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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
(https://chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=340918)
We should be playing the Bengals to lock up the one seed, but Jimmy G turned into a pumpkin vs the Titans and singlehandedly lost that game.
I want the one seed, obviously, but at this point, I want that rest game against Denver almost just as much. I have PTSD from what injuries did to this team last year, costing us a Super Bowl and nearly killing our QB, so if we can rest our superstars in the last game of the season, I am 100% for that. The Dolphins can absolutely beat the Titans and I'll be pulling hard for them this weekend. It depends on which Tannehill shows up. The one that beat the Chiefs or the one that could only score 13 points against the Texans, Pats, and Steelers. I hope it is the latter. |
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Looking pretty good......
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This.
Brown sure. Henry only if he has his legs back under him, which I doubt. And I don't think their defense really scares me at all. We take care of the ball we win. Its that simple. |
"The LA Chargers would be the no. 1 seed if Derwin James stayed healthy"
Not sure if this is the place for this (may have missed a Chargers news mega thread), but seems related since it's a claim/argument about the AFC's #1 seed.
"The LA Chargers would be the no. 1 seed if Derwin James stayed healthy" boltbeat[dot]com/posts/la-chargers-playoffs-afc-seed-derwin-james-injury (Sorry, can't post links yet) Bold claim for a team that just got thoroughly worked by the Texans. We were without Gay, Jones, and Sneed for our game against them, which the writer claims they would have won if James were healthy. We all know the impact that injuries can have on a teams quality of play (see last year's Super Bowl), but this seems delusional. James is known to be fragile; reminds me a bit of our time with Eric Berry. A well managed franchise would acquire depth, and a well coached team would prepare alternate strategies, to fill the inevitable void that appears with his frequent absences due to injury. |
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A terrific game-changing safety can set your team over the top, but it's never the backbone of your team's success. If the Chargers offense and Herbert is as good as everybody says they are, that shouldn't stop them from going to the playoffs. And yet... they're currently on the outside looking in. They can't just win the rest of their games-- they need help elsewhere. |
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The Titans offense, without Henry to drive it and dictate matchups, just isn’t that good. Tannehill is like a shitty version of Alex Smith (and ya’ll know how shitty I think Alex Smith was). If he can’t exploit 1x1 coverage on the outside, he’s not very effective. They won the 49ers game because Tannehill threw some jump balls to AJ Brown and the 49ers had no answer. With Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, the Dolphins have a pair of corners who can match up with Brown and Jones. I don’t see Tenn getting as lucky this time around. The Dolphins D also has been doing a really good job pressuring the QB recently. Both from its front four and when sending extra rushers. With the Titans line banged up, too, that doesn’t bode well for them. |
Execution and turnovers, officiating. As always are the key factors (obviously). Fair called game and Chiefs get the W.
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I give them about a 1.5% chance
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Time to talk about how we avoid the Chargers in round one.
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About as good as my chances of banging Brittany Mahomes.
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If Titans beat Texans and remain number #1 seed.
I think 2 or 3 of the seeds 4 through 7 could beat Titans in divisional. Bills, Patriots, Colts and Chargers if they make it. Chiefs would have to play an extra game, but I would not be surprised if AFC Championship is at Arrowhead because Titans face a tough matchup for them in their first game. |
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Odds for the 7th seed in the AFC, which would play KC on Wild Card Weekend if KC and TEN both win this week:<br><br>LAC 45.5%<br>IND 27.3%<br>BUF 10.6%<br>NE 9.0%<br>LV 5.6% <br>PIT 2.0%</p>— Bird Law Expert (@RealBirdLawyer) <a href="https://twitter.com/RealBirdLawyer/status/1478017372346732547?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 3, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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Goddamnit I don’t want to play the Chargers
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We'll be fine. |
No point in worrying about potential opponents. Just gotta play whoever is in front of us.
No one to blame but the Chiefs. All those early turnovers in the season were killers. Can’t give away 2 games like that. Allowing a 3rd and 27 to be converted cleanly is inexcusable. Made our bed, now we gotta sleep in it. I’m confident we can beat anyone in the AFC though. |
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No, it's pretty damn finite. One extra game with no rest. If they can't get out of the WC round against some 9 win team (minus the 17th game) in this dumpsterfire of a conference, they probably weren't winning the SB anyway. The potential for injuries sucks, but as you said, the certainly didn't earn the 1 seed this year... even if the Titans do lose, they will be "infinitely" lucky to end up the 1. |
Well...didn't take care of business.
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The 4 seed would likely be a much easier route to the SB, which KC could get with a loss. I doubt we throw the game, but likely vs NE and @ TEN, which I would take over vs LAC and vs CIN. |
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Worst case is probably playing Herbert, Burrow, and Allen (if that's even possible), best case looks like Chargers/Bengals playing each other, then I definitely wouldn't say the Titans are a lock for the AFCCG.... so they could still have HFA throughout, much like 2019 when everyone assumed they would play in Baltimore. They might have screwed themselves out of the easiest path (weirder things have happened than Houston beating Tenn next weekend), and in this ****ed up season, I don't know why people are focusing on only the worst case scenario (besides people who are always focusing on the worst case). |
When the Chiefs were 3-4 I didn't think there was any way they would make the playoffs but here we are. Good job. The thing I can't understand is why the Chiefs have so much trouble scoring in the 2nd half of games. This has been an issue all season long but AR doesn't have an answer for it. You can't win a Super Bowl with 30 minutes of play.
