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CaliforniaChief 12-03-2012 10:34 PM

I just wish that we were the "surprise" team at the Winter Meetings this year. I know, rooting for the Royals precludes that.

Mortgage a few Walmarts for Josh Hamilton.
Trade LoCain and Bonifacio for Dickey. (even without an extension)
Dump Francouer.
Move Myers to Center.

BOOM.

SAUTO 12-03-2012 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 9178529)
I just wish that we were the "surprise" team at the Winter Meetings this year. I know, rooting for the Royals precludes that.

Mortgage a few Walmarts for Josh Hamilton.
Trade LoCain and Bonifacio for Dickey. (even without an extension)
Dump Francouer.
Move Myers to Center.

BOOM.

hell while we are at it why not sign greinke and Sanchez too?

Or even Sanchez
Posted via Mobile Device

CaliforniaChief 12-03-2012 10:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JASONSAUTO (Post 9178539)
hell while we are at it why not sign greinke and Sanchez too?

Or even Sanchez
Posted via Mobile Device

Actually, only the Hamilton deal is over our "soft ceiling."

SAUTO 12-03-2012 10:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 9178545)
Actually, only the Hamilton deal is over our "soft ceiling."

Yeah, but w couldn't easily trade Cain and get rid of Frenchy SMS move Myers to center without signing Hamilton.

But think about what a ****ing splash it would be to sign all three.
Posted via Mobile Device

CaliforniaChief 12-03-2012 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JASONSAUTO (Post 9178562)
Yeah, but w couldn't easily trade Cain and get rid of Frenchy SMS move Myers to center without signing Hamilton.

But think about what a ****ing splash it would be to sign all three.
Posted via Mobile Device

Yeah, Glass has dinner with Mark Cuban and decides to become "that guy."

Royals nation rejoices.

Oh wait, nevermind. We've got HOCHEVAR.

SAUTO 12-03-2012 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaliforniaChief (Post 9178573)
Yeah, Glass has dinner with Mark Cuban and decides to become "that guy."

Royals nation rejoices.

Oh wait, nevermind. We've got HOCHEVAR.

everyone would be going nuts.
Posted via Mobile Device

Deberg_1990 12-04-2012 10:04 AM

and here we go.........Yost believes Hochevar can "turn the corner" ROFL

http://www.kansascity.com/2012/12/03...-can-turn.html



That impact addition the Royals are seeking for their rotation, manager Ned Yost suggests, could already be in hand.

“I look for Luke Hochevar to bounce back,” Yost declared Monday in his news conference at the Winter Meetings. “I really do. I think Luke has great stuff, and I feel good every time he steps on the mound.

“The optimist in me thinks he’s going to have a great year.”
The Royals reinforced their rotation in recent weeks by obtaining Ervin Santana in a trade from the Los Angeles Angels and retaining free-agent Jeremy Guthrie. They continue to push hard on trade possibilities for a front-of-the-rotation addition.

That quest – and a willingness to surrender prospects — is one of the major storylines this week while baseball convenes as an industry
for its annual meetings at the Gaylord Opryland Resort and Convention Center.

“Would I like to have another starting pitcher?” Yost parried. “Would I like to have two more starting pitchers? Sure. I think every major-league manager would … but at what cost?”

Yost is adamant the Royals continue to see Hochevar as a potential cornerstone despite all indications to the contrary through seven professional seasons. Hochevar was 8-16 last season with a 5.73 ERA in 32 starts.

Ask Yost to explain his conviction, and he rapidly ticks off a series of points.
“One, he’s got great stuff,” Yost said. “Two, he’s a great competitor. Three, he’s not afraid …”
Pause.

“You can pinpoint why a guy doesn’t have success more times than not,” Yost said. “You can look at a pitcher and see makeup flaws. Or maybe it’s stuff. Or maybe he doesn’t throw enough strikes. Or maybe the quality of his pitches isn’t really good.
“I don’t see any of that with Hoch.

“I like his pitches. I like the quality of his pitches. I like his stuff. I like the way he competes on the mound. I like his makeup. He’s not scared. He goes right after hitters. He does his homework. The intangibles are there to have success. He just hasn’t had it.”
Hochevar was the first overall pick in the 2006 draft and reached the majors late in the 2007 season. While he has flashed dominant potential on occasion, he is also a combined 38-59 with a 5.39 ERA in 132 career games.

Even so, general manager Dayton Moore said the club never considered non-tendering Hochevar prior to last Friday’s deadline, which means the Royals are probably looking at, roughly, a $4.4 million outlay for next season.

Yost acknowledged Hochevar’s lack of success is puzzling.
“I’ve never really had a player,” he said, “who I couldn’t figure out why he hasn’t been successful. Again, you can, generally, identify one thing for why a player isn’t successful With Hoch, I can’t.

“I think, at the blink of an eye, it can turn around for him. I just think it’s a matter of time before he is successful. I think this year, with the addition of Santana and having Guthrie from the beginning of the year, I think it’s really going to help Hoch.”

BlackHelicopters 12-04-2012 10:08 AM

"It can turn around in the blink of eye." Like to thank my father for raising me a Royals fan.

Reaper16 12-04-2012 10:10 AM

Q

Deberg_1990 12-04-2012 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Al Bundy (Post 9178470)
Well... I think I am done with the Royals.

Same......i already said this past season if he was back, then im done. Well, im gonna hold up my end. This was the final straw for me.

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 (Post 9179578)
I think, at the blink of an eye, it can turn around for him

Obviously "blink of an eye" means year 6 of the abortion.

Think about this... we're going to be in Luke's 6th year of total sucktitude. It reminds me why this organization has sucked for SO ****ING LONG.

Jenson71 12-04-2012 10:20 AM

Anyone see what Ned Yost said about Hoch?

