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Trey Smith, Creed and Thuney/Allegretti were outstanding against Buffalo, probably the best they've all played. I think that's where it's won and lost. If they have a similar game and stifle Madubuike, Pierce and Jones I think we win. Even if our WRs turn back into pumpkins and the OTs bleed penalties and our DL is run all over etc etc. If we can run on them a bit and if Mahomes has time to extend, I fancy our chances. If not, it's a long day.
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The Eagles got a lot of shine for their interior d-line, but the Ravens' is the best in the league. And they constructed it in large part because they knew they would need to go through the Chiefs and the best way to disrupt Mahomes is to be able to get pressure without sending blitz packages. The Ravens don't pick early enough to get dominant edges to generate pressure with four, so they instead built from the inside out and are absolutely massive on the interior. The Ravens' gameplan will rely on Madubuike/Pierce/Jones collapsing the pocket and flushing Mahomes out of the pocket and having to make the decision to either make tough throws into a crowded/talelented secondary or else try to scramble on the best ILB duo in the NFL in Smith/Queen. But if the interior d-line can't get pressure and the Ravens can't get pressure, the blitz is as good as a death sentence against Mahomes. |
QB-KC
OL- BAL (Thuney injury is the difference for me.) RB-KC WR- BAL (Although Rice is the best WR on the field.) TE-KC DL- Tie (BAL has more more overall quality but they don't have anyone all that close to Chris Jones.) S-BAL LB-BAL CB-KC Kicker-Tie (These two are the best in the league.) I know BAL is a very popular pick but these two teams look pretty dead even to me. I'll go with the better QB. CHIEFS 26 BAL 23 OT Thriller |
So the question is which is the better team we've faced? The Eagles team we saw in the superbowl or this Ravens?
Qb= Hurts and Lamar are literally the same imo. Both can kill you running and can have good days throwing but usually that's not their strength. Ol= Eagles easily WR= Eagles had AJ and Smith so imo that's easily Eagles again TE= tough one. Andrews and Dallas are the same but Likely perhaps gives Bal the edge RB= Sanders, Scott, Gainwell etc were better imo so Eagles DL= Eagles easily and their sack record proved it LB= Bal easily here no debate Secondary= both teams have good individual talent so it's possibly a tie here imo. Coaching= may be a tie too considering the Eagles guys are now head coaches. Though granted Harbough has win a ring but he doesn't call plays. Eagles also had the tush push which Bal doesn't do. So who's the better roster? Imo I'd say the Eagles were probably the better team and had the same number one seed, had a top defense and a QB playing at an MVP level. They had a feared run game with two number one receivers that HAD to be respected. So we've been here before on an even bigger stage just a year ago ya'll. And I think that experience against the Eagles will be huge for us going into Sunday. |
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The question is weather or not bmore is ready. How do they handle the pressure? Can they make the big plays in the big game? Can they drive the field for the go ahead score in the last minute? Can they do what no one has in the playoffs and stop Mahomes? I ****ing doubt it... |
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Not even close. More like greatest win for the Ravens this season. |
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Coaching is a tie? Harbaugh is a hall of famer and Sirianni was almost fired this year. Macdonald has a head coaching job whenever he wants it, and Monken is coming off of back-to-back championships at Georgia as the OC. Secondary is a tie? The Ravens have one of the lowest passing YPAs in decades this year. Hurts and Lamar are the same? I mean this is just offensive at this point. One is the 2x MVP (as many as Mahomes in fewer seasons) and the other has had one good season. The Eagles got a bunch of hype in the media, but they weren’t a historic team by DVOA. They came out of a weak NFC and then regressed badly this year. The Ravens are far better. |
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The Chiefs will commit to stopping the run and Lamar won’t be able to pass well enough to win. All the rest is just noise.
Ravens fans, who apparently understand nothing, think because the Bills ran for a lot of yards that the Ravens will as well. The Chiefs let the Bills run to not give up big plays and it worked to perfection. The Chiefs will let Lamar pass, he’ll get yards but also a few turnovers, and the Chiefs will win. |
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Down against the Titans Down in the fourth qtr in the SB against SF. Chiefs play BETTER uphill. Mahomes is shattering records to the point it's surreal. Almost other worldly. Guess ya'll have to find out like everbody else, just like we did. |
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I see many remarks about the Chiefs and Spags past success against Lamar and limiting what he was able to do. That's all well and good but almost all of those players are now gone. Outside of Andrews and Ricard, Lamar is working with an entirely new set of backs and a new OC with a completely new offensive scheme. Kansas City may slow him down, but this isn't the Ravens offense of past years.
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But a more objective metric like DVOA scores the Ravens as one of the best teams of all time and doesn’t rate the Eagles in that conversation. The Ravens played a tough schedule and dominated their opponents. That’s a better way to gauge how good a roster is than back-of-the-napkin roster “analysis.” Look no further than the discrepancy between the Eagles offseason and their actual performance this year. People were tugging Howie Roseman off for spamming every UGA player in the draft. How did that turn out for them? |
Usual script: keep the game close and let Mahomes win it at the end.
