutal. |
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And when there are obvious calls, like the holding on the kickoff return, it becomes a slope of "that's never called" or "you can call that every play". And if you're part of Bengals Board, tell your mods to lighten up a little and allow other fans... it's more fun that way. :) |
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Here’s a look at who the Bengals will play on the 2022 schedule. Home: PIT BAL CLE BUF MIA ATL CAR KC Away: PIT BAL CLE NE NYJ NO TB TEN DAL |
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Interesting info about the effect of the penalties on the KC/Cin game:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bengals?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bengals</a> gained over 60% Win Probability from penalties in their Week 17 win over the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Chiefs?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Chiefs</a><br><br>It was the 3rd largest WP gained from penalties in any <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NFL?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NFL</a> game this year<br><br>The <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Eagles?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Eagles</a> again overcame a large WP loss from penalties and clinched a spot in the playoffs<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NFLStats?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NFLStats</a> <a href="https://t.co/aGLQU8oUzi">pic.twitter.com/aGLQU8oUzi</a></p>— acCOUNTable refs (@AcCOUNTableRefs) <a href="https://twitter.com/AcCOUNTableRefs/status/1478432910449549315?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 4, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> |
There might have been a few questionable calls, but I'd point to any number of Chase catches (Sorenson blown coverage, the one where he outran literally our entire defense, and 3rd and 27), a dipshit penalty by that other white guy on our roster who I also hate on the kick return TD, Hill's dropped pass before halftime, or just putting up 3 points total in the entire second half before I really get into the officiating.
Plus, why would the NFL want to rig this game for Cinci? What sense does that make? Their market is just as small as KC's. Plus they've been historically bad. No one gives a shit about seeing the Bengals in the postseason. And by hurting us, they help the Titans. Why? Now there's a good shot the AFCCG is played in Nashville. It's a cool party city and decent weekend travel spot for basic chicks, but the football world gives no shits about it. Another AFCCG at Arrowhead would be a lot cooler. |
^ Well there you have it.
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Though if you're inclined to believe, it's interesting that KC/CIN was only 3rd most impactful game of the season regarding penalties. Some here would lead you to believe it was the most egregious match fixing in the history of sport. |
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Next season they'll play because they're both 1st place teams. I'm sure there's some reason for home vs away, but it's not tied to the divisional rotation. |
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The only truly atrocious call was illegal hands to the face on 4th and goal with a tie game and 33 seconds left.
In basketball, you'd say "swallow your whistle." You can't throw that flag. You can't. It's just unacceptable. |
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That shit is on Fenton, not the refs. |
at a minimum / in general, I think games are steered to stay a 1 possession game for as long as possible during the game to peoples eyes stay on the TV and commercials.
I have no idea what the stats of that are; ..but it always seems like margin of victory in most games is like 4 or 10. |
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Do I think the league conspired to get the Chiefs that win? No. But I do think they didn't pull their usual machinations to stop it, either. Remember when Miami beat New England to help secure us a bye? Normally the ref$ would have NEVER allowed the Dolphins to score on that final drive. But during that one game there were no obvious/questionable Brady-saving flags thrown. That just.... never happens. But it did that day. We're a small market team with a limited fanbase. Even having Mahomes can't change that. I don't think the league will ever pull out all the stops to actually help us win like they've done with so many other teams. The best we can hope for is that they call a rare honest game. |
This game mirrors SB LV too much. Not to trigger PTSD( players handled it pretty well)
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RIGGED! |
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Plain as day. |
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Also Chiefs/Broncos was moved to a stand alone Saturday game, Chiefs win Sunday that probably doesn't happen...
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Cost us 7 and a shit ton of momentum. |
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It seems like most fan bases around the league are way too sensitive for that. |
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So far I've learned that if we don't play the perfect game, great game plan, not bad coaching decisions, no blown plays, all the sins committed by the zebras are forgiven.
I'm not lost that we maybe could have overcome the sins of the zebras, but at some point they should be evaluated on their performance outside of the players mistakes. From calling things both ways, to selectively swallowing their whistle, to flat-out just not calling things because "those things happen on every play", at some point there has to be a separation between each group's individual performances. |
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