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Literature (Post 9179630)
Anyone see what Ned Yost said about Hoch?

nope, could you please post a link? Or post what was said into the thread. I think we need to go over it, since this hasn't happened yet.

Deberg_1990 12-04-2012 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deberg_1990 (Post 9179578)
“You can pinpoint why a guy doesn’t have success more times than not,” Yost said. “You can look at a pitcher and see makeup flaws. Or maybe it’s stuff. Or maybe he doesn’t throw enough strikes. Or maybe the quality of his pitches isn’t really good.
“I don’t see any of that with Hoch.

Our manager really said that....incredible. :facepalm:

There is no hope for this franchise.

KevB 12-04-2012 10:23 AM

Can someone post the Hochever article? I haven't had a chance to read it.

Meanwhile, the Nats just signed Dan Haren for 1 year/$13M (he also got $3.5M from Angels buyout). $16.5M for a down year and a bad back? Nicely done Dan. And the Nats move right back to the top of the National League with that staff. THAT's how you build a rotation. Three draft picks (Stras, Zimmerman, Detwiler), traded prospects for another stud (Gio) and signed a vet to fill things out. Impressive.

Deberg_1990 12-04-2012 10:24 AM

Rany says it best...he cant pitch with runners on base.

http://www.ranyontheroyals.com/

Luke Hochevar, bases empty: .252/.313/.425Luke Hochevar, men on base: .304/.372/.480Luke Hochevar, runners in scoring position: .315/.388/.504

Any questions?)

DJ's left nut 12-04-2012 10:26 AM

They also made a damn good move to get Denard Span, which shores up their only major weakness (CF defense and leadoff).

They'll be able to move Werth to the 2 hole or maybe the 6 hole now with Span leading off and playing GG defense in center.

That team is going to be really really freakin' good.

KevB 12-04-2012 10:27 AM

Credit to Rany's blog for this one :

Luke Hochevar, bases empty: .252/.313/.425
Luke Hochevar, men on base: .304/.372/.480
Luke Hochevar, runners in scoring position: .315/.388/.504

Gee, what could his problems be? I'm having a devil of a time figuring out this Gordian Knot.....

KevB 12-04-2012 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179642)
They also made a damn good move to get Denard Span, which shores up their only major weakness (CF defense and leadoff).

They'll be able to move Werth to the 2 hole or maybe the 6 hole now with Span leading off and playing GG defense in center.

That team is going to be really really freakin' good.

And if they re-sign LaRoche, they'll have Morse as trade bait to upgrade elsewhere.

DJ's left nut 12-04-2012 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9179647)
Credit to Rany's blog for this one :

Luke Hochevar, bases empty: .252/.313/.425
Luke Hochevar, men on base: .304/.372/.480
Luke Hochevar, runners in scoring position: .315/.388/.504

Gee, what could his problems be? I'm having a devil of a time figuring out this Gordian Knot.....

To be fair, a .738 OPS against with the bases empty is pretty shitty in its own right.

Matt Morris had issues like this towards the end of his time with the Cardinals. It seemed like his stuff really diminished when he pitched from the stretch. The Cardinals still refused to keep him in the windup with men on, though.

There's a good chance that his shoulder was just hamburger already, but you couldn't miss the fact that he was still throwing 94 from the windup. Maybe it wouldn't have made a difference, but I sure would've liked to have seen them try.

With Hoch, what the hell could it hurt? Though, like I said, getting a pitcher w/ a .738 OPSA for your troubles that now can't hold baserunners isn't exactly a bangup resolution either.

BlackHelicopters 12-04-2012 10:40 AM

Can't believe this came out of Ned's mouth. Does Ned drink?

KevB 12-04-2012 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179656)
To be fair, a .738 OPS against with the bases empty is pretty shitty in its own right.

Matt Morris had issues like this towards the end of his time with the Cardinals. It seemed like his stuff really diminished when he pitched from the stretch. The Cardinals still refused to keep him in the windup with men on, though.

There's a good chance that his shoulder was just hamburger already, but you couldn't miss the fact that he was still throwing 94 from the windup. Maybe it wouldn't have made a difference, but I sure would've liked to have seen them try.

With Hoch, what the hell could it hurt? Though, like I said, getting a pitcher w/ a .738 OPSA for your troubles that now can't hold baserunners isn't exactly a bangup resolution either.

Absolutely, he's not a good pitcher regardless how you slice the data. But for a team that's been criticized for refusing to embrace the sabermetric side of the game to say they just don't understand what the problems are, with this data staring them in the face, is demoralizing.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 10:41 AM

Rany makes an incredibly compelling case for R.A. Dickey in today's post.

I wonder how much the Mets really want... It seems like the Royals CAN do that deal for something that doesn't include Wil Myers or Sal Perez (obvious deal breakers).

Cain + Ventura + Jason Adam?

petegz28 12-04-2012 10:55 AM

Ned Yost:
Quote:

I think Luke has great stuff, and I feel good every time he steps on the mound.

Every baseball team the Royals face:
Quote:

So do we!

DJ's left nut 12-04-2012 10:56 AM

If Cain stays healthy, he's due a breakout this year, IMO.

He showed surprising power even after the leg injury that could've really robbed him of his base.

You give him 600 ABs, you could potentially have a 20/20 player on your hands. Granted, a ton would have to break right for that to happen and he'd certainly need to continue to work on his strike zone judgment, but it's not impossible.

You guys will really regret Myers in CF, IMO. You cannot cut corners on your defense up the middle. I guess you also have that banjo hitter off the bench you could run out there, but man are you really eager to give that guy 500+ ABs?

I'd still rather give up Colon. Cain could be a very valuable weapon for the Royals, both offensively and defensively.