If the 4th quarter becomes a shoot out or duel the Chiefs win by 10... |
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DVOA is a useful stat, but like run differential in baseball I think it does tend to inflate how good a team is if they pile it on blowouts. That 21 Buffalo team, and the 20 Buffalo team, had crazy-high DvOA, and historically good defenses according to DVOA. The Chiefs went through like hot knives through butter. This is also something the Chiefs have shown multiple times (49ers last year) throughout this run: putting the blowtorch to #1 defenses through a combination of game-planning and Mahomes excellence. The Ravens are a really complete team QBed by a dynamic playmaker and coached by smart staffs. Going to take a great and complete effort from KC this time to advance. I think the winner of this one cruises in the SB, especially if the Lions manage to keep the wave rolling. |
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Dude is the reigning SB MVP. Gloss over it all you want. What everybody else did last week and they "Got what they asked for". Like Eisen said, you'd rather have Buffalo on Sunday. |
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Miami and Tua San Fran and Purdy Lions and Goff outside a dome? Seattle and Geno? Cinci with an injured Burrow? Good teams you played who had good qb's were Cleveland and Watson (who beat you) and Rams and Stafford who aren't really a great "team" but still took ya'll to OT. And the crazy thing is Watson was playing hurt just like Burrow was. |
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DVOA isn’t perfect, but it’s one of the few metrics we have to adjust for a team’s situational success and quality of opponents. But like you’re alluding to, real-world considerations like matchups, scheme, and raw talent can upend the expectations DVOA would have you believe. I do think that in this case, there won’t be a dismantling of the Ravens the way the Chiefs did to the Bills. Both because the Chiefs don’t have the same personnel as then (Tyreek) and the Ravens are just flat better than the Bills. |
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You’re right though that Mahomes is Mahomes, and he levitates above all of these other teams. Absolutely no disagreement here. |
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And then when you put up almost 30ppg against the Browns fraud "best defense", I'm sure that goes a long way, too. There's probably some kind of fraud multiplier effect... Dolphins put up 70 on the Broncos and beat them by 50, then the Ravens put up 50+ on the Dolphins, and ohhh boy, the Ravens must be amazing! Stats that are so fluid after 13+ games is concerning though... blow out one team and jump 10 spots on the highest ever list. :shrug: |
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I understand why you ignored the first part of my post. :thumb: |
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I can still have normal cross-talk and share objective opinions are also call out bullshit. Those two don't impact one another. |
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Funny, I thought last Sunday was our biggest hurdle to make it to the big game. |
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Baltimore, you guys keep clinging to DVOA… that’s your right
I’ll keep remembering that Patrick Mahomes’ playoff career stat line is that of an MVP. His numbers in playoff games alone would make him the unanimous winner of the award if lined up against this year’s options. Games against nothing but good to great playoff teams. LMAO |
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I'm grateful, because we weren't world beaters in the regular season, yet here we are. |
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let's be frank--- if we beat the ravens (in Mahomes we trust), how much do Ravens fans hate us? Is it 50% as much as the bills' fans do? This is the best ravens team we've seen since they beat kaep in the super bowl, and we've already had some big wins against them the last five years (I know, just like Buffalo has some big wins--- regular season).
I can feel the hatred burning under the surface if pat goes nuclear and we 13 second them. |
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We’ve had this conversation every year with a different fan base for the last 6 years. Don’t believe me? Go back into the archives and pull them up.
Opposing Fan: “Hi, Joe Fan Here from X. Just wanted to stop by and wish you guys luck and a great game Saturday/Sunday. Should be fun…” (Reads board, can’t believe how confident Chiefs Fans are on a Chiefs MB) “Have you guys even looked at our stats and who we played and beat? I mean, this team is different…” (Reads replies and can’t believe the amount of disrespect he’s seeing) “You know, Mahomes hasn’t faced a player like X or a Defense like ours. This isn’t going to be some BS D like the X that you faced in he Divisional Round. (Reads replies and can’t believe he’s being ignored. The butthurt intensifies) “Wow, I can’t believe you guys are so confident and arrogant! Do you even watch football outside of KC? Have you seen these stats? (Links numerous worthless stats that we’ve all seen before and waits for people to be impressed. No one is impressed) “What the f is wrong with Chiefs Fans? You have NEVER faced an opponent like our Team! This is going to be Mahomes greatest challenge ever. He’ll have to have the Strength of Thor and the Wisdom of Solomon to even have a small chance of victory. You are doomed!” (Reads replies that everyone is now laughing at him. People have now stopped replying. He’s incensed) “**** you, you bunch of inbred Missouri hillbillies! KC is a shithole and YOUR BBQ sucks!!! I hope our D rips Mahomes head off and shits down his neck. **** you!!! (Account deleted). *RINSE. REPEAT. EVERY YEAR |
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The Ravens are very good this year and there is no debating that. Games are played on the field for a reason. Even the best team of the modern era (2007 Patriots) did not win it all. They actually lost to an Eli Manning led Giants team that was a wild card. I get it that this is a down year for KC and even in a down year, they are still in the AFCCG. Everyone thinks because the offense is not as explosive that it usually is that KC is weak. Their offense is not as elite as it has been in many years, but their defense (which I still think is overlooked) is elite this year with stars at all three levels. I had mentioned on here before the playoffs started that the Chiefs are the most experienced team in the playoffs and that matters. They know how to win when the lights are brightest. They are not the Carolina Panthers. For the first time since the 2018 season they are not the hunted (despite being the defending champs), but get to be the hunter. There is zero pressure on them to win. As such they can go out and play loose. As I also mentioned, Baltimore could win, and if they do then awesome. I will pull for them over SF (but not Det). I actually don't have anything against them and I think highly of Jackson. I just don't think Baltimore is so much better than KC that they will blow them out. |
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You've been balanced. But if the Ravens win you're going to FOR SURE say hell yeah we beat the Chiefs and after they talked mad shit all week! Like, we know you're over here fishing for hot takes. As if we're Patriots fans screaming NEVER COUNT OUT TOUCHDOWN TOM I MEAN PENALTY PAT It's just pretty transparent, that's all. Chiefs could lose to the Ravens, it's true. Frankly this is our down year and we made it to the sixth straight AFCCG and it's house money at this point. Youngest defense in the league and set up for another five years of dominance. |
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Today we get actual media coverage at the facilities, so there’s that.
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Can't wait to see what both teams bring. |
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