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If Henry is back, Tenn will be very tough to beat at home.
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My main point though is I'm simply too damn old to care much about the speculation and especially panic about one or two specific scenarios that may never even happen.... and yeah, we could face my worst case and in a few weeks be thinking, damn they were lucky! |
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That team is going out like the 95 Chiefs. |
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One ended in points. One was killed by a holding call. One was killed by drops and a missed illegal contact call. |
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Ravens ran for 250 and still should have lost for the 4th(?) time in a row. Titans won because the Chiefs offense was horrible and Tannehill threw for almost 300 (Henry had 80 on the ground). People freak out about the Browns rushing attack, but they're 0 for 2. None of them have made it to the SB and the one AFCCG appearance was taken care of fairly easy. |
It's time to root for the Raiders guys. To keep the Chargers out.
Gooo Rayyydahhs |
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I want to see Patrick on the road in a playoff game. I think that’s one joy we haven’t had the luxury to experience yet.
Imagine Patrick taking the Titans and all of Nashville’s souls in the championship game in their house after doing it in the same game 2 years ago. We’ve been on the other end of that our entire playoff lives before the Mahomes era. I want to be on the other side of that for once |
I'm telling you guys. The Titans aren't winning a playoff game. Someone like the Bills will go in there and mollwhop those posers.
The ONLY team they might beat is New England. |
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I’m fairly confident that both the Bengals and Bills won’t win their first game. So the Titans will get a pretty average opponent. |
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We want the Chargers.
I don't want to see the Raiders pass rushers this postseason. |
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We want the mediocre QB. Not the elite one. |
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I am worried about Maxx Crosby beasting Andrew Wylie. |
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Clay, even if we play the Raiders, we won't have to see their pass rushers. I promise. |
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Mac Jones, Tannehill, Wentz. Yawn. |
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The Raiders were overmatched in both games. KC is in their heads. Meanwhile, the Chargers are not afraid of the Chiefs. |
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How do people not realize this? Everyone forgotten the Alex Smiff days already? |
How would you rank the playoff teams in terms of who you don’t want to play? Think I’d go something like this:
1. Chargers 2. Bills 3. Bengals 4. Titans 5. Patriots 6. Colts |
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Ten bucks says we make the hurtin' we put on Buffalo last year in the championship game look like child's play if we face Cincinnati in the playoffs. They got a garbage ass bullshit win. That same shit ain't going to happen again, I guarantee it. |
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Not sure how I feel about the Colts or Patriots at #5... might be a tie. |
Like, if Spags can't figure out where he went wrong in the Cinci game and we let Chase rack up another 300 yards and a million TDs again, then to be honest, that's grounds for firing.
I will have been immensely patient with Spags up to that point. Far more than most fans. I've criticized him, but not once have I ever pounded the table for his firing. And when he first got hired, I gave it a lot of time and didn't bitch and moan about the defensive rankings on his previous teams. But if the dude can't handle a simple and obvious adjustment like that, then that's an instant grounds for dismissal, and the playoff loss we would suffer would at least have longterm reaching benefits for the team. |
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Titans play Houston. The #1 seed just went bye bye. And it's the fault of both Spagnuolo and Reid. Both of them peed down their legs yesterday.
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So looks like the Jags fans are going to be wearing clown makeup/outfits to protest for the firing of their GM. I can’t see a scenario where the Tits lose the 1 seed to a team who’s fans are gonna in in full blown clown outfits. But God how amazing would that be if it were to happen? Would NEVER see Jeff Fissure, or hear about league circles again.
Edit : just realized the Tots play the Texans not the Jags. Oops. I’ll leave the mistake and suffer the consequences. |
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It doesn't happen often. Yes, I want the team with the worse defense. Herbert will choke hard at Arrowhead, and that's all you need against the Chargers. Against the Raiders you gotta worry about their defense some. Bring that #26 defense to Arrowhead (30th against the run) and Mahomes coasts to the Div. |
i fear no mortal team.
chiefs are the best team in football. period. even if the chiefs lose a playoff game, they are still the best team in football. period. you tell 'em the chiefs are comin. and hell's comin with them. |
Updated chances of Chiefs taking the #1 seed this weekend
https://media.tenor.com/images/9e85a...b4ab/tenor.gif |
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21 times since 1970. The team going for the sweep is 14-7 in those games. |
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Not any lower than the Super Bowl year when we had to rely on the Dolphins to beat the Pats.
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Burrow may be a threat eventually but their OC simply exploited a weakness that spags either was too arrogant or stubborn to address. Reminded me of tyreek going off on the buccs last season. Honestly it's the refs I fear in the playoffs. We can beat any team more often than not with competent/fair officiating. |
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Not happening. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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AFC QB Rankings: 1. Mahomes 2. Herbert 3. Burrow 4. Allen 5. Carr Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
I still just don’t understand the Sharters fear. They aren’t better than us. They don’t have a better qb, coach, or defense than KC. Mahomes and Andy are gonna ball out in the playoffs. I say send em to Arrowhead, so we can send them on their way and once again we will debunk the mystique of the Sharters. I want Sharters, Bengals, Bills. Leave no doubt who the AFC champions are!
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1. Mahomes 2. Allen 3. Herbert 4. Burrow 5. Tannehill 6. Wentz 7. Jones Not coincidentally, those are also the teams I would least like to have to face in order. |
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