ChiTown 12-04-2012 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179656)
To be fair, a .738 OPS against with the bases empty is pretty shitty in its own right.

Matt Morris had issues like this towards the end of his time with the Cardinals. It seemed like his stuff really diminished when he pitched from the stretch. The Cardinals still refused to keep him in the windup with men on, though.

There's a good chance that his shoulder was just hamburger already, but you couldn't miss the fact that he was still throwing 94 from the windup. Maybe it wouldn't have made a difference, but I sure would've liked to have seen them try.

With Hoch, what the hell could it hurt? Though, like I said, getting a pitcher w/ a .738 OPSA for your troubles that now can't hold baserunners isn't exactly a bangup resolution either.

You have to remember, you are dealing with a GM who doesn't give a shit nor does he have any idea how to evaluate talent through the usage of Sabermetrics. Dayton Moore is an absolute ****ing "moran"

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179727)
If Cain stays healthy, he's due a breakout this year, IMO.

He showed surprising power even after the leg injury that could've really robbed him of his base.

You give him 600 ABs, you could potentially have a 20/20 player on your hands. Granted, a ton would have to break right for that to happen and he'd certainly need to continue to work on his strike zone judgment, but it's not impossible.

You guys will really regret Myers in CF, IMO. You cannot cut corners on your defense up the middle. I guess you also have that banjo hitter off the bench you could run out there, but man are you really eager to give that guy 500+ ABs?

I'd still rather give up Colon. Cain could be a very valuable weapon for the Royals, both offensively and defensively.

Agreed.

I would much rather convince the Mets to take Colon instead of Cain, but I'm not sure that works.

They would need to work out some sort of Dyson platoon in Centerfield, possibly with Myers getting some time there in road stadiums. I can't imagine Myers being worse than Melky Cabrera was there a few years ago (not sure defensive metrics would back that up, but I thought Cabrera was a really range-lacking CF).

Giving up Cain would hurt, but I could live with it if you're getting Dickey back (especially because you can likely extend him to a Jeremy Guthrie-esque contract).

Lex Luthor 12-04-2012 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179727)
I'd still rather give up Colon. Cain could be a very valuable weapon for the Royals, both offensively and defensively.

I think everyone would agree with that. However, I doubt Colon has much trade value.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 11:08 AM

DJ - I think Colon is in Zach Cox territory at this point. He has a LITTLE more value because of his defensive position (passable SS, above-average 2B), but his bat has been a major disappointment.

He showed some positive signs towards the end of 2011 before getting hurt, but not enough to rebuild much value.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 11:12 AM

Apparently, the Mets ALSO are looking for bullpen help. That is a bonus for KC.

It seems like Crow is someone the Royals are willing to move, and maybe that makes the package you send to the Mets a little less painful.

Hell, if it takes Holland, that's OK, too.

ChiTown 12-04-2012 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9179776)
Apparently, the Mets ALSO are looking for bullpen help. That is a bonus for KC.

It seems like Crow is someone the Royals are willing to move, and maybe that makes the package you send to the Mets a little less painful.

Hell, if it takes Holland, that's OK, too.

For the right guy, everyone from our bullpen should available

alnorth 12-04-2012 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179727)
I'd still rather give up Colon. Cain could be a very valuable weapon for the Royals, both offensively and defensively.

I think everybody would. Colon isn't nearly valuable enough to get the deal done.

A deal would probably revolve around Cain, and unless the Mets are putting up a smoke screen about preferring to extend if their high price isn't met, I'm not sure that Cain would do it. If the Mets don't budge from Myers or Perez, a trade wont happen.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiTown (Post 9179790)
For the right guy, everyone from our bullpen should available

Yeah, 4 years of Crow or Holland or 5 years of Herrera is a pretty valuable piece. It also seems like folks in the northeast value closers quite a bit more (maybe because of the media scrutiny?)

Probably not the centerpiece of a deal for Dickey, but it might be a useful chip in putting the Royals over the top.

DJ's left nut 12-04-2012 11:25 AM

Fair enough, I hadn't followed Colon as closely as you guys have. As far as I knew, you were still seeing him as your 2b of the future and potential #2 hitter.

I do kinda question the concerns about his offense, though. He still clearly has plus bat control; he doesn't K much at all and generally walks about as often as he Ks.

He could use a little more power, but 10 HRs from a MI isn't bad. The real knock appears to be his 2011 season where he put up a pretty miserable line...but was it really? Normalize his BABIP (I tend to use .305 for speedy hitters) and you end up with 141 hits on the season, good for a .287 BA (and a commensurate uptick in OBP getting him up into the .360 range; very good for a non-power hitter). That was at 22 yrs old and in his first trip around AA. Then he proceeded to do almost exactly that in 2012 in his time at AA. That suggests his 'true' performance level is probably right about there.

So if you're getting a .290 hitter (w/ a .350 OBP) with plus bat control and SS range at 2b, aren't you doing pretty well for yourself?

I dunno that I'd say he's Cox. Cox didn't have a defensive position and ultimately just wasn't showing any real useful skill at the major league level. You could argue, however, that Colon is showing a little of what we saw in Matt Carpenter in the minors. I tell ya, if Carpenter had Colon's ability to play the middle infield, he'd have been a cinch starter.

I think the Royals should be able to sell Colon higher than you're suggesting.

gblowfish 12-04-2012 11:28 AM

Send the Mets Ed Hearn back.

Seriously, Sal Perez is untouchable. That kid is going to be a multiple year all star. He's Sandy Alomar Jr. and Pudge Rodriquez rolled into one. He makes our pitching staff much better, because he calls a good game and nobody runs on him. Being strong up the middle is key. Perez, Esky, Cain. Now we need a second baseman and we're set.

RockChalk 12-04-2012 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gblowfish (Post 9179834)
Perez, Esky, Cain. Now we need a second baseman and we're set.

Don't worry! We re-signed Getz, so we're all set!

CaliforniaChief 12-04-2012 11:34 AM

Would you require a 2 year extension in order to do the deal, or would you just take him this year and roll the dice? (Dickey, that is).

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179823)
Fair enough, I hadn't followed Colon as closely as you guys have. As far as I knew, you were still seeing him as your 2b of the future and potential #2 hitter.

I do kinda question the concerns about his offense, though. He still clearly has plus bat control; he doesn't K much at all and generally walks about as often as he Ks.

He could use a little more power, but 10 HRs from a MI isn't bad. The real knock appears to be his 2011 season where he put up a pretty miserable line...but was it really? Normalize his BABIP (I tend to use .305 for speedy hitters) and you end up with 141 hits on the season, good for a .287 BA (and a commensurate uptick in OBP getting him up into the .360 range; very good for a non-power hitter). That was at 22 yrs old and in his first trip around AA. Then he proceeded to do almost exactly that in 2012 in his time at AA. That suggests his 'true' performance level is probably right about there.

So if you're getting a .290 hitter (w/ a .350 OBP) with plus bat control and SS range at 2b, aren't you doing pretty well for yourself?

I dunno that I'd say he's Cox. Cox didn't have a defensive position and ultimately just wasn't showing any real useful skill at the major league level. You could argue, however, that Colon is showing a little of what we saw in Matt Carpenter in the minors. I tell ya, if Carpenter had Colon's ability to play the middle infield, he'd have been a cinch starter.

I think the Royals should be able to sell Colon higher than you're suggesting.

Nice to get an outside perspective on Colon.

Part of the deal with Colon is that he was so meh/average offensively at Northwest Arkansas, which typically is a place where guys put up monster numbers (though that's more true for lefties than righties).

He's a 2B option, but I don't know that Royals fans consider Colon the answer at 2B that he was after being drafted.

The Mets also have a pretty bright young 2B prospect in Jordany Valdespin, too, who I'd rank above Colon. So unless the Mets buy Colon at SS, I'm not sure he's an attractive piece to them.

alnorth 12-04-2012 11:40 AM

The Texas League is not a pitcher's league. Advanced-A Wilmington is rough for hitters, but offense heats up in AA and AAA. Someone who projects out to be a decent hitter in the majors should be OPS'ing above .800 in AA, preferably above .850. (Wil Myers hit above 1.100, so he might be an All-Star)

alnorth 12-04-2012 12:11 PM

Mets are still pushing us to give up Myers. They have got to come down from that, Myers for 1 year of Dickey (who knows if he'd agree to extend) is not going to happen.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9179971)
Mets are still pushing us to give up Myers. They have got to come down from that, Myers for 1 year of Dickey (who knows if he'd agree to extend) is not going to happen.

Yeah, the Mets are crazy if they think that's a realistic option.

Especially when Myers for Shields or Myers for Hellickson + are on the table.

I doubt anyone offers them more than:

Cain + Crow + Ventura.

Which I'd do, gladly, if you feel like you can extend Dickey for 2-3 more years (Age doesn't matter to a knuckleball guy).

SAUTO 12-04-2012 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9179971)
Mets are still pushing us to give up Myers. They have got to come down from that, Myers for 1 year of Dickey (who knows if he'd agree to extend) is not going to happen.

**** them.

Codered 12-04-2012 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9179971)
Mets are still pushing us to give up Myers. They have got to come down from that, Myers for 1 year of Dickey (who knows if he'd agree to extend) is not going to happen.

No thanks ...

Saul Good 12-04-2012 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut (Post 9179727)
If Cain stays healthy, he's due a breakout this year, IMO.

He showed surprising power even after the leg injury that could've really robbed him of his base.

You give him 600 ABs, you could potentially have a 20/20 player on your hands. Granted, a ton would have to break right for that to happen and he'd certainly need to continue to work on his strike zone judgment, but it's not impossible.

You guys will really regret Myers in CF, IMO. You cannot cut corners on your defense up the middle. I guess you also have that banjo hitter off the bench you could run out there, but man are you really eager to give that guy 500+ ABs?

I'd still rather give up Colon. Cain could be a very valuable weapon for the Royals, both offensively and defensively.

I'd be very willing to move Cain. I just don't think he will ever be healthy enough to play every day.

BlackHelicopters 12-04-2012 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9179971)
Mets are still pushing us to give up Myers. They have got to come down from that, Myers for 1 year of Dickey (who knows if he'd agree to extend) is not going to happen.

Push away Mets. This won't happen.

KevB 12-04-2012 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by theelusiveeightrop (Post 9180055)
Push away Mets. This won't happen.

It better not, but as a GM starts to really feel the heat to win now, strange trades occur.

BlackHelicopters 12-04-2012 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9180079)
It better not, but as a GM starts to really feel the heat to win now, strange trades occur.

Even GMDM can't be this mind numbingly stupid. Wait, Hochevar is still part of the team? Never mind.

alnorth 12-04-2012 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9180079)
It better not, but as a GM starts to really feel the heat to win now, strange trades occur.

I don't think his seat is nearly hot enough yet for him to lose his mind. If this were December 2014 and we just had a disappointing 2013 and a .500 2014, then I might be worried about him selling off the future to win because his job may be in danger if we haven't won after 2015.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saul Good (Post 9180028)
I'd be very willing to move Cain. I just don't think he will ever be healthy enough to play every day.

I think Cain's "fragility" is vastly overstated, based on this season.

It's not like the guy has a career plagued with injury issues. His minor league career will show you only one season in which Cain was injured for an extended period (2009).

Perceived injury problems with Cain due to this season's leg issue would be similar to deciding Matt Kemp is injury prone after dealing with the same issue.

Leg injuries suck, mainly because they are so unpredictable - and so easy to re-aggravate.

DeezNutz 12-04-2012 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9180117)
I don't think his seat is nearly hot enough yet for him to lose his mind. If this were December 2014 and we just had a disappointing 2013 and a .500 2014, then I might be worried about him selling off the future to win because his job may be in danger if we haven't won after 2015.

If DM is allowed to shit himself for two additional seasons, given that he's already changed pants numerous times, its' yet further proof that winning is tertiary, at best, for the Glass family.

alnorth 12-04-2012 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9180268)
If DM is allowed to shit himself for two additional seasons, given that he's already changed pants numerous times, its' yet further proof that winning is tertiary, at best, for the Glass family.

I fundamentally disagree with this sentiment. (that 2013 ought to be a must-win, punishable by firing)

We began with completely nothing and a barren minor league system. Unless you have a payroll well north of $100MM, it takes a while to build from scratch. Almost every milestone of progress we were told to expect in the minor leagues and the performance of our hitters has occured and in some instances surpassed (the so-called best farm in recent baseball history), buying him more time. Our minor league pitchers failed (TINSTAAPP), but we're apparently going to patch that over with free agents.

He's probably bought himself a good 2-3 years of rope to hang himself with at this point.

Mr. Laz 12-04-2012 01:44 PM

imo if the Royals really want to win then they should trade for a starter and sign a starter in FA.

Glass should feel it the time to 'buy' some pitching

if they REALLY want to make a statement then they should just buy 2 new stud starters in FA.

Mr. Laz 12-04-2012 01:44 PM

imo if the Royals really want to win then they should trade for a starter and sign a starter in FA.

Glass should feel it the time to 'buy' some pitching

Nightfyre 12-04-2012 01:45 PM

If we are dealing Myers, it had better be for someone along the lines of Price. Even if we have to throw in a couple ancillery pieces.

DeezNutz 12-04-2012 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9180284)
I fundamentally disagree with this sentiment. (that 2013 ought to be a must-win, punishable by firing)

We began with completely nothing and a barren minor league system. Unless you have a payroll well north of $100MM, it takes a while to build from scratch. Almost every milestone of progress we were told to expect in the minor leagues and the performance of our hitters has occured and in some instances surpassed (the so-called best farm in recent baseball history), buying him more time. Our minor league pitchers failed (TINSTAAPP), but we're apparently going to patch that over with free agents.

He's probably bought himself a good 2-3 years of rope to hang himself with at this point.

DM said himself, initially that is, that a championship organization could be built in six years. Then, when things were going to shit last year, he rolled out the 2014 contingency.

To this point, "the greatest farm system" has netted zero results. None. Just a pile of hope slightly shorter than the pile of shit that most deposit every morning.

And now he's earned 2-3 more years? Because he re-signed Guthrie? Acquired a decent lottery ticket in Santana? Continued with Hochevar?

Sorry, this is simply wrong. If the team goes on another 90-loss bender in '13, DM more than deserves to be fired. It's results or get the **** out time in KC.

alnorth 12-04-2012 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9180310)
To this point, "the greatest farm system" has netted zero results. None. Just a pile of hope slightly shorter than the pile of shit that most deposit every morning.

Well, that is a lot of hyperbole.

DeezNutz 12-04-2012 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth (Post 9180333)
Well, that is a lot of hyperbole.

To make a sincere and valid point: What has DM accomplished at the ML level? To this point, the answer is precious little.

Yet we're lengthening the leash? Royals fans are all too willing to limit the amount of accountability for the team and its leaders.

sedated 12-04-2012 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9180310)
Sorry, this is simply wrong. If the team goes on another 90-loss bender in '13, DM more than deserves to be fired. It's results or get the **** out time in KC.

I don’t disagree that DM has made some stupid decisions in his time here, but I put 90% of the blame on Glass. Don’t you think that if DM wanted to raise payroll to $85 million and sign a pitcher that he would? The shackles that Glass has put on the team would be too much for many GMs to overcome.

CaliforniaChief 12-04-2012 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nightfyre (Post 9180308)
If we are dealing Myers, it had better be for someone along the lines of Price. Even if we have to throw in a couple ancillery pieces.

Agreed. I'll give up a lot for Dickey...

But Myers? No. I want Price, Matt Moore or King Felix. Period.

I still want Josh Hamilton. Give up Cain and prospects for Dickey, move Myers to Center, Hamilton to right. What a killer lineup THAT would be.

Mr. Laz 12-04-2012 02:08 PM

Underrated, Value pitching FA's

1. Brandon McCarthy

The last time baseball fans saw McCarthy on the mound, he was struck by a line drive—an extremely scary moment for everybody involved. Thankfully, he was recently cleared for baseball activity and should be ready for roll for 2013.

McCarthy has been widely overlooked for quite some time because today's stat-centric baseball world loves pitchers who strike out a lot of batters, which he doesn't do. Yet he's posted an ERA below 3.35 for two straight seasons.

The 29-year-old starter relies on terrific control (less than two walks per nine innings) and good pitch variation to keep hitters off-balance. As long as he remains healthy, he's the perfect target for a team looking to fill a No. 3 spot in its rotation.

2. Shaun Marcum

Marcum is a high-upside target who also presents some risk. He has only topped the 200-inning mark once during his career and is coming off a season in which he made just 21 starts. Giving him a contract would be based on the hope he can stay healthy.

That said, a quick look at his numbers will show why he's worth taking a chance on. The right-hander has not posted an ERA above 3.70 since becoming a full-time starter in 2008. Just as impressive, his strikeout rate was nearly eight batters per nine last season.

He finished the season healthy and should enter spring training in good shape after having the winter to rest any lingering issues. If he goes on to make a full complement of starts next season, he will be viewed as a major free-agent steal.

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images
3. Carlos Villanueva

Villanueva is another interesting case. He has never made more than 16 starts in a season. Instead, he's been used mostly as a swingman between the rotation and bullpen over the past few seasons. But now he wants a guaranteed spot in the rotation, according to Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.

Judging by his performance during July and August last season for the Toronto Blue Jays, it's an agreement teams will probably be willing to make. He was Toronto's best pitcher over that span, including a 4-0 record with a 1.93 ERA in July.

The biggest concern is control (3.3 walks per nine), but every pitcher outside the top tier is going to have at least one flaw. Given his high strikeout rate and periods of dominance last season, he'll be a tremendous rotation filler for next season.

CaliforniaChief 12-04-2012 02:12 PM

Either Marcum/McCarthy would fit nicely, IMO. But they aren't the ace guy that Sanchez, Dickey, or Price/Moore would be in a Myers deal.

Jenson71 12-04-2012 02:14 PM

If we just get one more pitcher, I will go down for spring training. (some of it).

Prison Bitch 12-04-2012 02:16 PM

Why would the Royals trade anyone? They have too many holes. Plugging one hole by opening another is senseless.


Myers should start day 1 in RF and play the whole way thru. Frenchy can get some spare AB here and there vs LH. No pt getting a few extra WAR by sacrificing a possible Dale Murphy. And trading Butler only adds a DH hole

CaliforniaChief 12-04-2012 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch (Post 9180406)
Why would the Royals trade anyone? They have too many holes. Plugging one hole by opening another is senseless.


Myers should start day 1 in RF and play the whole way thru. Frenchy can get some spare AB here and there vs LH. No pt getting a few extra WAR by sacrificing a possible Dale Murphy. And trading Butler only adds a DH hole

You can buy a serviceable DH for a pretty low price, comparative to the cost of pitching. If you can leverage a DH/hitter for premium pitching, you do it.

Hell, the Giants won the World Series with Gregor Blanco, Brandon Belt, and Marco Scutaro.

DeezNutz 12-04-2012 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sedated (Post 9180356)
I don’t disagree that DM has made some stupid decisions in his time here, but I put 90% of the blame on Glass. Don’t you think that if DM wanted to raise payroll to $85 million and sign a pitcher that he would? The shackles that Glass has put on the team would be too much for many GMs to overcome.

KC, under Glass ownership, could well be an untenable situation for all but the most brilliant GMs. No doubt. There is no real arguing your point.

That said, DM also foolishly spends the resources that he has been allotted. Look no further than Luke Hochevar and a completely wasted 4-5 million dollars. If this were an isolated incident with Moore, no one would care, but this is a pattern.

DM is habitually incompetent, and I'm astounding that some are willing to give him up to nine years without any viable on-field results.

But I guess if we can continue to win Baseball Prospectus Championships, we should be satisfied.

SAUTO 12-04-2012 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Literature (Post 9180399)
If we just get one more pitcher, I will go down for spring training. (some of it).

on who? and where does the line start?

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sedated (Post 9180356)
I don’t disagree that DM has made some stupid decisions in his time here, but I put 90% of the blame on Glass. Don’t you think that if DM wanted to raise payroll to $85 million and sign a pitcher that he would? The shackles that Glass has put on the team would be too much for many GMs to overcome.

I can't agree with this. DM has done some incredibly stupid things with our ML Squad.

Spending good chunks of that limited payroll on guys like Getz, Hochevar, Bruce Chen, Jeff Francouer that can EASILY be replaced by AAA players at a fraction of the cost. That's $16 mil tied up in absolute garbage. 2 of those could have been cut this offseason without losing a penny, freeing up money, but was not done.

2012 it was $19 mil on Francoeur, Chen, Hoch, Betancourt, Quintero and Getz. Garbage. That was 33% of the payroll in guys that everyone knows suck and are wastes of money and roster spots. This doesn't include the $12 mil wastes that were Soria and Sanchez (not GMDM's fault).

The year before that it was Kendall, Davies, Francoeur, Chen, Hoch, and Francis. Those guys comprised of 40% of the payroll.

Its sunk cost after sunk cost.

Haven't even started on his trade history... that is another argument, which he's even a worse overall track record.

He is a very poor GM. Very poor.

CoMoChief 12-04-2012 02:31 PM

Dealing Myers would be ****ing stupid on all levels.

The Royals aren't on the brink from winning a WS. We currently have Jeff Franceour in the god damn outfield.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 03:01 PM

My leash on Moore is near its end. I don't know that it's quite all the way there, but it's damn close.

I've been saying for a while... this offseason is the barometer. The moves Moore makes in this position ultimately decide his fate, in my mind. KC had better be +.500 and in the thick of for him to make it to next year, IMO. And it had better make the playoffs the following year.

I think Moore's trade history takes an unwarranted beating, and he has done well when trading an actual, valuable piece. When the worst you can point to is a reliever for Mike Jacobs or David DeJesus for Mazzero and Marks, meh.

And hindsight makes a lot of contracts look foolish.

Bringing back Hochevar last year, for example. His second half of 2011 was encouraging and carried a lot of nice indicators that he had made REAL changes to his approach as a pitcher. In hindsight, it was fool's gold. But at the time, offering him arb was the best move.

Dayton's love of Jeff Francoeur is frustrating, but the two year deal he was signed to did not look AWFUL at the time. The Royals had a big hole in RF, and Myers was coming off of a season that made him look like a potential bust. The original one-year deal was a brilliant flyer. The second deal was below market value, and even if Francoeur regressed to usual level, he still would be a decent value at that price (.260/20/70/10 on the open market for $6.5 million). Of course, he was worse than he'd ever been before.

Yes, money could have been saved at 2B, UTIL, backup C, last year. But you have to pay the reserves SOMETHING (And you're talking about $4 million vs. $3 million, most likely).

What I wouldn't argue with at all, though, is that Moore is entirely too loyal and trusting of "the scout's view." That's why they stuck with Davies so long, why Hochevar is still around, etc. All GMs make mistakes. Dayton Moore certainly has. It's how they respond and recover from mistakes that makes the difference and separates the wheat from the chaff.

cabletech94 12-04-2012 03:04 PM

Billy Butler named edgar martinez (best DH) award winner per 610 sports.

My bad if Q

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by duncan_idaho (Post 9180556)

Dayton's love of Jeff Francoeur is frustrating, but the two year deal he was signed to did not look AWFUL at the time.
.

Like hell it didn't! I don't know of any sane Royals fan that wasn't absoutely shocked with that deal... We all knew at the time Frenchy just had the year of his career, and it was still simply "above average" at the plate (but very good in the outfield). You don't throw that much money at an obvious aberration. The contract was appalling at the time.

As far as trades:

JP Howell for Gathright. "wtf?"

MacDougal for Lumsden and Cortes... still never understood why that was done.

Ordalis Perez trade.

Jeremy Affeldt and Denny Bautista for Shealy and Dohman... JESUS CHRIST

Keppinger for Haltiwanger

Nunez for Jacobs - that was another where everyone but Dayton saw Jacobs for what he was.

Octavio Dotel for Kyle Davies

Betancourt - Nuff said

Alberto Callaspo for nothing

DeJesus for Mazarro\Marks

Teahen who everyone loved for Getz, who everyone hates. Good one.

Betemit for 2 nothings

Aviles for 2 nothings

Cabrera for Verdugo (just designated for assignment) and Sanchez... I liked the trade at the time. But it still ended Horrrrrible for the R's.


Let's list the trades that have worked out for the R's.

Billy Buckner for Alberto Callaspo. That worked out okay, we got a cup of coffee use out of Callaspo as a utility player, but gave up a good prospect at the time for him... we didn't get fleeced so... I guess? But he ruined it by turning around and shipping Callaspo off for nothing.

Jorge de la rosa for Ramon Ramirez.. then flipped Ramirez a year later for Coco. Not bad for either team.

Farnsworth and Ankiel for Tim Collins. We gave up a productive Reliever and a half-way decent bench player for a Reliever prospect. We had no idea he was going to be this good, but it has definitely worked out well. Unfortunately, we simply got a reliever out of this.

$$$ for Felipe Paulino. Great find... the guy has shown promise off the scrp heap if he can be healthy. unfortunately, he's only done it for small portions within two seasons. I love Felipe and hope he works out.

Zack Greinke and Yuni for Escobar, Jeffress, Cain and Odorizzi. Jeffress is gone, jury is out on Cain, Escobar is our every day SS and We have a pitching prospect that the jury is out on. At this point we basically gave up the Cy Young award winner for our SS.. I "like" the deal, but I'm not enamoured with it like a lot of people were. But it blows away all of Dayton's other moves, without a doubt. He got a good young major league player that is producing for us RIGHT NOW. It just took him 50 trades and a Cy Young piece to get it right.

Yes I'm embelishing some, but only some...

KevB 12-04-2012 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNutz (Post 9180355)
To make a sincere and valid point: What has DM accomplished at the ML level? To this point, the answer is precious little.

Yet we're lengthening the leash? Royals fans are all too willing to limit the amount of accountability for the team and its leaders.

Not that I want to take a position of support for GMDM, as I'm where duncan is in terms of my level of support for the guy......but we do have long term answers at SS and C. We haven't had that in years. He was part of the group that made the decision to move Gordon to the OF, where he's become a borderline All-Star. He's almost always put together a good to very good bullpen. He was part of the decision making that moved Butler to full-time DH; a huge benefit to the defense and probably a benefit to BB's career.

Point being, he's done some good things at the ML level. However, his flaws are well known and more than accounted for in this thread.

KevB 12-04-2012 03:35 PM

Zeke, some of those trades are irrelevant based on the talent that exchanged hands, and some of the trades you criticize were thought to be decent at the time. Also, missed the Sanchez for Guthrie trade, which is a significant "win".

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9180637)
Point being, he's done some good things at the ML level. However, his flaws are well known and more than accounted for in this thread.

Having 5 things fall in your lap does not overshadow the other 75 things he's done wrong.

Most organization complain about the 5 things done wrong possibly outweighing the 75 things done right. Not the Royals! We argue that those 5 good things is grounds for an extension!

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9180650)
Zeke, some of those trades are irrelevant based on the talent that exchanged hands, and some of the trades you criticize were thought to be decent at the time. Also, missed the Sanchez for Guthrie trade, which is a significant "win".

Hmmm I did mention the sanchez for Guthrie page in the win. I think I overwrote it.

That is the ONLY trade that GMDM has made where he has gotten significantly the "better" of the other team. out of 50+.

KevB 12-04-2012 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zeke (Post 9180652)
Having 5 things fall in your lap does not overshadow the other 75 things he's done wrong.

Most organization complain about the 5 things done wrong possibly outweighing the 75 things done right. Not the Royals! We argue that those 5 good things is grounds for an extension!

I'm not arguing that he's a good GM. Deez asked for one single thing he's done right, so I listed them. That's all. And who the hell is asking for an extension? If he doesn't win this year, I think he should get kicked to the curb.

Fansy the Famous Bard 12-04-2012 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KevB (Post 9180661)
I'm not arguing that he's a good GM. Deez asked for one single thing he's done right, so I listed them. That's all. And who the hell is asking for an extension? If he doesn't win this year, I think he should get kicked to the curb.

That was me poking fun at people actually defending DM in any capacity.

duncan_idaho 12-04-2012 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zeke (Post 9180626)
Like hell it didn't! I don't know of any sane Royals fan that wasn't absoutely shocked with that deal... We all knew at the time Frenchy just had the year of his career, and it was still simply "above average" at the plate (but very good in the outfield). You don't throw that much money at an obvious aberration. The contract was appalling at the time.

As far as trades:

JP Howell for Gathright. "wtf?"
Howell had off-field problems and it was clear he wouldn't succeed as a starter. Gathright was still very favorably viewed in the industry. I worked at SN at the time. Entire baseball team there (which I was part of) loved the deal.

MacDougal for Lumsden and Cortes... still never understood why that was done.
Because MacDougal wasn't that good to begin with and had arm issues. Meh.

Ordalis Perez trade.
The Royals gave up Elmer Dessens in this deal. Meh.
Jeremy Affeldt and Denny Bautista for Shealy and Dohman... JESUS CHRIST
THe Royals traded a bullpen guy for a guy coming off back to back near 1000 OPS seasons in Shealy. Good move at the time.
Keppinger for Haltiwanger
This is a bad one. Keppinger has been a useful util guy ever since
Nunez for Jacobs - that was another where everyone but Dayton saw Jacobs for what he was.
The Royals traded an OK reliever for a guy with power potential. Yes, Jacobs had flaws. But most also expected him to hit 30-35 HR in full time action. Would look worse if Kila Ka'ahuie wasn't the pile of shit the org thought he was
Octavio Dotel for Kyle Davies
1/2 season of a reliever who be a setup man isn't going to net much. A post-hype prospect with upside. This deal is made worse by stubbornly sticking with Davies too long, but it just as easily could have been a James McDonald situation.
Betancourt - Nuff said
Betancourt was bad, but still better than TPJ, and the Royals wouldn't have done better on the open market. Also, the Royals gave up nothing in this deal. So, meh.
Alberto Callaspo for nothing
The Royals got Will Smith in this deal, who still could be a decent back-end starter. Callaspo, meanwhile, has regressed significantly at the plate while growing more expensive. Good deal.
DeJesus for Mazarro\Marks
Mazzero stinks (and was just turned into a few lottery tickets), but Marks has made decent progress and, like Smith, be a solid 4th/5th starter. This would have been DeJesus for Josh Reddick if he hadn't had the freak injury, BTW...
Teahen who everyone loved for Getz, who everyone hates. Good one.
I didn't love Mark Teahen. I hated him, in fact. And he was bad. So, meh.

Betemit for 2 nothings
They got little for him, but he didn't have much value.
Aviles for 2 nothings
Aviles is not good. And this deal was liked at the time
Cabrera for Verdugo (just designated for assignment) and Sanchez... I liked the trade at the time. But it still ended Horrrrrible for the R's.
Doesn't change the fact it was a good move at the time. Hindsight doesn't change the realities of the moment when it happened.

Let's list the trades that have worked out for the R's.

Billy Buckner for Alberto Callaspo. That worked out okay, we got a cup of coffee use out of Callaspo as a utility player, but gave up a good prospect at the time for him... we didn't get fleeced so... I guess? But he ruined it by turning around and shipping Callaspo off for nothing.
The Royals got a few good, cheap years out of Callaspo and then moved him before he got expensive - and before he declined.
Jorge de la rosa for Ramon Ramirez.. then flipped Ramirez a year later for Coco. Not bad for either team.

Farnsworth and Ankiel for Tim Collins. We gave up a productive Reliever and a half-way decent bench player for a Reliever prospect. We had no idea he was going to be this good, but it has definitely worked out well. Unfortunately, we simply got a reliever out of this.

$$$ for Felipe Paulino. Great find... the guy has shown promise off the scrp heap if he can be healthy. unfortunately, he's only done it for small portions within two seasons. I love Felipe and hope he works out.

Zack Greinke and Yuni for Escobar, Jeffress, Cain and Odorizzi. Jeffress is gone, jury is out on Cain, Escobar is our every day SS and We have a pitching prospect that the jury is out on. At this point we basically gave up the Cy Young award winner for our SS.. I "like" the deal, but I'm not enamoured with it like a lot of people were. But it blows away all of Dayton's other moves, without a doubt. He got a good young major league player that is producing for us RIGHT NOW. It just took him 50 trades and a Cy Young piece to get it right.

Yes I'm embelishing some, but only some...

My thoughts above.

I would also add:

Ambiorix Burgos for Brian Bannister. The Royals got a few quality, cheap seasons out of Banny. The Mets got extradition papers.

Anyway, you're not going to find many amazing trades on a GM's record when so little of worth has been sent AWAY from the team you're analyzing.

This is why I say Moore gets too much criticism for his trade history. It's really not bad, considering that most of his trades involve moving low-value guys.

BTW: My overall point is not that Dayton Moore is "Awesome." It's more that there are a lot of other things that deserve criticism BEFORE his trade history. Notably:

1) Stubborn belief in players long past the point of proven failure (Davies, Hochevar, Gload, etc)
2) Poor personnel choices (apparently) for high minors pitching development
3) 2010 draft (this one is looking pretty rough)
4) Refusal to look past traditional baseball stats/thought processes. Lack of flexibility in thought.

Shogun 12-04-2012 04:06 PM

If it werent for the Melky trade we wouldnt have gotten Guthrie, who I attribute will help the ballclub tremendously this year if he looks like he did after we got him last year.

Mr. Laz 12-04-2012 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zeke (Post 9180677)
That was me poking fun at people actually defending DM in any capacity.

why in the hell would that be fun?

unless you're a Cardinals fan or something ...


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